Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

HJK Helsinki v FC Inter Turku

Inicio: 2026-09-09 15:00 UTC

Final: HJK Helsinki 2–1 FC Inter Turku

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

HJK Helsinki (Local)

Predicción 37.86%2.64momio equitativo
EV +0.704%
Ventaja +0.265%
Kelly +0.424%
Crecimiento +0.003%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.66

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.18%37.85%37.90%38.89%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.282.442.452.6643.86%41.05%40.82%37.59%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

FC Inter Turku (Visitante)

Predicción 35.02%2.86momio equitativo
EV -2.98%
Ventaja -1.08%
Kelly -1.69%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.77

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.08%35.08%35.05%36.32%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.432.622.622.7741.15%38.24%38.17%36.10%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 27.12%3.69momio equitativo
EV -2.65%
Ventaja -0.737%
Kelly -1.02%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.59

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.05%27.07%27.05%28.24%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.153.373.403.5931.75%29.64%29.41%27.86%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: HJK Helsinki (Local): 37.86%; FC Inter Turku (Visitante): 35.02%; Empate: 27.12%. Para HJK Helsinki (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.64. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.66, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.704%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 36.18%EV +0.704%E +0.265%K +0.424%G +0.003%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.32%EV -7.19%E -2.71%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.50%EV -5.09%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-09 14:20
GTbets🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 36.79%EV -3.08%E -1.20%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.27%EV -6.49%E -2.43%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 27.94%EV -8.61%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 11:29
Pinnacle🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 38.10%EV -3.84%E -1.51%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.94%EV -2.98%E -1.08%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.96%EV -2.65%E -0.737%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-09 14:50
NordicBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.84%EV -4.60%E -1.82%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -7.19%E -2.71%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.13%EV -10.51%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-09 14:54
DraftKings🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -5.35%E -2.14%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -5.44%E -2.01%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -5.09%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-09 14:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -5.35%E -2.14%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -7.19%E -2.71%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -7.80%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 14:41
Bovada🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -5.35%E -2.14%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -7.19%E -2.71%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -7.80%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 14:54
BetMGM🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -5.35%E -2.14%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -7.19%E -2.71%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -7.80%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 14:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -5.35%E -2.14%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -8.24%E -3.14%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -11.87%E -3.65%K -5.27%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 14:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.67%EV -6.11%E -2.46%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.25%EV -7.19%E -2.71%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -6.44%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 14:25
Casumo🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.67%EV -6.11%E -2.46%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.25%EV -7.19%E -2.71%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -6.44%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 14:30
Grosvenor🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.67%EV -6.11%E -2.46%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.25%EV -7.19%E -2.71%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -6.44%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 14:30
TABtouch🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.67%EV -6.11%E -2.46%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.25%EV -7.19%E -2.71%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -6.44%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 14:30
betPARX🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.67%EV -6.11%E -2.46%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.25%EV -7.19%E -2.71%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -6.44%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 14:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.67%EV -6.11%E -2.46%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.25%EV -7.19%E -2.71%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -6.44%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 14:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.67%EV -6.11%E -2.46%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.25%EV -7.19%E -2.71%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -6.44%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 14:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.67%EV -6.11%E -2.46%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.25%EV -7.19%E -2.71%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -6.44%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 14:30
Unibet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.67%EV -6.11%E -2.46%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.25%EV -7.19%E -2.71%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -6.44%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 14:30
1xBet🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 37.86%EV -6.49%E -2.63%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.64%EV -5.44%E -2.01%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -7.80%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-09 14:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 37.91%EV -6.87%E -2.79%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.06%EV -6.84%E -2.57%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -6.44%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-09 14:55
FanDuel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -7.25%E -2.96%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -5.44%E -2.01%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.80%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 14:50
Betsson🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.83%EV -7.25%E -2.96%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.08%EV -4.74%E -1.74%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -10.51%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-09 14:45
LeoVegas🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -7.25%E -2.96%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -7.80%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-09 14:55
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -7.25%E -2.96%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -7.19%E -2.71%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -10.51%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 14:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -7.25%E -2.96%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -8.24%E -3.14%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -10.51%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-09 14:55
