Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

FC Inter Turku v VPS Vaasa

Início: 2026-09-14 15:00 UTC

Final: FC Inter Turku 1–0 VPS Vaasa

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

51 casas de apostas (13 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

FC Inter Turku (Local)

Previsão 58.22%1.72odd justa
EV -4.52%
Vantagem -2.75%
Kelly -7.06%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.64

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
55.25%58.04%58.24%58.99%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.501.591.581.6466.67%63.06%63.29%60.98%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

VPS Vaasa (Visitante)

Previsão 17.12%5.84odd justa
EV +0.980%
Vantagem +0.166%
Kelly +0.200%
Crescimento +0.002%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
15.96%17.28%17.07%19.34%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.605.235.255.9021.74%19.14%19.05%16.95%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 24.66%4.05odd justa
EV -2.58%
Vantagem -0.652%
Kelly -0.874%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.95

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.76%24.68%24.69%25.93%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.403.683.653.9529.41%27.18%27.40%25.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: FC Inter Turku (Local): 58.22%; VPS Vaasa (Visitante): 17.12%; Empate: 24.66%. Para VPS Vaasa (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 5.84. 5 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 5.90, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.980%.

Odds das casas de apostas (51 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
GTbets🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.11%EV -5.68%E -3.51%K -9.17%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.96%EV +0.980%E +0.166%K +0.200%G +0.002%3.63I 27.55%NM 25.93%EV -10.47%E -2.88%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-14 12:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.72%EV -4.52%E -2.75%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.46%EV +0.124%E +0.021%K +0.026%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.82%EV -4.30%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-14 12:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.72%EV -4.52%E -2.75%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.46%EV +0.124%E +0.021%K +0.026%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.82%EV -4.30%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-14 12:15
BetUS🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.72%EV -4.52%E -2.75%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.46%EV +0.124%E +0.021%K +0.026%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.82%EV -4.30%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-14 12:15
BetAnything🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.72%EV -4.52%E -2.75%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.46%EV +0.124%E +0.021%K +0.026%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.82%EV -4.30%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-14 12:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.84%EV -8.01%E -5.07%K -13.81%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.17%EV -1.59%E -0.276%K -0.334%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 24.99%EV -8.25%E -2.22%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-14 14:56
FanDuel🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.91%EV -7.43%E -4.67%K -12.59%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.43%EV -2.44%E -0.429%K -0.520%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.65%EV -6.28%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-14 14:10
1xBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.38%EV -6.85%E -4.28%K -11.41%G +0.000%5.66I 17.67%NM 16.50%EV -3.13%E -0.553%K -0.671%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.11%EV -8.25%E -2.22%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 14:55
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.81%EV -6.26%E -3.89%K -10.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.22%EV -5.87%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.97%EV -2.58%E -0.652%K -0.874%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-14 14:36
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -6.26%E -3.89%K -10.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV -5.87%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -7.51%E -2.00%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 11:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.41%EV -6.85%E -4.28%K -11.41%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -5.87%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -6.28%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 13:20
SportsBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -8.59%E -5.47%K -15.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -5.87%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -7.51%E -2.00%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-14 14:05
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -8.59%E -5.47%K -15.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -5.87%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -7.51%E -2.00%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-14 14:50
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -8.59%E -5.47%K -15.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -5.87%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -7.51%E -2.00%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-14 14:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -8.59%E -5.47%K -15.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -5.87%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -7.51%E -2.00%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-14 14:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -8.59%E -5.47%K -15.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -5.87%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -7.51%E -2.00%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-14 14:50
betano_uk🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.99%EV -9.76%E -6.30%K -17.74%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -5.87%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.38%EV -7.51%E -2.00%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-14 14:54
Bovada🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.42%EV -6.85%E -4.28%K -11.41%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -7.58%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.28%EV -5.04%E -1.31%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 14:05
NordicBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.45%EV -6.85%E -4.28%K -11.41%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -7.58%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -11.21%E -3.11%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-14 13:31
Betsson🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.45%EV -6.85%E -4.28%K -11.41%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -7.58%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -11.21%E -3.11%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-14 13:31
LeoVegas🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.15%EV -8.01%E -5.07%K -13.81%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.01%EV -7.58%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -8.74%E -2.36%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-14 14:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.83%EV -12.67%E -8.45%K -25.34%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.65%EV -9.29%E -1.75%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.51%EV -11.21%E -3.11%K -4.31%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-14 14:35
Betway🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.94%EV -6.85%E -4.28%K -11.41%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.66%EV -10.15%E -1.93%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -6.28%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-14 13:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 57.91%EV -7.43%E -4.67%K -12.59%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.54%EV -10.15%E -1.93%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -7.51%E -2.00%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-14 14:55
