Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

FC Lahti v Jaro

Início: 2026-08-01 15:00 UTC

Final: FC Lahti 2–0 Jaro

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

55 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

FC Lahti (Local)

Previsão 60.61%1.65odd justa
EV -3.02%
Vantagem -1.89%
Kelly -5.03%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
58.31%60.54%60.79%62.22%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.441.531.541.6069.44%65.39%64.94%62.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Jaro (Visitante)

Previsão 17.24%5.80odd justa
EV +3.46%
Vantagem +0.577%
Kelly +0.692%
Crescimento +0.024%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
15.83%17.27%17.16%19.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.505.265.106.0022.22%19.01%19.61%16.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 22.14%4.52odd justa
EV -0.362%
Vantagem -0.081%
Kelly -0.104%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.22%22.19%22.05%23.47%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.854.084.004.5025.97%24.51%25.00%22.22%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: FC Lahti (Local): 60.61%; Jaro (Visitante): 17.24%; Empate: 22.14%. Para Jaro (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 5.80. 8 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 6.00, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +3.46%.

Odds das casas de apostas (55 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
LowVig.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.47%EV -4.83%E -3.08%K -8.48%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV +3.46%E +0.577%K +0.692%G +0.024%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.44%EV -4.79%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-01 14:44
BetOnline.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.47%EV -4.83%E -3.08%K -8.48%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV +3.46%E +0.577%K +0.692%G +0.024%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.44%EV -4.79%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-01 14:44
BetUS🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.47%EV -4.83%E -3.08%K -8.48%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV +3.46%E +0.577%K +0.692%G +0.024%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.44%EV -4.79%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-01 14:44
BetAnything🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.47%EV -4.83%E -3.08%K -8.48%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV +3.46%E +0.577%K +0.692%G +0.024%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.44%EV -4.79%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-01 14:50
FanDuel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.22%EV -8.47%E -5.61%K -16.61%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.93%EV +1.74%E +0.294%K +0.354%G +0.006%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.85%EV -4.79%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-01 14:45
Pinnacle🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.19%EV -6.05%E -3.90%K -10.99%G +0.000%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.39%EV +1.39%E +0.237%K +0.285%G +0.004%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.42%EV -0.362%E -0.081%K -0.104%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-01 14:55
SportsBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.05%EV -9.68%E -6.50%K -19.76%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.94%EV +0.012%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -7.00%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-01 14:44
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -9.08%E -6.05%K -18.16%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV +0.012%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -11.43%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-01 14:49
1xBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.88%EV -5.44%E -3.49%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.61I 17.83%NM 16.65%EV -3.26%E -0.582%K -0.708%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.47%EV -11.88%E -2.98%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 14:54
DraftKings🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.04%EV -6.65%E -4.32%K -12.32%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.09%EV -5.16%E -0.938%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -4.79%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-01 14:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.89%EV -6.65%E -4.32%K -12.32%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -5.16%E -0.938%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV -5.90%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-01 14:49
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -9.08%E -6.05%K -18.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -5.16%E -0.938%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-01 14:48
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -9.08%E -6.05%K -18.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -5.16%E -0.938%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-01 14:49
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -12.71%E -8.83%K -28.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -5.16%E -0.938%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -11.43%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-01 14:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -12.71%E -8.83%K -28.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -5.16%E -0.938%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -11.43%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-01 14:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.95%EV -7.26%E -4.74%K -13.70%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.11%EV -6.02%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -5.90%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-01 14:55
GTbets🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.46%EV -3.62%E -2.28%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.41I 18.48%NM 17.48%EV -6.71%E -1.24%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.06%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-01 14:49
Coolbet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.09%EV -3.02%E -1.89%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -6.89%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.10%EV -3.68%E -0.847%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-01 14:39
Bovada🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -5.44%E -3.49%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -6.89%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-01 14:55
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.22%EV -6.05%E -3.90%K -10.99%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -6.89%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -8.11%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 14:50
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.22%EV -6.05%E -3.90%K -10.99%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -6.89%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -8.11%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 14:49
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.24%EV -6.65%E -4.32%K -12.32%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.67%EV -9.47%E -1.80%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -7.00%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-01 14:54
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.27%EV -9.08%E -6.05%K -18.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -9.47%E -1.80%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -4.13%E -0.953%K -1.24%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-01 14:44
Everygame🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.55%EV -9.08%E -6.05%K -18.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -9.47%E -1.80%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-01 14:34
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.37%EV -7.87%E -5.17%K -15.13%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.19%EV -9.47%E -1.80%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -14.75%E -3.83%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-01 14:49
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.85%EV -12.71%E -8.83%K -28.90%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.69%EV -9.47%E -1.80%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.47%EV -13.65%E -3.50%K -4.71%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-01 14:45
