La escuela de los momios

FC Lahti v IFK Mariehamn

Inicio: 2026-05-10 12:00 UTC

Final: FC Lahti 1–1 IFK Mariehamn

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

54 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

FC Lahti (Local)

Predicción 62.17%1.61momio equitativo
EV -3.02%
Ventaja -1.93%
Kelly -5.39%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.56

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.78%62.01%62.14%63.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.401.511.501.5671.43%66.38%66.67%64.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

IFK Mariehamn (Visitante)

Predicción 14.63%6.84momio equitativo
EV -0.962%
Ventaja -0.142%
Kelly -0.167%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.77

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.71%14.80%14.65%17.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.205.916.006.7719.23%16.91%16.67%14.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 23.20%4.31momio equitativo
EV -2.32%
Ventaja -0.551%
Kelly -0.722%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.21

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.49%23.19%23.20%24.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.903.904.2129.41%25.65%25.64%23.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -3.02%E -1.93%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.00%EV -21.00%E -3.89%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -11.83%E -3.11%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-10 08:44
Casumo1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -3.02%E -1.93%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.00%EV -21.00%E -3.89%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -11.83%E -3.11%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-10 08:44
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -3.02%E -1.93%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.00%EV -21.00%E -3.89%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -11.83%E -3.11%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-10 08:45
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -3.02%E -1.93%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.00%EV -21.00%E -3.89%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -11.83%E -3.11%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-10 08:44
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -3.02%E -1.93%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.00%EV -21.00%E -3.89%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -11.83%E -3.11%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-10 08:45
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -3.02%E -1.93%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.00%EV -21.00%E -3.89%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -11.83%E -3.11%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-10 08:45
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -3.02%E -1.93%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.00%EV -21.00%E -3.89%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -11.83%E -3.11%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-10 08:45
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -3.02%E -1.93%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.00%EV -21.00%E -3.89%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -11.83%E -3.11%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-10 08:45
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -3.02%E -1.93%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.00%EV -21.00%E -3.89%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -11.83%E -3.11%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-10 08:45
Coolbet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.97%EV -3.64%E -2.35%K -6.62%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.89%EV -5.64%E -0.875%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.14%EV -3.71%E -0.894%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-10 08:45
BetRivers1.55I 64.52%NM 59.00%EV -3.64%E -2.35%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.94%EV -21.00%E -3.89%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.07%EV -11.83%E -3.11%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-10 08:44
LeoVegas (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.00%EV -3.64%E -2.35%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.94%EV -21.00%E -3.89%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.07%EV -11.83%E -3.11%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-10 08:44
GTbets1.54I 64.94%NM 60.88%EV -4.26%E -2.77%K -7.89%G +0.000%6.27I 15.95%NM 14.95%EV -8.28%E -1.32%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.16%EV -9.97%E -2.57%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 08:44
Virgin Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 58.78%EV -4.26%E -2.77%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.08%EV -22.47%E -4.24%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -12.99%E -3.46%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-10 08:45
LeoVegas1.54I 64.94%NM 58.78%EV -4.26%E -2.77%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.08%EV -22.47%E -4.24%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -12.99%E -3.46%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-10 08:45
LiveScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 58.78%EV -4.26%E -2.77%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.08%EV -22.47%E -4.24%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -12.99%E -3.46%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-10 08:44
Pinnacle1.53I 65.36%NM 62.92%EV -4.88%E -3.19%K -9.21%G +0.000%6.77I 14.77%NM 14.22%EV -0.962%E -0.142%K -0.167%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.87%EV -2.32%E -0.551%K -0.722%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-10 08:45
DraftKings1.53I 65.36%NM 62.17%EV -4.88%E -3.19%K -9.21%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -4.91%E -0.756%K -0.893%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.20%EV -4.87%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 08:45
NordicBet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.64%EV -5.50%E -3.62%K -10.58%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.64%EV -6.37%E -0.996%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.72%EV -8.35%E -2.11%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 08:44
Betsson1.52I 65.79%NM 61.64%EV -5.50%E -3.62%K -10.58%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.64%EV -6.37%E -0.996%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.72%EV -8.35%E -2.11%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 08:45
Bovada1.52I 65.79%NM 61.57%EV -5.50%E -3.62%K -10.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -12.23%E -2.04%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -4.87%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-10 08:42
BetUS1.52I 65.79%NM 61.57%EV -5.50%E -3.62%K -10.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -12.23%E -2.04%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -4.87%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-10 08:44
BetAnything1.52I 65.79%NM 61.57%EV -5.50%E -3.62%K -10.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -12.23%E -2.04%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -4.87%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-10 08:44
LowVig.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 62.26%EV -6.13%E -4.06%K -12.01%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.24%EV -3.45%E -0.523%K -0.616%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -7.19%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 08:45
BetOnline.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 62.26%EV -6.13%E -4.06%K -12.01%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.24%EV -3.45%E -0.523%K -0.616%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -7.19%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 08:44
1xBet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.06%EV -6.13%E -4.06%K -12.01%G +0.000%6.51I 15.36%NM 14.39%EV -4.77%E -0.732%K -0.865%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.55%EV -7.65%E -1.92%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 08:44