888sport🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -7.25%E -2.96%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -8.24%E -3.14%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -10.51%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-09 14:55
William Hill🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -7.25%E -2.96%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -8.24%E -3.14%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -10.51%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-09 14:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.89%EV -7.63%E -3.13%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.38%EV -3.33%E -1.21%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.73%EV -3.73%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 14:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.89%EV -7.63%E -3.13%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.38%EV -3.33%E -1.21%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.73%EV -3.73%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 14:50
BetAnything🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.89%EV -7.63%E -3.13%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.38%EV -3.33%E -1.21%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.73%EV -3.73%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 14:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -9.14%E -3.81%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -5.09%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-09 14:50
Bet Right🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.19%EV -9.14%E -3.81%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.25%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -6.44%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-09 14:55
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -9.14%E -3.81%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -8.24%E -3.14%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.80%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-09 12:20
betano_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -9.14%E -3.81%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -10.69%E -4.19%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -5.09%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-09 14:55
Bet Victor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -9.14%E -3.81%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -10.69%E -4.19%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -5.09%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-09 14:54
BetUS🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.88%EV -9.14%E -3.81%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.57%EV -7.89%E -3.00%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -10.51%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-09 14:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -9.14%E -3.81%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -10.69%E -4.19%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -7.80%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-09 13:45
PlayUp🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -9.14%E -3.81%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.51%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-09 14:55
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.57%EV -9.14%E -3.81%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.68%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -11.87%E -3.65%K -5.27%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-09 14:50
Neds🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -9.14%E -3.81%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.58%EV -12.44%E -4.98%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -11.87%E -3.65%K -5.27%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-09 14:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -9.14%E -3.81%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.58%EV -12.44%E -4.98%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -11.87%E -3.65%K -5.27%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-09 14:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -9.14%E -3.81%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.58%EV -12.44%E -4.98%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -11.87%E -3.65%K -5.27%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-09 14:55
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -9.14%E -3.81%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.58%EV -12.44%E -4.98%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -11.87%E -3.65%K -5.27%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-09 14:55
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -9.90%E -4.16%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -12.44%E -4.98%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -7.80%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-09 14:50
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -9.90%E -4.16%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.42%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.97%EV -13.22%E -4.13%K -6.01%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-09 14:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.35%EV -9.90%E -4.16%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.86%EV -10.69%E -4.19%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -13.22%E -4.13%K -6.01%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-09 14:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.81%EV -11.03%E -4.69%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.85%EV -10.69%E -4.19%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -11.87%E -3.65%K -5.27%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-09 14:30
BetRivers🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.81%EV -11.03%E -4.69%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.85%EV -10.69%E -4.19%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -11.87%E -3.65%K -5.27%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-09 14:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.55%EV -11.03%E -4.69%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.30%EV -12.44%E -4.98%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.15%EV -11.87%E -3.65%K -5.27%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-09 14:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.55%EV -11.03%E -4.69%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.30%EV -12.44%E -4.98%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.15%EV -11.87%E -3.65%K -5.27%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-09 14:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -12.93%E -5.62%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -10.51%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-09 14:40
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -12.93%E -5.62%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -12.44%E -4.98%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -7.80%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-09 14:55
PMU (FR)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 37.56%EV -13.68%E -6.00%K -10.69%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 35.25%EV -14.89%E -6.13%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.19%EV -14.58%E -4.63%K -6.78%G +0.000%16.8%2026-09-09 14:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook◎2.62I 38.17%NM 37.97%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.78%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.25%0.5%2026-09-09 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.64I 37.88%NM 37.64%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.75%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-09-09 14:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.64I 37.88%NM 37.64%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.75%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-09-09 14:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.64I 37.88%NM 37.64%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.75%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-09-09 14:50