Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

FC Lahti v Jaro

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-01 15:00 UTC

Score final : FC Lahti 2–0 Jaro

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

FC Lahti (Local)

Prévision 60.61%1.65cote équitable
EV -3.02%
Avantage -1.89%
Kelly -5.03%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.31%60.54%60.79%62.22%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.441.531.541.6069.44%65.39%64.94%62.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Jaro (Visiteur)

Prévision 17.24%5.80cote équitable
EV +3.46%
Avantage +0.577%
Kelly +0.692%
Croissance +0.024%

avec la cote maximale 6.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.83%17.27%17.16%19.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.505.265.106.0022.22%19.01%19.61%16.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 22.14%4.52cote équitable
EV -0.362%
Avantage -0.081%
Kelly -0.104%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.22%22.19%22.05%23.47%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.854.084.004.5025.97%24.51%25.00%22.22%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : FC Lahti (Local) : 60.61% ; Jaro (Visiteur) : 17.24% ; Match nul : 22.14%. Pour Jaro (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.80. 8 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 6.00, soit une espérance positive de +3.46%.

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.47%EV -4.83%E -3.08%K -8.48%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV +3.46%E +0.577%K +0.692%G +0.024%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.44%EV -4.79%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-01 14:44
BetOnline.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.47%EV -4.83%E -3.08%K -8.48%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV +3.46%E +0.577%K +0.692%G +0.024%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.44%EV -4.79%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-01 14:44
BetUS🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.47%EV -4.83%E -3.08%K -8.48%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV +3.46%E +0.577%K +0.692%G +0.024%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.44%EV -4.79%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-01 14:44
BetAnything🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.47%EV -4.83%E -3.08%K -8.48%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV +3.46%E +0.577%K +0.692%G +0.024%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.44%EV -4.79%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-01 14:50
FanDuel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.22%EV -8.47%E -5.61%K -16.61%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.93%EV +1.74%E +0.294%K +0.354%G +0.006%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.85%EV -4.79%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-01 14:45
Pinnacle🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.19%EV -6.05%E -3.90%K -10.99%G +0.000%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.39%EV +1.39%E +0.237%K +0.285%G +0.004%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.42%EV -0.362%E -0.081%K -0.104%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-01 14:55
SportsBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.05%EV -9.68%E -6.50%K -19.76%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.94%EV +0.012%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -7.00%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-01 14:44
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -9.08%E -6.05%K -18.16%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV +0.012%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -11.43%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-01 14:49
1xBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.88%EV -5.44%E -3.49%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.61I 17.83%NM 16.65%EV -3.26%E -0.582%K -0.708%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.47%EV -11.88%E -2.98%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 14:54
DraftKings🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.04%EV -6.65%E -4.32%K -12.32%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.09%EV -5.16%E -0.938%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -4.79%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-01 14:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.89%EV -6.65%E -4.32%K -12.32%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -5.16%E -0.938%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV -5.90%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-01 14:49
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -9.08%E -6.05%K -18.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -5.16%E -0.938%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-01 14:48
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -9.08%E -6.05%K -18.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -5.16%E -0.938%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-01 14:49
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -12.71%E -8.83%K -28.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -5.16%E -0.938%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -11.43%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-01 14:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -12.71%E -8.83%K -28.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -5.16%E -0.938%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -11.43%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-01 14:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.95%EV -7.26%E -4.74%K -13.70%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.11%EV -6.02%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -5.90%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-01 14:55
GTbets🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.46%EV -3.62%E -2.28%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.41I 18.48%NM 17.48%EV -6.71%E -1.24%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.06%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-01 14:49
Coolbet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.09%EV -3.02%E -1.89%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -6.89%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.10%EV -3.68%E -0.847%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-01 14:39
Bovada🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -5.44%E -3.49%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -6.89%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-01 14:55
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.22%EV -6.05%E -3.90%K -10.99%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -6.89%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -8.11%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 14:50
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.22%EV -6.05%E -3.90%K -10.99%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -6.89%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -8.11%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 14:49
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.24%EV -6.65%E -4.32%K -12.32%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.67%EV -9.47%E -1.80%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -7.00%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-01 14:54
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.27%EV -9.08%E -6.05%K -18.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -9.47%E -1.80%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -4.13%E -0.953%K -1.24%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-01 14:44
Everygame🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.55%EV -9.08%E -6.05%K -18.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -9.47%E -1.80%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-01 14:34
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.37%EV -7.87%E -5.17%K -15.13%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.19%EV -9.47%E -1.80%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -14.75%E -3.83%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-01 14:49
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.85%EV -12.71%E -8.83%K -28.90%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.69%EV -9.47%E -1.80%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.47%EV -13.65%E -3.50%K -4.71%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-01 14:45