Unibet (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.98%EV -6.75%E -4.50%K -13.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -4.91%E -0.756%K -0.893%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -2.55%E -0.607%K -0.797%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 08:44
Marathon Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.20%EV -6.75%E -4.50%K -13.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.35%EV -4.91%E -0.756%K -0.893%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.44%EV -7.65%E -1.92%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 08:45
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -6.75%E -4.50%K -13.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -12.23%E -2.04%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -4.87%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-10 08:45
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -6.75%E -4.50%K -13.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -12.23%E -2.04%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -9.51%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-10 08:45
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -6.75%E -4.50%K -13.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -12.23%E -2.04%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -9.51%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-10 08:45
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -6.75%E -4.50%K -13.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -12.23%E -2.04%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -9.51%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-10 08:44
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -6.75%E -4.50%K -13.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -12.23%E -2.04%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -9.51%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-10 08:45
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -6.75%E -4.50%K -13.49%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -15.88%E -2.76%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -7.19%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-10 08:44
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 60.98%EV -6.75%E -4.50%K -13.49%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.63%EV -8.57%E -1.37%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -12.99%E -3.46%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-10 08:44
betfred_uk1.50I 66.67%NM 60.61%EV -6.75%E -4.50%K -13.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -12.23%E -2.04%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -12.99%E -3.46%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-10 08:44
PlayUp1.50I 66.67%NM 60.21%EV -6.75%E -4.50%K -13.49%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.71%EV -15.88%E -2.76%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -12.99%E -3.46%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-10 08:44
PointsBet (AU)1.49I 67.11%NM 61.71%EV -7.37%E -4.95%K -15.04%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.71%EV -8.57%E -1.37%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -9.51%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-10 08:44
PMU (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 59.01%EV -7.37%E -4.95%K -15.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.91%EV -23.93%E -4.60%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.09%EV -15.31%E -4.19%K -5.78%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-10 08:44
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 62.95%EV -7.99%E -5.40%K -16.65%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -4.91%E -0.756%K -0.893%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -4.87%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 08:44
Bet Right1.48I 67.57%NM 62.22%EV -7.99%E -5.40%K -16.65%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -4.91%E -0.756%K -0.893%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -9.51%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-10 08:45
Betr (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.12%EV -7.99%E -5.40%K -16.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.08%EV -12.23%E -2.04%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -11.83%E -3.11%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-10 08:44
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 60.66%EV -7.99%E -5.40%K -16.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -19.54%E -3.55%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.02%EV -9.51%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-10 08:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 60.66%EV -7.99%E -5.40%K -16.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -19.54%E -3.55%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.02%EV -9.51%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-10 08:44
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 60.66%EV -7.99%E -5.40%K -16.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -19.54%E -3.55%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.02%EV -9.51%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-10 08:45
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 60.66%EV -7.99%E -5.40%K -16.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -19.54%E -3.55%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.02%EV -9.51%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-10 08:44
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.33%EV -9.86%E -6.80%K -21.90%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.71%EV -1.99%E -0.296%K -0.348%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -7.19%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-10 08:45
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 63.07%EV -9.86%E -6.80%K -21.90%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -4.91%E -0.756%K -0.893%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -7.19%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-10 08:45
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -10.48%E -7.28%K -23.81%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -12.23%E -2.04%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -7.19%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-10 08:45
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -10.48%E -7.28%K -23.81%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -12.23%E -2.04%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -7.19%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-10 08:44
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 61.77%EV -10.48%E -7.28%K -23.81%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -12.23%E -2.04%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41%EV -11.83%E -3.11%K -4.23%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-10 08:44
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 61.37%EV -10.48%E -7.28%K -23.81%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.37%EV -15.88%E -2.76%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -11.83%E -3.11%K -4.23%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-10 08:44
Unibet (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 62.30%EV -12.34%E -8.75%K -30.10%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.89%EV -13.69%E -2.32%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.82%EV -10.67%E -2.77%K -3.74%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-10 08:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 60.01%EV -12.96%E -9.26%K -32.41%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.28%EV -19.54%E -3.55%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.71%EV -21.11%E -6.21%K -8.80%G +0.000%19.0%2026-05-10 08:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.18%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.36%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46%1.2%2026-05-10 08:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.18%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.36%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46%1.2%2026-05-10 08:45
Matchbook1.53I 65.36%NM 64.56%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.00%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.45%1.2%2026-05-10 08:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.33%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.30%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.37%1.6%2026-05-10 08:45