Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

FC Inter Turku v VPS Vaasa

Inicio: 2026-09-14 15:00 UTC

Final: FC Inter Turku 1–0 VPS Vaasa

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (13 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

FC Inter Turku (Local)

Predicción 58.22%1.72momio equitativo
EV -4.52%
Ventaja -2.75%
Kelly -7.06%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.64

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.25%58.04%58.24%58.99%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.501.591.581.6466.67%63.06%63.29%60.98%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

VPS Vaasa (Visitante)

Predicción 17.12%5.84momio equitativo
EV +0.980%
Ventaja +0.166%
Kelly +0.200%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.96%17.28%17.07%19.34%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.605.235.255.9021.74%19.14%19.05%16.95%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 24.66%4.05momio equitativo
EV -2.58%
Ventaja -0.652%
Kelly -0.874%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.95

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.76%24.68%24.69%25.93%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.403.683.653.9529.41%27.18%27.40%25.32%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: FC Inter Turku (Local): 58.22%; VPS Vaasa (Visitante): 17.12%; Empate: 24.66%. Para VPS Vaasa (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 5.84. 5 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 5.90, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.980%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
GTbets🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.11%EV -5.68%E -3.51%K -9.17%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.96%EV +0.980%E +0.166%K +0.200%G +0.002%3.63I 27.55%NM 25.93%EV -10.47%E -2.88%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-14 12:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.72%EV -4.52%E -2.75%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.46%EV +0.124%E +0.021%K +0.026%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.82%EV -4.30%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-14 12:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.72%EV -4.52%E -2.75%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.46%EV +0.124%E +0.021%K +0.026%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.82%EV -4.30%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-14 12:15
BetUS🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.72%EV -4.52%E -2.75%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.46%EV +0.124%E +0.021%K +0.026%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.82%EV -4.30%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-14 12:15
BetAnything🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.72%EV -4.52%E -2.75%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.46%EV +0.124%E +0.021%K +0.026%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.82%EV -4.30%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-14 12:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.84%EV -8.01%E -5.07%K -13.81%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.17%EV -1.59%E -0.276%K -0.334%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 24.99%EV -8.25%E -2.22%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-14 14:56
FanDuel🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.91%EV -7.43%E -4.67%K -12.59%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.43%EV -2.44%E -0.429%K -0.520%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.65%EV -6.28%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-14 14:10
1xBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.38%EV -6.85%E -4.28%K -11.41%G +0.000%5.66I 17.67%NM 16.50%EV -3.13%E -0.553%K -0.671%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.11%EV -8.25%E -2.22%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 14:55
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.81%EV -6.26%E -3.89%K -10.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.22%EV -5.87%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.97%EV -2.58%E -0.652%K -0.874%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-14 14:36
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -6.26%E -3.89%K -10.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV -5.87%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -7.51%E -2.00%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 11:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.41%EV -6.85%E -4.28%K -11.41%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -5.87%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -6.28%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 13:20
SportsBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -8.59%E -5.47%K -15.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -5.87%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -7.51%E -2.00%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-14 14:05
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -8.59%E -5.47%K -15.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -5.87%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -7.51%E -2.00%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-14 14:50
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -8.59%E -5.47%K -15.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -5.87%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -7.51%E -2.00%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-14 14:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -8.59%E -5.47%K -15.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -5.87%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -7.51%E -2.00%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-14 14:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -8.59%E -5.47%K -15.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -5.87%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -7.51%E -2.00%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-14 14:50
betano_uk🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.99%EV -9.76%E -6.30%K -17.74%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -5.87%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.38%EV -7.51%E -2.00%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-14 14:54
Bovada🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.42%EV -6.85%E -4.28%K -11.41%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -7.58%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.28%EV -5.04%E -1.31%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 14:05
NordicBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.45%EV -6.85%E -4.28%K -11.41%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -7.58%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -11.21%E -3.11%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-14 13:31
Betsson🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.45%EV -6.85%E -4.28%K -11.41%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -7.58%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -11.21%E -3.11%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-14 13:31
LeoVegas🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.15%EV -8.01%E -5.07%K -13.81%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.01%EV -7.58%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -8.74%E -2.36%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-14 14:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.83%EV -12.67%E -8.45%K -25.34%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.65%EV -9.29%E -1.75%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.51%EV -11.21%E -3.11%K -4.31%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-14 14:35
Betway🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.94%EV -6.85%E -4.28%K -11.41%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.66%EV -10.15%E -1.93%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -6.28%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-14 13:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 57.91%EV -7.43%E -4.67%K -12.59%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.54%EV -10.15%E -1.93%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -7.51%E -2.00%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-14 14:55
