Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.65
assuming max odds 5.43
assuming max odds 4.25
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Lahti (Local): 58.03%; Jaro (Visit): 18.48%; Draw: 23.49%. For Jaro (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.41. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.43, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.338%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.79%EV -4.83%E -2.94%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 5.43I 18.42%NM 17.76%EV +0.338%E +0.062%K +0.076%G +0.000% | 4.11I 24.33%NM 23.46%EV -3.46%E -0.841%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-18 14:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.25%EV -7.15%E -4.47%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 5.38I 18.59%NM 17.62%EV -0.585%E -0.109%K -0.134%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.12%EV -3.69%E -0.900%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-18 14:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.36%EV -5.99%E -3.70%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -2.99%E -0.569%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -6.04%E -1.51%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-18 14:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.93%EV -5.41%E -3.32%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.47%EV -3.91%E -0.752%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.60%EV -0.167%E -0.039%K -0.051%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-18 05:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.11%EV -5.41%E -3.32%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.21%EV -3.91%E -0.752%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -6.04%E -1.51%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-18 14:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.11%EV -5.41%E -3.32%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.21%EV -3.91%E -0.752%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -6.04%E -1.51%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-18 14:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.11%EV -5.41%E -3.32%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.21%EV -3.91%E -0.752%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -6.04%E -1.51%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-18 14:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.47%EV -7.73%E -4.86%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.05%EV -4.84%E -0.939%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 23.48%EV -6.98%E -1.76%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-18 14:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.50%EV -7.73%E -4.86%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.24%EV -5.76%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -6.04%E -1.51%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-18 14:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.95%EV -10.05%E -6.48%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.92%EV -5.76%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.13%EV -7.21%E -1.83%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-18 05:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.95%EV -10.05%E -6.48%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.92%EV -5.76%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.13%EV -7.21%E -1.83%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-18 05:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.95%EV -10.05%E -6.48%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.92%EV -5.76%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.13%EV -7.21%E -1.83%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-18 05:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.95%EV -10.05%E -6.48%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.92%EV -5.76%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.13%EV -7.21%E -1.83%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-18 05:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.95%EV -10.05%E -6.48%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.92%EV -5.76%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.13%EV -7.21%E -1.83%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-18 05:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.95%EV -10.05%E -6.48%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.92%EV -5.76%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.13%EV -7.21%E -1.83%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-18 05:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.95%EV -10.05%E -6.48%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.92%EV -5.76%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.13%EV -7.21%E -1.83%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-18 05:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.95%EV -10.05%E -6.48%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.92%EV -5.76%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.13%EV -7.21%E -1.83%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-18 04:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.95%EV -10.05%E -6.48%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.92%EV -5.76%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.13%EV -7.21%E -1.83%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-18 05:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.02%EV -6.57%E -4.08%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 5.08I 19.69%NM 18.39%EV -6.13%E -1.21%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 23.59%EV -6.98%E -1.76%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-18 14:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -5.99%E -3.70%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -7.61%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.04%E -1.51%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-18 14:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -5.99%E -3.70%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -7.61%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.04%E -1.51%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-18 14:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -5.99%E -3.70%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -7.61%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.04%E -1.51%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-18 14:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -5.99%E -3.70%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -7.61%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.04%E -1.51%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-18 14:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.95%EV -7.73%E -4.86%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -7.61%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -8.39%E -2.15%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-18 14:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -8.89%E -5.66%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -7.61%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -6.04%E -1.51%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-18 14:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.25%EV -7.15%E -4.47%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -7.61%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -11.91%E -3.18%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-18 14:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.25%EV -7.15%E -4.47%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -7.61%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -11.91%E -3.18%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-18 14:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.25%EV -7.15%E -4.47%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -7.61%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -11.91%E -3.18%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-18 14:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.25%EV -7.15%E -4.47%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -7.61%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -11.91%E -3.18%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-18 14:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -8.89%E -5.66%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -7.61%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -10.74%E -2.83%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-18 14:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -8.89%E -5.66%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -7.61%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -11.91%E -3.18%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-18 14:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.02%EV -12.37%E -8.19%K -24.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -7.61%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.15%EV -9.56%E -2.48%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-18 05:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.02%EV -12.37%E -8.19%K -24.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -7.61%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.15%EV -9.56%E -2.48%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-18 04:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -12.95%E -8.64%K -25.91%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -7.61%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -10.74%E -2.83%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-18 05:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -12.95%E -8.64%K -25.91%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -7.61%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -10.74%E -2.83%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-18 04:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.93%EV -4.25%E -2.57%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.98%EV -8.53%E -1.72%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -8.39%E -2.15%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-18 14:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.10%EV -5.99%E -3.70%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -9.46%E -1.93%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -9.56%E -2.48%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-18 14:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.40%EV -7.15%E -4.47%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -9.46%E -1.93%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -9.56%E -2.48%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-18 14:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.40%EV -7.15%E -4.47%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -9.46%E -1.93%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -9.56%E -2.48%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-18 14:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.00%EV -7.15%E -4.47%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.00%EV -11.30%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.74%E -2.83%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-18 14:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.31%EV -8.31%E -5.26%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.86%EV -11.30%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -10.74%E -2.83%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-18 14:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 59.20%EV -16.44%E -11.41%K -37.35%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 17.76%EV -11.30%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.04%EV -13.09%E -3.54%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 17.3% | 2026-09-18 05:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -7.15%E -4.47%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -12.23%E -2.57%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -6.04%E -1.51%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-18 14:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.52%EV -7.15%E -4.47%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -12.23%E -2.57%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -13.09%E -3.54%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-18 14:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.98%EV -11.21%E -7.33%K -21.16%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.68%EV -12.23%E -2.57%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.34%EV -10.74%E -2.83%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-18 14:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.82%EV -8.89%E -5.66%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -15.00%E -3.26%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -11.91%E -3.18%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-18 14:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.82%EV -8.89%E -5.66%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -15.00%E -3.26%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -11.91%E -3.18%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-18 14:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.82%EV -8.89%E -5.66%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -15.00%E -3.26%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -11.91%E -3.18%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-18 14:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.82%EV -8.89%E -5.66%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -15.00%E -3.26%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -11.91%E -3.18%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-18 14:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.82%EV -8.89%E -5.66%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -15.00%E -3.26%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -11.91%E -3.18%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-18 14:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 57.76%EV -14.69%E -10.00%K -31.26%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 18.66%EV -15.92%E -3.50%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.58%EV -15.44%E -4.29%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 17.8% | 2026-09-18 14:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.07%EV -10.05%E -6.48%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.66%EV -16.85%E -3.74%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.28%EV -10.74%E -2.83%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-18 14:40 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 59.12% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.17% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.71% | 0.1% | 2026-09-18 14:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 59.12% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.17% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.71% | 0.1% | 2026-09-18 14:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 59.12% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.17% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.71% | 0.1% | 2026-09-18 14:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.64% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.91% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.45% | 1.5% | 2026-09-18 14:55 |