Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

HJK Helsinki v FC Inter Turku

Início: 2026-09-09 15:00 UTC

Final: HJK Helsinki 2–1 FC Inter Turku

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

HJK Helsinki (Local)

Previsão 37.86%2.64odd justa
EV +0.704%
Vantagem +0.265%
Kelly +0.424%
Crescimento +0.003%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.66

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
36.18%37.85%37.90%38.89%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.282.442.452.6643.86%41.05%40.82%37.59%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

FC Inter Turku (Visitante)

Previsão 35.02%2.86odd justa
EV -2.98%
Vantagem -1.08%
Kelly -1.69%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.77

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.08%35.08%35.05%36.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.432.622.622.7741.15%38.24%38.17%36.10%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 27.12%3.69odd justa
EV -2.65%
Vantagem -0.737%
Kelly -1.02%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.59

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.05%27.07%27.05%28.24%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.153.373.403.5931.75%29.64%29.41%27.86%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: HJK Helsinki (Local): 37.86%; FC Inter Turku (Visitante): 35.02%; Empate: 27.12%. Para HJK Helsinki (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.64. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.66, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.704%.

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Coolbet🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 36.18%EV +0.704%E +0.265%K +0.424%G +0.003%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.32%EV -7.19%E -2.71%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.50%EV -5.09%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-09 14:20
GTbets🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 36.79%EV -3.08%E -1.20%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.27%EV -6.49%E -2.43%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 27.94%EV -8.61%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 11:29
Pinnacle🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 38.10%EV -3.84%E -1.51%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.94%EV -2.98%E -1.08%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.96%EV -2.65%E -0.737%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-09 14:50
NordicBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.84%EV -4.60%E -1.82%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -7.19%E -2.71%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.13%EV -10.51%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-09 14:54
DraftKings🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -5.35%E -2.14%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -5.44%E -2.01%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -5.09%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-09 14:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -5.35%E -2.14%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -7.19%E -2.71%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -7.80%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 14:41
Bovada🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -5.35%E -2.14%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -7.19%E -2.71%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -7.80%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 14:54
BetMGM🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -5.35%E -2.14%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -7.19%E -2.71%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -7.80%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 14:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -5.35%E -2.14%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -8.24%E -3.14%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -11.87%E -3.65%K -5.27%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 14:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.67%EV -6.11%E -2.46%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.25%EV -7.19%E -2.71%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -6.44%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 14:25
Casumo🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.67%EV -6.11%E -2.46%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.25%EV -7.19%E -2.71%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -6.44%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 14:30
Grosvenor🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.67%EV -6.11%E -2.46%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.25%EV -7.19%E -2.71%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -6.44%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 14:30
TABtouch🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.67%EV -6.11%E -2.46%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.25%EV -7.19%E -2.71%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -6.44%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 14:30
betPARX🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.67%EV -6.11%E -2.46%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.25%EV -7.19%E -2.71%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -6.44%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 14:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.67%EV -6.11%E -2.46%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.25%EV -7.19%E -2.71%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -6.44%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 14:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.67%EV -6.11%E -2.46%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.25%EV -7.19%E -2.71%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -6.44%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 14:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.67%EV -6.11%E -2.46%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.25%EV -7.19%E -2.71%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -6.44%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 14:30
Unibet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.67%EV -6.11%E -2.46%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.25%EV -7.19%E -2.71%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -6.44%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 14:30
1xBet🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 37.86%EV -6.49%E -2.63%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.64%EV -5.44%E -2.01%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -7.80%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-09 14:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 37.91%EV -6.87%E -2.79%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.06%EV -6.84%E -2.57%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -6.44%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-09 14:55
FanDuel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -7.25%E -2.96%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -5.44%E -2.01%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.80%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 14:50
Betsson🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.83%EV -7.25%E -2.96%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.08%EV -4.74%E -1.74%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -10.51%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-09 14:45
LeoVegas🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -7.25%E -2.96%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -7.80%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-09 14:55
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -7.25%E -2.96%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -7.19%E -2.71%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -10.51%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 14:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -7.25%E -2.96%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -8.24%E -3.14%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -10.51%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-09 14:55
