Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.37
assuming max odds 2.98
assuming max odds 3.70
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: HJK Helsinki (Local): 40.73%; KuPS Kuopio (Visit): 32.81%; Draw: 26.45%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.78. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.70, with an expected value of -2.13%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.79%EV -3.46%E -1.46%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.44%EV -2.21%E -0.743%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.78%EV -4.51%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-06-27 13:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.89%EV -4.27%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.14%EV -4.84%E -1.67%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.97%EV -2.13%E -0.575%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-26 08:18 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.37%EV -4.27%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.28%EV -6.48%E -2.27%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -4.77%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-27 13:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.82%EV -4.27%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.30%EV -7.79%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.89%EV -7.95%E -2.28%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-27 13:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.58%EV -4.68%E -2.00%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.30%EV -3.53%E -1.20%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-27 13:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.58%EV -4.68%E -2.00%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.30%EV -3.53%E -1.20%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-27 13:49 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.58%EV -4.68%E -2.00%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.30%EV -3.53%E -1.20%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-27 13:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.35%EV -5.50%E -2.37%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.51%EV -5.50%E -1.91%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.14%EV -8.74%E -2.53%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-27 13:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.35%EV -5.50%E -2.37%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.51%EV -5.50%E -1.91%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.14%EV -8.74%E -2.53%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-27 13:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.73%EV -6.31%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.87%EV -6.48%E -2.27%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -6.10%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-27 13:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.31%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -5.50%E -1.91%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-27 08:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -6.31%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -6.48%E -2.27%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-27 13:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.50%EV -6.31%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV -8.12%E -2.90%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -6.10%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-27 13:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -6.31%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -9.76%E -3.55%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.77%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-27 13:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.56%EV -7.13%E -3.13%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -8.12%E -2.90%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-27 11:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.56%EV -7.13%E -3.13%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -8.12%E -2.90%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-27 11:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.56%EV -7.13%E -3.13%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -8.12%E -2.90%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-27 11:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.56%EV -7.13%E -3.13%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -8.12%E -2.90%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-27 11:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.56%EV -7.13%E -3.13%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -8.12%E -2.90%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-27 11:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.56%EV -7.13%E -3.13%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -8.12%E -2.90%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-27 11:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.56%EV -7.13%E -3.13%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -8.12%E -2.90%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-27 11:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.56%EV -7.13%E -3.13%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -8.12%E -2.90%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-27 11:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.56%EV -7.13%E -3.13%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -8.12%E -2.90%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-27 11:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -7.13%E -3.13%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -9.76%E -3.55%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.42%EV -12.71%E -3.85%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-06-27 13:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.25%EV -7.94%E -3.51%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.71%EV -6.48%E -2.27%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.04%EV -5.30%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-27 13:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -8.35%E -3.71%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -9.76%E -3.55%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -4.77%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-27 13:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -8.35%E -3.71%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -9.76%E -3.55%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -4.77%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-27 13:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -8.35%E -3.71%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -8.12%E -2.90%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-27 11:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -8.35%E -3.71%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -8.12%E -2.90%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-27 11:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -8.35%E -3.71%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -8.12%E -2.90%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-27 13:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -8.35%E -3.71%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -6.48%E -2.27%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -10.06%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-27 12:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -8.35%E -3.71%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -8.12%E -2.90%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -8.74%E -2.53%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-27 11:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -8.35%E -3.71%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -8.12%E -2.90%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -8.74%E -2.53%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-27 11:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -8.35%E -3.71%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -8.12%E -2.90%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -8.74%E -2.53%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-27 11:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -8.35%E -3.71%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -11.40%E -4.22%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -4.77%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-06-27 13:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -8.35%E -3.71%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -8.12%E -2.90%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.06%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-27 13:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -8.35%E -3.71%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -8.12%E -2.90%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.06%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-27 10:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -8.35%E -3.71%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -8.12%E -2.90%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.06%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-27 10:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -8.35%E -3.71%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -8.12%E -2.90%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.06%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-27 10:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -8.35%E -3.71%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -8.12%E -2.90%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.06%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-27 10:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.40%EV -8.35%E -3.71%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -8.12%E -2.90%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -11.39%E -3.40%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-06-27 13:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -8.35%E -3.71%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -11.40%E -4.22%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-06-27 10:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.73%EV -8.35%E -3.71%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.99%EV -13.70%E -5.21%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -10.06%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-06-27 13:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.73%EV -8.35%E -3.71%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.99%EV -13.70%E -5.21%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -10.06%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-06-27 13:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -8.35%E -3.71%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -14.03%E -5.35%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -10.06%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-06-27 13:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -8.35%E -3.71%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -14.03%E -5.35%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -10.06%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-06-27 13:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.14%EV -9.16%E -4.11%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.54%EV -2.21%E -0.743%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.32%EV -5.57%E -1.56%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-23 16:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -10.38%E -4.72%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -9.76%E -3.55%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-06-27 13:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -10.38%E -4.72%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -9.76%E -3.55%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -10.06%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-27 13:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.38%E -4.72%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -9.76%E -3.55%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -12.71%E -3.85%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-06-27 13:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.79%EV -11.61%E -5.35%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.78%EV -11.40%E -4.22%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.42%EV -11.39%E -3.40%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-06-27 11:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.35%EV -12.42%E -5.78%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.36%EV -14.68%E -5.65%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.29%EV -12.71%E -3.85%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-06-27 13:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.26%EV -14.46%E -6.88%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.09%EV -11.40%E -4.22%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.66%EV -14.03%E -4.32%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-06-27 13:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 38.92%EV -14.46%E -6.88%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 32.70%EV -17.97%E -7.19%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 28.38%EV -23.82%E -8.27%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 22.3% | 2026-06-27 13:49 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.81% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.64% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55% | 0.4% | 2026-06-27 13:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.81% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.64% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55% | 0.4% | 2026-06-27 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.81% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.64% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55% | 0.4% | 2026-06-27 13:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.81% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.64% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55% | 0.4% | 2026-06-27 13:39 |