Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

HJK Helsinki v FC Inter Turku

Kickoff: 2026-06-17 15:02 UTC

Final: HJK Helsinki 3–3 FC Inter Turku

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

54 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

HJK Helsinki (Local)

Prediction 37.48%2.67fair odd
EV -2.94%
Edge -1.13%
Kelly -1.85%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.24%37.46%37.42%38.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.232.442.432.5944.84%41.04%41.15%38.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Inter Turku (Visit)

Prediction 34.90%2.87fair odd
EV -3.67%
Edge -1.33%
Kelly -2.08%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.76

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.56%34.83%34.96%35.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.642.632.7641.67%37.87%38.10%36.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.62%3.62fair odd
EV -0.566%
Edge -0.157%
Kelly -0.218%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.67%27.71%27.62%30.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.303.353.6035.71%30.29%29.85%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: HJK Helsinki (Local): 37.48%; FC Inter Turku (Visit): 34.90%; Draw: 27.62%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.62. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.60, with an expected value of -0.566%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 37.38%EV -2.94%E -1.13%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.20%EV -4.02%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.42%EV -2.50%E -0.708%K -0.988%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-17 14:59
GTbets🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 36.45%EV -2.94%E -1.13%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.62%EV -7.51%E -2.83%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.93%EV -6.64%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-17 14:59
BetOnline.ag🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.33%EV -4.81%E -1.89%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.36%EV -3.67%E -1.33%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.31%EV -7.47%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-17 15:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.33%EV -4.81%E -1.89%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.36%EV -3.67%E -1.33%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.31%EV -7.47%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-17 14:59
BetAnything🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.33%EV -4.81%E -1.89%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.36%EV -3.67%E -1.33%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.31%EV -7.47%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-17 14:59
Coolbet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.41%EV -6.31%E -2.52%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.92%EV -4.02%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.67%EV -0.566%E -0.157%K -0.218%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-17 15:01
Bovada🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -6.31%E -2.52%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -5.76%E -2.13%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-17 14:59
BetUS🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -6.31%E -2.52%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -5.76%E -2.13%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-17 15:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.31%E -2.52%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -4.02%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -8.85%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-17 14:59
1xBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.45%EV -6.31%E -2.52%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.33%EV -7.51%E -2.83%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.22%EV -4.99%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-17 14:59
DraftKings🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -6.31%E -2.52%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -9.25%E -3.56%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -3.33%E -0.951%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-17 15:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.31%EV -6.31%E -2.52%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 34.93%EV -6.81%E -2.55%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.76%EV -7.20%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-17 14:59
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -6.31%E -2.52%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -8.55%E -3.26%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -11.61%E -3.63%K -5.28%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-17 15:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -6.31%E -2.52%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -5.76%E -2.13%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -17.14%E -5.71%K -8.57%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-17 15:01
NordicBet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV -7.06%E -2.85%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.51%EV -8.55%E -3.26%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -4.71%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-17 15:00
betPARX🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -8.18%E -3.34%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -4.02%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-17 15:01
Svenska Spel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -8.18%E -3.34%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -4.02%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-17 15:01
ATG (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -8.18%E -3.34%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -4.02%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-17 15:00
FanDuel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -8.18%E -3.34%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -5.76%E -2.13%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -8.85%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-17 15:01
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -8.18%E -3.34%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -9.25%E -3.56%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-17 14:59
Bet Right🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.40%EV -8.18%E -3.34%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.24%EV -9.25%E -3.56%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -7.47%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-17 15:00
888sport🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -8.18%E -3.34%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -8.55%E -3.26%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -8.85%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-17 14:59
Bet Victor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -8.18%E -3.34%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -9.25%E -3.56%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -8.85%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-17 15:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -8.18%E -3.34%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.31%EV -8.55%E -3.26%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -14.38%E -4.64%K -6.85%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-17 15:01
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -8.18%E -3.34%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.31%EV -8.55%E -3.26%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -14.38%E -4.64%K -6.85%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-17 15:00
