Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Lahti v KuPS Kuopio

Kickoff: 2026-08-16 14:02 UTC

Final: FC Lahti 1–2 KuPS Kuopio

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

54 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Lahti (Local)

Prediction 35.10%2.85fair odd
EV +0.046%
Edge +0.016%
Kelly +0.025%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.69%35.06%35.10%36.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.622.632.8541.67%38.24%38.02%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

KuPS Kuopio (Visit)

Prediction 37.09%2.70fair odd
EV -2.81%
Edge -1.07%
Kelly -1.74%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.11%37.20%37.08%38.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.482.462.6243.48%40.36%40.65%38.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.80%3.60fair odd
EV -1.58%
Edge -0.446%
Kelly -0.622%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.54

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.63%27.74%27.82%28.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.303.303.5432.79%30.27%30.30%28.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Lahti (Local): 35.10%; KuPS Kuopio (Visit): 37.09%; Draw: 27.80%. For FC Lahti (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.849. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.850, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.046%.

Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.69%EV +0.046%E +0.016%K +0.025%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.87%EV -8.38%E -3.39%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.43%EV -2.69%E -0.769%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-16 10:19
Pinnacle🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 34.72%EV -2.06%E -0.739%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.69%EV -4.67%E -1.82%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.60%EV -2.41%E -0.687%K -0.961%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-16 13:59
BetMGM🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -3.46%E -1.26%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -10.98%E -4.57%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-16 10:14
Bovada🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -5.22%E -1.93%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -9.12%E -3.72%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-16 13:44
BetUS🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -5.22%E -1.93%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -9.12%E -3.72%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-16 13:45
FanDuel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -5.22%E -1.93%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.27%E -2.91%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-16 13:39
GTbets🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.29%EV -5.92%E -2.21%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.99%EV -7.64%E -3.07%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.72%EV -1.58%E -0.446%K -0.622%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 10:14
DraftKings🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -6.98%E -2.63%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -3.56%E -1.37%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 13:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -6.98%E -2.63%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -5.41%E -2.12%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 13:59
Betsson🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -6.98%E -2.63%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.84%EV -6.52%E -2.59%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.13%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-16 13:54
NordicBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -6.98%E -2.63%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.84%EV -6.52%E -2.59%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.13%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-16 13:54
SportsBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -6.98%E -2.63%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -9.12%E -3.72%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-16 13:39
Bet Right🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -6.98%E -2.63%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -9.12%E -3.72%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-16 10:19
Tipico (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -6.98%E -2.63%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -9.12%E -3.72%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-16 13:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -6.98%E -2.63%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -9.12%E -3.72%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-16 10:19
BetOnline.ag🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.92%EV -7.33%E -2.78%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.19%EV -2.81%E -1.07%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.89%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 13:59
LowVig.ag🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.92%EV -7.33%E -2.78%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.19%EV -2.81%E -1.07%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.89%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 13:59
BetAnything🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.92%EV -7.33%E -2.78%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.19%EV -2.81%E -1.07%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.89%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 13:59
Unibet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.51%EV -7.68%E -2.92%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -5.41%E -2.12%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -6.86%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-13 06:55
Grosvenor🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.51%EV -7.68%E -2.92%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -5.41%E -2.12%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -6.86%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-13 07:00
Casumo🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.51%EV -7.68%E -2.92%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -5.41%E -2.12%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -6.86%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-13 06:55
TABtouch🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.51%EV -7.68%E -2.92%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -5.41%E -2.12%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -6.86%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-13 06:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.51%EV -7.68%E -2.92%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -5.41%E -2.12%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -6.86%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-13 06:59
Unibet (NL)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.51%EV -7.68%E -2.92%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -5.41%E -2.12%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -6.86%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-13 06:59
betPARX🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.51%EV -7.68%E -2.92%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -5.41%E -2.12%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -6.86%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-13 07:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.51%EV -7.68%E -2.92%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -5.41%E -2.12%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -6.86%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-13 07:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.51%EV -7.68%E -2.92%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -5.41%E -2.12%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -6.86%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-13 06:59
Neds🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.17%EV -7.68%E -2.92%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -11.72%E -4.92%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-16 10:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.17%EV -7.68%E -2.92%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -11.72%E -4.92%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-16 10:14
Betway🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -8.03%E -3.06%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.88%EV -7.27%E -2.91%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-16 14:00
Bet Victor🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -8.03%E -3.06%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -9.12%E -3.72%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-16 13:53
betano_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -8.03%E -3.06%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -9.12%E -3.72%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-16 13:53
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.36%EV -8.03%E -3.06%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -10.98%E -4.57%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-16 13:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.20%EV -8.03%E -3.06%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.80%EV -12.09%E -5.10%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-16 10:14
Coral🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.20%EV -8.03%E -3.06%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.80%EV -12.09%E -5.10%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-16 10:14
Marathon Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.85%EV -8.73%E -3.36%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.41%EV -5.04%E -1.97%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.74%EV -6.58%E -1.96%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-16 13:59
LeoVegas🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -8.73%E -3.36%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -9.12%E -3.72%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-16 13:59
Betr (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -8.73%E -3.36%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -10.98%E -4.57%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-16 10:19
PlayUp🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -8.73%E -3.36%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -9.12%E -3.72%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-16 13:54
betfred_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.68%EV -8.73%E -3.36%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.57%EV -10.98%E -4.57%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -9.64%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-16 10:20
Sky Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -8.73%E -3.36%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -10.98%E -4.57%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-16 13:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -8.73%E -3.36%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -10.98%E -4.57%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-16 13:50
Unibet (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -8.73%E -3.36%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -14.68%E -6.38%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-16 13:59
1xBet🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 36.12%EV -9.08%E -3.51%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.84%EV -5.78%E -2.28%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.04%EV -3.80%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 13:59
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -12.24%E -4.90%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -7.27%E -2.91%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -9.64%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-13 18:19
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -12.24%E -4.90%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -7.27%E -2.91%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -9.64%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-13 18:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -12.24%E -4.90%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -7.27%E -2.91%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -9.64%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-13 18:19
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -12.24%E -4.90%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -7.27%E -2.91%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -9.64%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-13 18:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.54%EV -12.24%E -4.90%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.26%EV -9.12%E -3.72%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.20%EV -12.42%E -3.94%K -5.78%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-13 06:54
BetRivers🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.54%EV -12.24%E -4.90%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.26%EV -9.12%E -3.72%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.20%EV -12.42%E -3.94%K -5.78%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-13 06:54
LiveScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.54%EV -12.24%E -4.90%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.26%EV -9.12%E -3.72%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.20%EV -12.42%E -3.94%K -5.78%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-13 06:54
Virgin Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.54%EV -12.24%E -4.90%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.26%EV -9.12%E -3.72%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.20%EV -12.42%E -3.94%K -5.78%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-13 06:55
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.16%EV -12.24%E -4.90%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.21%EV -14.68%E -6.38%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-16 10:24
PMU (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 35.61%EV -15.75%E -6.56%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 36.37%EV -12.83%E -5.46%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.02%EV -15.20%E -4.98%K -7.42%G +0.000%17.0%2026-08-13 06:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.36%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.94%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.70%0.3%2026-08-16 13:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.36%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.94%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.70%0.3%2026-08-16 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.27%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.11%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.63%0.6%2026-08-16 14:00
Matchbook2.78I 35.97%NM 35.19%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.63%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.18%2.2%2026-08-16 14:00