La escuela de los momios

FC Lahti v Ilves Tampere

Inicio: 2026-05-30 14:02 UTC

Final: FC Lahti 5–0 Ilves Tampere

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

FC Lahti (Local)

Predicción 39.35%2.54momio equitativo
EV +0.338%
Ventaja +0.133%
Kelly +0.218%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.36%39.30%39.36%40.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.152.362.352.5546.51%42.45%42.55%39.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Ilves Tampere (Visitante)

Predicción 32.15%3.11momio equitativo
EV -1.61%
Ventaja -0.526%
Kelly -0.781%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.06

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.57%32.15%32.17%34.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.802.753.0638.46%35.67%36.36%32.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.50%3.51momio equitativo
EV -1.40%
Ventaja -0.404%
Kelly -0.568%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.46

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.06%28.54%28.47%30.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.203.203.4636.36%31.29%31.25%28.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +0.338%E +0.133%K +0.218%G +0.001%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.69%EV -8.36%E -2.93%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.66%EV -4.53%E -1.35%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-30 13:58
Unibet (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -1.63%E -0.652%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -11.58%E -4.21%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -5.96%E -1.81%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-30 14:00
betPARX2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -1.63%E -0.652%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -11.58%E -4.21%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -5.96%E -1.81%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-30 14:00
GTbets2.48I 40.32%NM 37.90%EV -2.42%E -0.974%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.45%EV -9.65%E -3.43%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.65%EV -6.53%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-30 13:59
LiveScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -3.60%E -1.47%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -13.18%E -4.88%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -7.38%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-30 14:00
Unibet2.43I 41.15%NM 37.66%EV -4.38%E -1.80%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -11.58%E -4.21%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.05%EV -10.23%E -3.25%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-30 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.66%EV -4.38%E -1.80%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -11.58%E -4.21%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.05%EV -10.23%E -3.25%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-30 14:00
BetRivers2.43I 41.15%NM 37.66%EV -4.38%E -1.80%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -11.58%E -4.21%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.05%EV -10.23%E -3.25%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-30 13:56
Grosvenor2.43I 41.15%NM 37.66%EV -4.38%E -1.80%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -11.58%E -4.21%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.05%EV -10.23%E -3.25%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-30 14:00
Unibet (NL)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.66%EV -4.38%E -1.80%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -11.58%E -4.21%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.05%EV -10.23%E -3.25%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-30 14:00
TABtouch2.43I 41.15%NM 37.66%EV -4.38%E -1.80%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -11.58%E -4.21%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.05%EV -10.23%E -3.25%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-30 13:59
Svenska Spel2.43I 41.15%NM 37.66%EV -4.38%E -1.80%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -11.58%E -4.21%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.05%EV -10.23%E -3.25%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-30 14:00
Casumo2.43I 41.15%NM 37.36%EV -4.38%E -1.80%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.26%EV -14.79%E -5.58%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -8.81%E -2.75%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-30 14:00
ATG (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.36%EV -4.38%E -1.80%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.26%EV -14.79%E -5.58%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -8.81%E -2.75%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-30 14:00
Pinnacle2.40I 41.67%NM 40.32%EV -5.56%E -2.32%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.63%EV -1.61%E -0.526%K -0.781%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.05%EV -1.68%E -0.488%K -0.687%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-30 13:59
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 39.53%EV -5.56%E -2.32%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.16%EV -5.15%E -1.74%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.32%EV -4.53%E -1.35%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 14:00
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -5.56%E -2.32%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -9.97%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -7.38%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-30 13:59
LeoVegas2.40I 41.67%NM 37.96%EV -5.56%E -2.32%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.13%EV -11.58%E -4.21%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -10.23%E -3.25%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-30 14:00
LowVig.ag2.38I 42.02%NM 39.77%EV -6.35%E -2.67%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.55%EV -3.54%E -1.18%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -5.96%E -1.81%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-30 13:59
BetAnything2.38I 42.02%NM 39.77%EV -6.35%E -2.67%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.55%EV -3.54%E -1.18%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -5.96%E -1.81%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-30 13:59
Unibet (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.34%EV -6.35%E -2.67%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.29%EV -6.75%E -2.33%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.37%EV -5.96%E -1.81%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-30 13:59
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -6.35%E -2.67%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -9.97%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -11.66%E -3.76%K -5.55%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-30 14:00
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -6.35%E -2.67%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -9.97%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -11.66%E -3.76%K -5.55%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-30 14:00
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -6.35%E -2.67%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -9.97%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -11.66%E -3.76%K -5.55%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-30 13:59
Virgin Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.59%EV -6.35%E -2.67%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.01%EV -15.44%E -5.87%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.40%EV -10.23%E -3.25%K -4.76%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-30 14:00
Bovada2.35I 42.55%NM 39.81%EV -7.53%E -3.20%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.26%EV -6.75%E -2.33%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -4.53%E -1.35%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-30 13:59