Bet Right🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.06%EV -8.01%E -5.07%K -13.81%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.47%EV -10.15%E -1.93%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -7.51%E -2.00%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-14 14:56
Bet Victor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.03%EV -8.59%E -5.47%K -15.08%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.35%EV -10.15%E -1.93%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.62%EV -8.74%E -2.36%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-14 14:48
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.27%EV -8.01%E -5.07%K -13.81%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.24%EV -10.15%E -1.93%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.49%EV -12.44%E -3.50%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-14 13:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.37%EV -8.01%E -5.07%K -13.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -14.42%E -2.88%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.50%EV -8.74%E -2.36%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-14 14:56
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -8.59%E -5.47%K -15.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -14.42%E -2.88%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -11.21%E -3.11%K -4.31%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-14 12:40
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -8.59%E -5.47%K -15.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -14.42%E -2.88%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -13.68%E -3.91%K -5.47%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-14 10:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -8.59%E -5.47%K -15.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -14.42%E -2.88%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -13.68%E -3.91%K -5.47%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-14 11:00
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -8.59%E -5.47%K -15.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -14.42%E -2.88%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -13.68%E -3.91%K -5.47%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-14 11:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -8.59%E -5.47%K -15.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -14.42%E -2.88%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -13.68%E -3.91%K -5.47%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-14 11:00
Sky Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.45%EV -9.76%E -6.30%K -17.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -14.42%E -2.88%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -11.21%E -3.11%K -4.31%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-14 14:05
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.16%EV -10.92%E -7.14%K -20.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.80%EV -14.42%E -2.88%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.05%EV -8.74%E -2.36%K -3.24%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-14 14:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.77%EV -10.92%E -7.14%K -20.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.68%EV -14.42%E -2.88%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.55%EV -11.21%E -3.11%K -4.31%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-14 14:45
Unibet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.51%EV -6.26%E -3.89%K -10.27%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.57%EV -16.14%E -3.29%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -9.98%E -2.73%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-14 14:56
Unibet (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.51%EV -6.26%E -3.89%K -10.27%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.57%EV -16.14%E -3.29%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -9.98%E -2.73%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-14 14:55
TABtouch🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.51%EV -6.26%E -3.89%K -10.27%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.57%EV -16.14%E -3.29%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -9.98%E -2.73%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-14 14:55
Casumo🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.51%EV -6.26%E -3.89%K -10.27%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.57%EV -16.14%E -3.29%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -9.98%E -2.73%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-14 14:56
Grosvenor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.51%EV -6.26%E -3.89%K -10.27%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.57%EV -16.14%E -3.29%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -9.98%E -2.73%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-14 14:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.51%EV -6.26%E -3.89%K -10.27%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.57%EV -16.14%E -3.29%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -9.98%E -2.73%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-14 14:56
Svenska Spel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.51%EV -6.26%E -3.89%K -10.27%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.57%EV -16.14%E -3.29%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -9.98%E -2.73%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-14 14:56
betPARX🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.51%EV -6.26%E -3.89%K -10.27%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.57%EV -16.14%E -3.29%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -9.98%E -2.73%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-14 14:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.51%EV -6.26%E -3.89%K -10.27%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.57%EV -16.14%E -3.29%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -9.98%E -2.73%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-14 14:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.52%EV -8.59%E -5.47%K -15.08%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.49%EV -17.85%E -3.72%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.00%EV -12.44%E -3.50%K -4.88%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-14 14:56
Virgin Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.52%EV -8.59%E -5.47%K -15.08%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.49%EV -17.85%E -3.72%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.00%EV -12.44%E -3.50%K -4.88%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-14 14:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.52%EV -8.59%E -5.47%K -15.08%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.49%EV -17.85%E -3.72%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.00%EV -12.44%E -3.50%K -4.88%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-14 14:55
BoyleSports🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.48%EV -9.76%E -6.30%K -17.74%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.76%EV -18.70%E -3.94%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.76%EV -7.51%E -2.00%K -2.73%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-14 11:00
BetRivers🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.25%EV -6.26%E -3.89%K -10.27%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -21.27%E -4.62%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.41%EV -13.68%E -3.91%K -5.47%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-14 12:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 56.42%EV -12.09%E -8.00%K -23.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.52%EV -21.27%E -4.62%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.06%EV -16.14%E -4.75%K -6.73%G +0.000%17.4%2026-09-14 14:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.65I 60.61%NM 60.23%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.53%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.24%0.6%2026-09-14 14:56
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.65I 60.61%NM 60.23%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.53%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.24%0.6%2026-09-14 14:56
Matchbook◎1.65I 60.61%NM 60.23%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.53%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.24%0.6%2026-09-14 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.65I 60.61%NM 59.93%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-09-14 14:56