L’École des cotes

FC Lahti v IFK Mariehamn

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-10 12:00 UTC

Score final : FC Lahti 1–1 IFK Mariehamn

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

FC Lahti (Local)

Prévision 62.17%1.61cote équitable
EV -3.02%
Avantage -1.93%
Kelly -5.39%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.56

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.78%62.01%62.14%63.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.401.511.501.5671.43%66.38%66.67%64.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

IFK Mariehamn (Visiteur)

Prévision 14.63%6.84cote équitable
EV -0.962%
Avantage -0.142%
Kelly -0.167%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 6.77

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.71%14.80%14.65%17.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.205.916.006.7719.23%16.91%16.67%14.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.20%4.31cote équitable
EV -2.32%
Avantage -0.551%
Kelly -0.722%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.21

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.49%23.19%23.20%24.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.903.904.2129.41%25.65%25.64%23.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -3.02%E -1.93%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.00%EV -21.00%E -3.89%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -11.83%E -3.11%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-10 08:44
Casumo1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -3.02%E -1.93%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.00%EV -21.00%E -3.89%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -11.83%E -3.11%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-10 08:44
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -3.02%E -1.93%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.00%EV -21.00%E -3.89%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -11.83%E -3.11%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-10 08:45
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -3.02%E -1.93%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.00%EV -21.00%E -3.89%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -11.83%E -3.11%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-10 08:44
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -3.02%E -1.93%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.00%EV -21.00%E -3.89%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -11.83%E -3.11%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-10 08:45
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -3.02%E -1.93%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.00%EV -21.00%E -3.89%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -11.83%E -3.11%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-10 08:45
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -3.02%E -1.93%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.00%EV -21.00%E -3.89%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -11.83%E -3.11%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-10 08:45
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -3.02%E -1.93%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.00%EV -21.00%E -3.89%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -11.83%E -3.11%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-10 08:45
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -3.02%E -1.93%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.00%EV -21.00%E -3.89%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -11.83%E -3.11%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-10 08:45
Coolbet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.97%EV -3.64%E -2.35%K -6.62%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.89%EV -5.64%E -0.875%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.14%EV -3.71%E -0.894%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-10 08:45
BetRivers1.55I 64.52%NM 59.00%EV -3.64%E -2.35%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.94%EV -21.00%E -3.89%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.07%EV -11.83%E -3.11%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-10 08:44
LeoVegas (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.00%EV -3.64%E -2.35%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.94%EV -21.00%E -3.89%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.07%EV -11.83%E -3.11%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-10 08:44
GTbets1.54I 64.94%NM 60.88%EV -4.26%E -2.77%K -7.89%G +0.000%6.27I 15.95%NM 14.95%EV -8.28%E -1.32%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.16%EV -9.97%E -2.57%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 08:44
Virgin Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 58.78%EV -4.26%E -2.77%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.08%EV -22.47%E -4.24%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -12.99%E -3.46%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-10 08:45
LeoVegas1.54I 64.94%NM 58.78%EV -4.26%E -2.77%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.08%EV -22.47%E -4.24%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -12.99%E -3.46%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-10 08:45
LiveScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 58.78%EV -4.26%E -2.77%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.08%EV -22.47%E -4.24%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -12.99%E -3.46%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-10 08:44
Pinnacle1.53I 65.36%NM 62.92%EV -4.88%E -3.19%K -9.21%G +0.000%6.77I 14.77%NM 14.22%EV -0.962%E -0.142%K -0.167%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.87%EV -2.32%E -0.551%K -0.722%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-10 08:45
DraftKings1.53I 65.36%NM 62.17%EV -4.88%E -3.19%K -9.21%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -4.91%E -0.756%K -0.893%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.20%EV -4.87%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 08:45
NordicBet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.64%EV -5.50%E -3.62%K -10.58%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.64%EV -6.37%E -0.996%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.72%EV -8.35%E -2.11%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 08:44
Betsson1.52I 65.79%NM 61.64%EV -5.50%E -3.62%K -10.58%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.64%EV -6.37%E -0.996%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.72%EV -8.35%E -2.11%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 08:45
Bovada1.52I 65.79%NM 61.57%EV -5.50%E -3.62%K -10.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -12.23%E -2.04%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -4.87%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-10 08:42
BetUS1.52I 65.79%NM 61.57%EV -5.50%E -3.62%K -10.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -12.23%E -2.04%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -4.87%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-10 08:44
BetAnything1.52I 65.79%NM 61.57%EV -5.50%E -3.62%K -10.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -12.23%E -2.04%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -4.87%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-10 08:44
LowVig.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 62.26%EV -6.13%E -4.06%K -12.01%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.24%EV -3.45%E -0.523%K -0.616%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -7.19%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 08:45
BetOnline.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 62.26%EV -6.13%E -4.06%K -12.01%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.24%EV -3.45%E -0.523%K -0.616%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -7.19%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 08:44
1xBet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.06%EV -6.13%E -4.06%K -12.01%G +0.000%6.51I 15.36%NM 14.39%EV -4.77%E -0.732%K -0.865%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.55%EV -7.65%E -1.92%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 08:44
