The School of Odds
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HJK Helsinki v KuPS Kuopio

Kickoff: 2026-10-25 12:59 UTC

Final: HJK Helsinki 2–2 KuPS Kuopio

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

HJK Helsinki (Local)

Prediction 47.86%2.09fair odd
EV -0.450%
Edge -0.216%
Kelly -0.417%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.69%47.87%47.86%50.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.891.912.0858.82%52.83%52.36%48.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

KuPS Kuopio (Visit)

Prediction 26.37%3.79fair odd
EV +0.190%
Edge +0.050%
Kelly +0.068%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.45%26.24%26.35%27.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.513.503.8031.25%28.47%28.57%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.77%3.88fair odd
EV -3.35%
Edge -0.893%
Kelly -1.22%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.10%25.88%25.79%27.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.543.553.7530.30%28.26%28.17%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: HJK Helsinki (Local): 47.86%; KuPS Kuopio (Visit): 26.37%; Draw: 25.77%. For KuPS Kuopio (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.79. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.190%.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.06%EV -6.19%E -3.16%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.30%EV +0.190%E +0.050%K +0.068%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.64%EV -3.35%E -0.893%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-25 09:55
Pinnacle🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 48.10%EV -3.80%E -1.89%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.92%EV -1.66%E -0.444%K -0.607%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.99%EV -4.12%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-25 12:55
Unibet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.34%EV -13.85%E -7.70%K -17.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -2.45%E -0.661%K -0.906%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-25 08:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.34%EV -13.85%E -7.70%K -17.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -2.45%E -0.661%K -0.906%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-25 08:30
Grosvenor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.34%EV -13.85%E -7.70%K -17.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -2.45%E -0.661%K -0.906%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-25 08:30
Casumo🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.34%EV -13.85%E -7.70%K -17.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -2.45%E -0.661%K -0.906%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-25 08:30
TABtouch🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.34%EV -13.85%E -7.70%K -17.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -2.45%E -0.661%K -0.906%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-25 08:29
Unibet (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.34%EV -13.85%E -7.70%K -17.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -2.45%E -0.661%K -0.906%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-25 08:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.34%EV -13.85%E -7.70%K -17.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -2.45%E -0.661%K -0.906%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-25 08:29
ATG (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.34%EV -13.85%E -7.70%K -17.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -2.45%E -0.661%K -0.906%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-25 08:29
betPARX🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.34%EV -13.85%E -7.70%K -17.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -2.45%E -0.661%K -0.906%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-25 08:30
BetRivers🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.42%EV -15.29%E -8.64%K -19.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.45%EV -3.77%E -1.03%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.14%EV -8.50%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-25 08:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.42%EV -15.29%E -8.64%K -19.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.45%EV -3.77%E -1.03%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.14%EV -8.50%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-25 08:30
GTbets🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.63%EV -7.63%E -3.95%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.08%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.30%EV -4.38%E -1.18%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-25 12:55
FanDuel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -6.67%E -3.42%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.08%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -9.79%E -2.80%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-25 12:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 50.21%EV -15.77%E -8.96%K -20.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.55%EV -5.08%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.25%EV -9.79%E -2.80%K -3.92%G +0.000%13.2%2026-10-25 08:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 50.21%EV -15.77%E -8.96%K -20.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.55%EV -5.08%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.25%EV -9.79%E -2.80%K -3.92%G +0.000%13.2%2026-10-25 08:29
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.36%EV -4.28%E -2.14%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.68%EV -6.40%E -1.80%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.95%EV -5.93%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-25 12:54
BetUS🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.67%E -3.42%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -6.40%E -1.80%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.64%EV -5.93%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-25 12:55
1xBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.19%EV -7.15%E -3.69%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.41%EV -6.67%E -1.88%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.40%EV -5.15%E -1.40%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-25 12:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.45%EV -8.11%E -4.22%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.28%EV -6.67%E -1.88%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.28%EV -5.15%E -1.40%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-25 12:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -0.450%E -0.216%K -0.417%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -7.72%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -9.79%E -2.80%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-25 12:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -0.450%E -0.216%K -0.417%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -7.72%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -9.79%E -2.80%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-25 12:55
BetAnything🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -0.450%E -0.216%K -0.417%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -7.72%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -9.79%E -2.80%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-25 12:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.60%EV -5.24%E -2.64%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.72%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -4.64%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-25 12:55