Grosvenor🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.33%EV -8.93%E -3.68%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.87%EV -4.02%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -7.47%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-17 15:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.09%EV -8.93%E -3.68%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.28%EV -5.76%E -2.13%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -7.47%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-17 15:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.09%EV -8.93%E -3.68%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.28%EV -5.76%E -2.13%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -7.47%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-17 15:01
Unibet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.85%EV -8.93%E -3.68%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.70%EV -7.51%E -2.83%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.45%EV -7.47%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-17 15:01
Unibet (NL)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.85%EV -8.93%E -3.68%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.70%EV -7.51%E -2.83%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.45%EV -7.47%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-17 15:00
TABtouch🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.85%EV -8.93%E -3.68%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.70%EV -7.51%E -2.83%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.45%EV -7.47%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-17 15:00
Casumo🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.85%EV -8.93%E -3.68%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.70%EV -7.51%E -2.83%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.45%EV -7.47%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-17 15:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.85%EV -8.93%E -3.68%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.70%EV -7.51%E -2.83%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.45%EV -7.47%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-17 15:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.75%EV -8.93%E -3.68%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.88%EV -8.20%E -3.12%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -7.47%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-17 15:00
BetRivers🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.75%EV -8.93%E -3.68%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.88%EV -8.20%E -3.12%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -7.47%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-17 14:57
LeoVegas🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -10.06%E -4.19%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.71%EV -8.20%E -3.12%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.25%EV -7.47%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-17 15:00
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -10.06%E -4.19%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -8.55%E -3.26%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.85%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-17 15:00
SportsBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -10.06%E -4.19%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -8.55%E -3.26%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.85%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-17 15:00
Betsson🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -10.06%E -4.19%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -11.00%E -4.31%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-17 15:00
Everygame🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -10.06%E -4.19%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -9.25%E -3.56%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -8.85%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-17 14:59
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -10.06%E -4.19%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -9.25%E -3.56%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -8.85%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-17 14:59
PlayUp🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -10.06%E -4.19%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.41%EV -11.00%E -4.31%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -7.47%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-17 14:59
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.57%EV -10.06%E -4.19%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.68%EV -9.25%E -3.56%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -10.23%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-17 14:58
Neds🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -10.06%E -4.19%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -9.25%E -3.56%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -11.61%E -3.63%K -5.28%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-17 14:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -10.06%E -4.19%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -9.25%E -3.56%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -11.61%E -3.63%K -5.28%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-17 14:59
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -10.06%E -4.19%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -9.25%E -3.56%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -11.61%E -3.63%K -5.28%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-17 15:00
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -10.81%E -4.54%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.42%EV -9.25%E -3.56%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.97%EV -11.61%E -3.63%K -5.28%G +0.000%11.7%2026-06-17 15:00
BetMGM🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.27%EV -10.81%E -4.54%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.12%EV -9.25%E -3.56%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.61%EV -14.38%E -4.64%K -6.85%G +0.000%12.7%2026-06-17 15:00
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.25%EV -10.81%E -4.54%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.47%EV -12.74%E -5.10%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.28%EV -10.23%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.8%2026-06-17 15:01
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 36.87%EV -11.18%E -4.72%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.95%EV -12.74%E -5.10%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.18%EV -14.38%E -4.64%K -6.85%G +0.000%14.5%2026-06-17 15:00
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.68%EV -13.80%E -6.00%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.95%EV -8.55%E -3.26%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -10.23%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.4%2026-06-17 15:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.41%EV -13.80%E -6.00%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.98%EV -9.25%E -3.56%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.61%EV -11.61%E -3.63%K -5.28%G +0.000%13.2%2026-06-17 14:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 36.48%EV -15.68%E -6.97%K -12.54%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 34.20%EV -16.23%E -6.76%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.32%EV -22.66%E -8.09%K -12.59%G +0.000%21.8%2026-06-17 15:00
PMU (FR)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 38.12%EV -16.43%E -7.37%K -13.36%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.00%EV -12.74%E -5.10%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.87%EV -15.76%E -5.17%K -7.69%G +0.000%17.6%2026-06-17 15:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.51%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.26%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%0.6%2026-06-17 15:01
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.51%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.26%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%0.6%2026-06-17 15:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.51%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.26%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%0.6%2026-06-17 15:00
Matchbook2.64I 37.88%NM 36.05%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.74%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.21%5.1%2026-06-17 15:00