Unibet (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.98%EV -6.75%E -4.50%K -13.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -4.91%E -0.756%K -0.893%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -2.55%E -0.607%K -0.797%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 08:44
Marathon Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.20%EV -6.75%E -4.50%K -13.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.35%EV -4.91%E -0.756%K -0.893%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.44%EV -7.65%E -1.92%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 08:45
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -6.75%E -4.50%K -13.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -12.23%E -2.04%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -4.87%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-10 08:45
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -6.75%E -4.50%K -13.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -12.23%E -2.04%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -9.51%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-10 08:45
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -6.75%E -4.50%K -13.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -12.23%E -2.04%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -9.51%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-10 08:45
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -6.75%E -4.50%K -13.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -12.23%E -2.04%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -9.51%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-10 08:44
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -6.75%E -4.50%K -13.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -12.23%E -2.04%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -9.51%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-10 08:45
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -6.75%E -4.50%K -13.49%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -15.88%E -2.76%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -7.19%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-10 08:44
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 60.98%EV -6.75%E -4.50%K -13.49%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.63%EV -8.57%E -1.37%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -12.99%E -3.46%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-10 08:44
betfred_uk1.50I 66.67%NM 60.61%EV -6.75%E -4.50%K -13.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -12.23%E -2.04%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -12.99%E -3.46%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-10 08:44
PlayUp1.50I 66.67%NM 60.21%EV -6.75%E -4.50%K -13.49%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.71%EV -15.88%E -2.76%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -12.99%E -3.46%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-10 08:44
PointsBet (AU)1.49I 67.11%NM 61.71%EV -7.37%E -4.95%K -15.04%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.71%EV -8.57%E -1.37%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -9.51%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-10 08:44
PMU (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 59.01%EV -7.37%E -4.95%K -15.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.91%EV -23.93%E -4.60%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.09%EV -15.31%E -4.19%K -5.78%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-10 08:44
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 62.95%EV -7.99%E -5.40%K -16.65%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -4.91%E -0.756%K -0.893%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -4.87%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 08:44
Bet Right1.48I 67.57%NM 62.22%EV -7.99%E -5.40%K -16.65%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -4.91%E -0.756%K -0.893%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -9.51%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-10 08:45
Betr (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.12%EV -7.99%E -5.40%K -16.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.08%EV -12.23%E -2.04%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -11.83%E -3.11%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-10 08:44
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 60.66%EV -7.99%E -5.40%K -16.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -19.54%E -3.55%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.02%EV -9.51%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-10 08:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 60.66%EV -7.99%E -5.40%K -16.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -19.54%E -3.55%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.02%EV -9.51%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-10 08:44
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 60.66%EV -7.99%E -5.40%K -16.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -19.54%E -3.55%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.02%EV -9.51%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-10 08:45
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 60.66%EV -7.99%E -5.40%K -16.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -19.54%E -3.55%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.02%EV -9.51%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-10 08:44
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.33%EV -9.86%E -6.80%K -21.90%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.71%EV -1.99%E -0.296%K -0.348%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -7.19%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-10 08:45
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 63.07%EV -9.86%E -6.80%K -21.90%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -4.91%E -0.756%K -0.893%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -7.19%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-10 08:45
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -10.48%E -7.28%K -23.81%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -12.23%E -2.04%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -7.19%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-10 08:45
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -10.48%E -7.28%K -23.81%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -12.23%E -2.04%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -7.19%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-10 08:44
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 61.77%EV -10.48%E -7.28%K -23.81%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -12.23%E -2.04%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41%EV -11.83%E -3.11%K -4.23%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-10 08:44
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 61.37%EV -10.48%E -7.28%K -23.81%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.37%EV -15.88%E -2.76%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -11.83%E -3.11%K -4.23%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-10 08:44
Unibet (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 62.30%EV -12.34%E -8.75%K -30.10%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.89%EV -13.69%E -2.32%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.82%EV -10.67%E -2.77%K -3.74%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-10 08:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 60.01%EV -12.96%E -9.26%K -32.41%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.28%EV -19.54%E -3.55%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.71%EV -21.11%E -6.21%K -8.80%G +0.000%19.0%2026-05-10 08:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.18%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.36%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46%1.2%2026-05-10 08:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.18%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.36%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46%1.2%2026-05-10 08:45
Matchbook1.53I 65.36%NM 64.56%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.00%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.45%1.2%2026-05-10 08:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.33%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.30%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.37%1.6%2026-05-10 08:45