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.77%EV -9.08%E -6.05%K -18.16%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.53%EV -10.33%E -1.99%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -7.00%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-01 14:55
Unibet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.12%EV -6.05%E -3.90%K -10.99%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.97%EV -12.06%E -2.36%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -11.43%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-01 14:44
Unibet (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.12%EV -6.05%E -3.90%K -10.99%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.97%EV -12.06%E -2.36%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -11.43%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-01 14:45
TABtouch🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.12%EV -6.05%E -3.90%K -10.99%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.97%EV -12.06%E -2.36%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -11.43%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-01 14:44
Unibet (NL)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.12%EV -6.05%E -3.90%K -10.99%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.97%EV -12.06%E -2.36%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -11.43%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-01 14:45
Casumo🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.12%EV -6.05%E -3.90%K -10.99%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.97%EV -12.06%E -2.36%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -11.43%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-01 14:45
Grosvenor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.12%EV -6.05%E -3.90%K -10.99%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.97%EV -12.06%E -2.36%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -11.43%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-01 14:45
betPARX🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.12%EV -6.05%E -3.90%K -10.99%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.97%EV -12.06%E -2.36%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -11.43%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-01 14:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.12%EV -6.05%E -3.90%K -10.99%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.97%EV -12.06%E -2.36%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -11.43%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-01 14:44
ATG (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.12%EV -6.05%E -3.90%K -10.99%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.97%EV -12.06%E -2.36%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -11.43%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-01 14:45
BetRivers🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.28%EV -6.65%E -4.32%K -12.32%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.90%EV -12.06%E -2.36%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.82%EV -11.43%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-01 14:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.28%EV -6.65%E -4.32%K -12.32%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.90%EV -12.06%E -2.36%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.82%EV -11.43%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-01 14:44
LiveScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.44%EV -7.26%E -4.74%K -13.70%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.83%EV -12.06%E -2.36%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -11.43%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-01 14:44
Virgin Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.44%EV -7.26%E -4.74%K -13.70%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.83%EV -12.06%E -2.36%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -11.43%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-01 14:44
Bet Right🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.75%EV -5.44%E -3.49%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -13.78%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -11.43%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-01 14:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.75%EV -5.44%E -3.49%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -13.78%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -11.43%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-01 14:49
William Hill🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -6.05%E -3.90%K -10.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -13.78%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -11.43%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-01 14:35
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.26%E -4.74%K -13.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -13.78%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -11.43%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-01 14:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.26%E -4.74%K -13.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -13.78%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -11.43%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-01 14:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.26%E -4.74%K -13.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -13.78%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -11.43%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-01 14:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 60.19%EV -10.90%E -7.41%K -23.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -13.78%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.12%EV -11.43%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-01 14:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.35%EV -6.05%E -3.90%K -10.99%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.46%EV -15.51%E -3.16%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -13.65%E -3.50%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-01 14:49
PMU (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 59.30%EV -10.29%E -6.95%K -21.44%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.91%EV -15.51%E -3.16%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.79%EV -14.75%E -3.83%K -5.18%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-01 14:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -9.08%E -6.05%K -18.16%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -17.23%E -3.59%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -11.43%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-01 14:49
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -9.08%E -6.05%K -18.16%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -17.23%E -3.59%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -11.43%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-01 14:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -9.08%E -6.05%K -18.16%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -17.23%E -3.59%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -11.43%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-01 14:55
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -9.08%E -6.05%K -18.16%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -17.23%E -3.59%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -11.43%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-01 14:50
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.31%EV -7.26%E -4.74%K -13.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -20.68%E -4.50%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -11.43%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-01 14:50
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.54%EV -9.08%E -6.05%K -18.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.51%EV -22.40%E -4.98%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -11.43%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-01 14:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.03%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51%1.1%2026-08-01 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.03%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51%1.1%2026-08-01 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.03%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51%1.1%2026-08-01 14:55
Matchbook1.57I 63.69%NM 63.03%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51%1.1%2026-08-01 14:55