Bovada🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.82%EV -6.67%E -3.42%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -7.72%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -5.93%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-25 12:54
BetMGM🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -6.67%E -3.42%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.72%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-25 12:53
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -8.59%E -4.50%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.72%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-25 12:33
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -8.59%E -4.50%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.72%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-25 12:40
SportsBet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.37%EV -7.63%E -3.95%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -7.72%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -11.08%E -3.21%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-25 12:55
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -8.59%E -4.50%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.72%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.79%E -2.80%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-25 12:33
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -8.59%E -4.50%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.72%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.79%E -2.80%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-25 12:33
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -8.59%E -4.50%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.72%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.79%E -2.80%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-25 12:33
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -8.59%E -4.50%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.72%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.79%E -2.80%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-25 12:33
Paddy Power🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.20%EV -9.07%E -4.77%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.62%EV -7.72%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -14.95%E -4.53%K -6.50%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-25 12:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 50.36%EV -18.64%E -10.96%K -26.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.46%EV -7.72%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.18%EV -12.37%E -3.64%K -5.15%G +0.000%16.8%2026-10-25 08:30
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.56%EV -5.24%E -2.64%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -9.04%E -2.62%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -11.08%E -3.21%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-25 12:55
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.56%EV -5.24%E -2.64%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -9.04%E -2.62%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -11.08%E -3.21%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-25 12:55
Bet Right🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.28%EV -9.07%E -4.77%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -9.04%E -2.62%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13%EV -5.93%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-25 12:39
Bet Victor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -7.63%E -3.95%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -10.36%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-25 12:50
LeoVegas🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -6.67%E -3.42%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.36%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.79%E -2.80%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-25 12:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.19%EV -10.02%E -5.33%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.36%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-25 12:40
Sky Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -11.46%E -6.19%K -13.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -10.36%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -12.37%E -3.64%K -5.15%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-25 12:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.24%EV -10.50%E -5.62%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -10.36%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -14.95%E -4.53%K -6.50%G +0.000%13.2%2026-10-25 12:50
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.67%E -3.42%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.99%E -3.94%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-25 12:55
PlayUp🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.81%EV -7.63%E -3.95%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -12.99%E -3.94%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.79%E -2.80%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-25 12:55
betfred_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.20%EV -9.07%E -4.77%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -12.99%E -3.94%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.62%EV -9.79%E -2.80%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-25 12:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -8.59%E -4.50%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -12.99%E -3.94%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -12.37%E -3.64%K -5.15%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-25 12:55
Neds🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -8.59%E -4.50%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -12.99%E -3.94%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -12.37%E -3.64%K -5.15%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-25 12:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -8.59%E -4.50%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -12.99%E -3.94%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -12.37%E -3.64%K -5.15%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-25 12:55
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -8.59%E -4.50%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -12.99%E -3.94%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -12.37%E -3.64%K -5.15%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-25 12:55
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.20%EV -13.85%E -7.70%K -17.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.29%EV -12.99%E -3.94%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.52%EV -12.37%E -3.64%K -5.15%G +0.000%15.3%2026-10-25 09:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 48.61%EV -17.20%E -9.94%K -23.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.28%EV -15.63%E -4.88%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.10%EV -13.66%E -4.08%K -5.81%G +0.000%18.9%2026-10-25 12:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.14%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10%0.8%2026-10-25 12:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.67%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.35%1.2%2026-10-25 12:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.67%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.35%1.2%2026-10-25 12:55
Matchbook◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.38%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.31%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.32%1.3%2026-10-25 12:55