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.77%EV -9.08%E -6.05%K -18.16%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.53%EV -10.33%E -1.99%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -7.00%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-01 14:55
Unibet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.12%EV -6.05%E -3.90%K -10.99%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.97%EV -12.06%E -2.36%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -11.43%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-01 14:44
Unibet (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.12%EV -6.05%E -3.90%K -10.99%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.97%EV -12.06%E -2.36%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -11.43%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-01 14:45
TABtouch🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.12%EV -6.05%E -3.90%K -10.99%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.97%EV -12.06%E -2.36%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -11.43%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-01 14:44
Unibet (NL)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.12%EV -6.05%E -3.90%K -10.99%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.97%EV -12.06%E -2.36%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -11.43%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-01 14:45
Casumo🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.12%EV -6.05%E -3.90%K -10.99%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.97%EV -12.06%E -2.36%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -11.43%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-01 14:45
Grosvenor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.12%EV -6.05%E -3.90%K -10.99%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.97%EV -12.06%E -2.36%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -11.43%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-01 14:45
betPARX🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.12%EV -6.05%E -3.90%K -10.99%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.97%EV -12.06%E -2.36%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -11.43%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-01 14:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.12%EV -6.05%E -3.90%K -10.99%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.97%EV -12.06%E -2.36%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -11.43%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-01 14:44
ATG (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.12%EV -6.05%E -3.90%K -10.99%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.97%EV -12.06%E -2.36%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -11.43%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-01 14:45
BetRivers🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.28%EV -6.65%E -4.32%K -12.32%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.90%EV -12.06%E -2.36%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.82%EV -11.43%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-01 14:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.28%EV -6.65%E -4.32%K -12.32%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.90%EV -12.06%E -2.36%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.82%EV -11.43%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-01 14:44
LiveScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.44%EV -7.26%E -4.74%K -13.70%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.83%EV -12.06%E -2.36%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -11.43%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-01 14:44
Virgin Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.44%EV -7.26%E -4.74%K -13.70%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.83%EV -12.06%E -2.36%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -11.43%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-01 14:44
Bet Right🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.75%EV -5.44%E -3.49%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -13.78%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -11.43%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-01 14:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.75%EV -5.44%E -3.49%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -13.78%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -11.43%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-01 14:49
William Hill🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -6.05%E -3.90%K -10.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -13.78%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -11.43%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-01 14:35
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.26%E -4.74%K -13.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -13.78%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -11.43%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-01 14:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.26%E -4.74%K -13.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -13.78%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -11.43%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-01 14:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.26%E -4.74%K -13.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -13.78%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -11.43%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-01 14:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 60.19%EV -10.90%E -7.41%K -23.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -13.78%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.12%EV -11.43%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-01 14:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.35%EV -6.05%E -3.90%K -10.99%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.46%EV -15.51%E -3.16%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -13.65%E -3.50%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-01 14:49
PMU (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 59.30%EV -10.29%E -6.95%K -21.44%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.91%EV -15.51%E -3.16%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.79%EV -14.75%E -3.83%K -5.18%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-01 14:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -9.08%E -6.05%K -18.16%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -17.23%E -3.59%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -11.43%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-01 14:49
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -9.08%E -6.05%K -18.16%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -17.23%E -3.59%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -11.43%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-01 14:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -9.08%E -6.05%K -18.16%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -17.23%E -3.59%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -11.43%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-01 14:55
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -9.08%E -6.05%K -18.16%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -17.23%E -3.59%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -11.43%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-01 14:50
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.31%EV -7.26%E -4.74%K -13.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -20.68%E -4.50%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -11.43%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-01 14:50
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.54%EV -9.08%E -6.05%K -18.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.51%EV -22.40%E -4.98%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -11.43%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-01 14:39
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.03%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51%1.1%2026-08-01 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.03%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51%1.1%2026-08-01 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.03%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51%1.1%2026-08-01 14:55
Matchbook1.57I 63.69%NM 63.03%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51%1.1%2026-08-01 14:55