BetUS2.35I 42.55%NM 39.81%EV -7.53%E -3.20%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.26%EV -6.75%E -2.33%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -4.53%E -1.35%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-30 14:00
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -7.53%E -3.20%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -6.75%E -2.33%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.81%E -2.75%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-30 13:59
Bet Right2.35I 42.55%NM 39.03%EV -7.53%E -3.20%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -9.97%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -7.38%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-30 13:59
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.03%EV -7.53%E -3.20%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -9.97%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -7.38%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-30 13:59
NordicBet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.63%EV -7.53%E -3.20%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -11.58%E -4.21%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -8.81%E -2.75%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-30 14:00
Betsson2.35I 42.55%NM 38.63%EV -7.53%E -3.20%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -11.58%E -4.21%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -8.81%E -2.75%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-30 14:00
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.63%EV -7.53%E -3.20%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -11.58%E -4.21%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -8.81%E -2.75%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-30 13:59
Marathon Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.04%EV -8.32%E -3.57%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.52%EV -4.82%E -1.63%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.44%EV -6.53%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-30 14:00
PMU (FR)2.32I 43.10%NM 37.84%EV -8.71%E -3.76%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.38%EV -15.44%E -5.87%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.78%EV -13.08%E -4.29%K -6.38%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-30 14:00
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 40.07%EV -9.50%E -4.13%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -7.40%E -2.57%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.96%E -1.81%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-30 14:00
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -9.50%E -4.13%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -5.15%E -1.74%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.81%E -2.75%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-30 14:00
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.68%EV -9.50%E -4.13%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.80%EV -7.72%E -2.69%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -8.81%E -2.75%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-30 13:59
betfred_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -9.50%E -4.13%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -11.58%E -4.21%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -8.81%E -2.75%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-30 13:59
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -9.50%E -4.13%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -9.97%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -11.66%E -3.76%K -5.55%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-30 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -9.50%E -4.13%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -13.18%E -4.88%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -11.66%E -3.76%K -5.55%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-30 14:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -9.50%E -4.13%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -13.18%E -4.88%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -11.66%E -3.76%K -5.55%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-30 13:59
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -9.50%E -4.13%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -13.18%E -4.88%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -11.66%E -3.76%K -5.55%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-30 13:59
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -9.50%E -4.13%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -13.18%E -4.88%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -11.66%E -3.76%K -5.55%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-30 14:00
1xBet2.29I 43.67%NM 40.88%EV -9.89%E -4.32%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.06%EV -6.11%E -2.09%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.06%EV -1.40%E -0.404%K -0.568%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-30 13:59
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -11.47%E -5.10%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -3.54%E -1.18%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.81%E -2.75%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-30 13:59
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 40.55%EV -11.47%E -5.10%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -5.15%E -1.74%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.51%EV -8.81%E -2.75%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-30 13:59
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -11.47%E -5.10%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -6.75%E -2.33%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -8.81%E -2.75%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-30 14:00
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 39.31%EV -11.47%E -5.10%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -11.58%E -4.21%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -11.66%E -3.76%K -5.55%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-30 13:58
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 38.94%EV -11.47%E -5.10%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -11.58%E -4.21%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.20%EV -14.51%E -4.84%K -7.25%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-30 14:00
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -13.43%E -6.11%K -11.19%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.88%EV -7.40%E -2.57%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -11.66%E -3.76%K -5.55%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-30 14:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 37.79%EV -13.43%E -6.11%K -11.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 31.98%EV -16.40%E -6.31%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.23%EV -21.63%E -7.87%K -12.36%G +0.000%20.3%2026-05-30 14:00
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.58%EV -15.40%E -7.16%K -13.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.73%EV -11.58%E -4.21%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.70%EV -10.23%E -3.25%K -4.76%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-30 13:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.86%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.89%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.25%1.2%2026-05-30 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.86%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.89%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.25%1.2%2026-05-30 14:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.86%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.89%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.25%1.2%2026-05-30 14:00
Matchbook2.42I 41.32%NM 38.66%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.67%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.67%6.9%2026-05-30 14:00