Bet Right🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.06%EV -8.01%E -5.07%K -13.81%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.47%EV -10.15%E -1.93%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -7.51%E -2.00%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-14 14:56
Bet Victor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.03%EV -8.59%E -5.47%K -15.08%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.35%EV -10.15%E -1.93%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.62%EV -8.74%E -2.36%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-14 14:48
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.27%EV -8.01%E -5.07%K -13.81%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.24%EV -10.15%E -1.93%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.49%EV -12.44%E -3.50%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-14 13:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.37%EV -8.01%E -5.07%K -13.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -14.42%E -2.88%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.50%EV -8.74%E -2.36%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-14 14:56
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -8.59%E -5.47%K -15.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -14.42%E -2.88%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -11.21%E -3.11%K -4.31%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-14 12:40
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -8.59%E -5.47%K -15.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -14.42%E -2.88%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -13.68%E -3.91%K -5.47%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-14 10:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -8.59%E -5.47%K -15.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -14.42%E -2.88%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -13.68%E -3.91%K -5.47%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-14 11:00
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -8.59%E -5.47%K -15.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -14.42%E -2.88%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -13.68%E -3.91%K -5.47%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-14 11:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -8.59%E -5.47%K -15.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -14.42%E -2.88%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -13.68%E -3.91%K -5.47%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-14 11:00
Sky Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.45%EV -9.76%E -6.30%K -17.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -14.42%E -2.88%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -11.21%E -3.11%K -4.31%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-14 14:05
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.16%EV -10.92%E -7.14%K -20.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.80%EV -14.42%E -2.88%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.05%EV -8.74%E -2.36%K -3.24%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-14 14:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.77%EV -10.92%E -7.14%K -20.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.68%EV -14.42%E -2.88%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.55%EV -11.21%E -3.11%K -4.31%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-14 14:45
Unibet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.51%EV -6.26%E -3.89%K -10.27%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.57%EV -16.14%E -3.29%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -9.98%E -2.73%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-14 14:56
Unibet (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.51%EV -6.26%E -3.89%K -10.27%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.57%EV -16.14%E -3.29%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -9.98%E -2.73%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-14 14:55
TABtouch🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.51%EV -6.26%E -3.89%K -10.27%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.57%EV -16.14%E -3.29%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -9.98%E -2.73%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-14 14:55
Casumo🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.51%EV -6.26%E -3.89%K -10.27%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.57%EV -16.14%E -3.29%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -9.98%E -2.73%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-14 14:56
Grosvenor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.51%EV -6.26%E -3.89%K -10.27%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.57%EV -16.14%E -3.29%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -9.98%E -2.73%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-14 14:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.51%EV -6.26%E -3.89%K -10.27%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.57%EV -16.14%E -3.29%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -9.98%E -2.73%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-14 14:56
Svenska Spel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.51%EV -6.26%E -3.89%K -10.27%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.57%EV -16.14%E -3.29%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -9.98%E -2.73%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-14 14:56
betPARX🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.51%EV -6.26%E -3.89%K -10.27%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.57%EV -16.14%E -3.29%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -9.98%E -2.73%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-14 14:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.51%EV -6.26%E -3.89%K -10.27%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.57%EV -16.14%E -3.29%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -9.98%E -2.73%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-14 14:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.52%EV -8.59%E -5.47%K -15.08%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.49%EV -17.85%E -3.72%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.00%EV -12.44%E -3.50%K -4.88%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-14 14:56
Virgin Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.52%EV -8.59%E -5.47%K -15.08%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.49%EV -17.85%E -3.72%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.00%EV -12.44%E -3.50%K -4.88%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-14 14:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.52%EV -8.59%E -5.47%K -15.08%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.49%EV -17.85%E -3.72%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.00%EV -12.44%E -3.50%K -4.88%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-14 14:55
BoyleSports🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.48%EV -9.76%E -6.30%K -17.74%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.76%EV -18.70%E -3.94%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.76%EV -7.51%E -2.00%K -2.73%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-14 11:00
BetRivers🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.25%EV -6.26%E -3.89%K -10.27%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -21.27%E -4.62%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.41%EV -13.68%E -3.91%K -5.47%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-14 12:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 56.42%EV -12.09%E -8.00%K -23.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.52%EV -21.27%E -4.62%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.06%EV -16.14%E -4.75%K -6.73%G +0.000%17.4%2026-09-14 14:55
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.65I 60.61%NM 60.23%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.53%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.24%0.6%2026-09-14 14:56
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.65I 60.61%NM 60.23%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.53%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.24%0.6%2026-09-14 14:56
Matchbook◎1.65I 60.61%NM 60.23%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.53%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.24%0.6%2026-09-14 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.65I 60.61%NM 59.93%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-09-14 14:56