888sport🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -7.25%E -2.96%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -8.24%E -3.14%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -10.51%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-09 14:55
William Hill🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -7.25%E -2.96%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -8.24%E -3.14%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -10.51%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-09 14:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.89%EV -7.63%E -3.13%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.38%EV -3.33%E -1.21%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.73%EV -3.73%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 14:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.89%EV -7.63%E -3.13%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.38%EV -3.33%E -1.21%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.73%EV -3.73%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 14:50
BetAnything🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.89%EV -7.63%E -3.13%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.38%EV -3.33%E -1.21%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.73%EV -3.73%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 14:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -9.14%E -3.81%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -5.09%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-09 14:50
Bet Right🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.19%EV -9.14%E -3.81%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.25%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -6.44%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-09 14:55
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -9.14%E -3.81%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -8.24%E -3.14%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.80%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-09 12:20
betano_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -9.14%E -3.81%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -10.69%E -4.19%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -5.09%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-09 14:55
Bet Victor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -9.14%E -3.81%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -10.69%E -4.19%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -5.09%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-09 14:54
BetUS🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.88%EV -9.14%E -3.81%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.57%EV -7.89%E -3.00%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -10.51%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-09 14:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -9.14%E -3.81%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -10.69%E -4.19%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -7.80%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-09 13:45
PlayUp🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -9.14%E -3.81%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.51%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-09 14:55
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.57%EV -9.14%E -3.81%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.68%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -11.87%E -3.65%K -5.27%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-09 14:50
Neds🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -9.14%E -3.81%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.58%EV -12.44%E -4.98%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -11.87%E -3.65%K -5.27%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-09 14:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -9.14%E -3.81%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.58%EV -12.44%E -4.98%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -11.87%E -3.65%K -5.27%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-09 14:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -9.14%E -3.81%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.58%EV -12.44%E -4.98%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -11.87%E -3.65%K -5.27%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-09 14:55
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -9.14%E -3.81%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.58%EV -12.44%E -4.98%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -11.87%E -3.65%K -5.27%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-09 14:55
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -9.90%E -4.16%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -12.44%E -4.98%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -7.80%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-09 14:50
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -9.90%E -4.16%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.42%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.97%EV -13.22%E -4.13%K -6.01%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-09 14:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.35%EV -9.90%E -4.16%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.86%EV -10.69%E -4.19%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -13.22%E -4.13%K -6.01%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-09 14:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.81%EV -11.03%E -4.69%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.85%EV -10.69%E -4.19%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -11.87%E -3.65%K -5.27%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-09 14:30
BetRivers🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.81%EV -11.03%E -4.69%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.85%EV -10.69%E -4.19%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -11.87%E -3.65%K -5.27%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-09 14:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.55%EV -11.03%E -4.69%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.30%EV -12.44%E -4.98%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.15%EV -11.87%E -3.65%K -5.27%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-09 14:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.55%EV -11.03%E -4.69%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.30%EV -12.44%E -4.98%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.15%EV -11.87%E -3.65%K -5.27%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-09 14:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -12.93%E -5.62%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -10.51%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-09 14:40
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -12.93%E -5.62%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -12.44%E -4.98%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -7.80%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-09 14:55
PMU (FR)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 37.56%EV -13.68%E -6.00%K -10.69%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 35.25%EV -14.89%E -6.13%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.19%EV -14.58%E -4.63%K -6.78%G +0.000%16.8%2026-09-09 14:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎2.62I 38.17%NM 37.97%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.78%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.25%0.5%2026-09-09 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.64I 37.88%NM 37.64%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.75%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-09-09 14:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.64I 37.88%NM 37.64%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.75%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-09-09 14:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.64I 37.88%NM 37.64%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.75%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-09-09 14:50