Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Inter Turku v TPS Turku

Kickoff: 2026-05-23 11:00 UTC

Final: FC Inter Turku 2–1 TPS Turku

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

54 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Inter Turku (Local)

Prediction 61.47%1.63fair odd
EV -3.48%
Edge -2.22%
Kelly -6.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.11%61.36%61.48%62.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.501.491.5771.43%66.79%67.11%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

TPS Turku (Visit)

Prediction 15.83%6.32fair odd
EV -1.85%
Edge -0.298%
Kelly -0.355%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 6.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.82%15.89%15.84%17.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.785.906.2020.00%17.31%16.95%16.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.69%4.41fair odd
EV -1.73%
Edge -0.400%
Kelly -0.521%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.55%22.74%22.68%24.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.404.014.004.3329.41%24.95%25.00%23.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Inter Turku (Local): 61.47%; TPS Turku (Visit): 15.83%; Draw: 22.69%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.41. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.33, with an expected value of -1.73%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.42%EV -3.48%E -2.22%K -6.11%G +0.000%6.07I 16.47%NM 15.89%EV -3.91%E -0.643%K -0.770%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.69%EV -3.55%E -0.835%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-23 10:40
Coolbet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.02%EV -4.71%E -3.04%K -8.57%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.63%EV -2.64%E -0.429%K -0.512%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.35%EV -2.41%E -0.561%K -0.732%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-23 08:28
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.42%EV -4.71%E -3.04%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.87%EV -6.60%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -10.36%E -2.62%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-23 09:59
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.42%EV -4.71%E -3.04%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.87%EV -6.60%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -10.36%E -2.62%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-23 09:59
DraftKings🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.60%EV -5.33%E -3.46%K -9.87%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.81%EV -5.01%E -0.836%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59%EV -4.68%E -1.12%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-23 04:18
LowVig.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.44%EV -5.33%E -3.46%K -9.87%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.04%EV -6.60%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -4.68%E -1.12%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-23 05:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.44%EV -5.33%E -3.46%K -9.87%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.04%EV -6.60%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -4.68%E -1.12%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-23 05:57
BetUS🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.44%EV -5.33%E -3.46%K -9.87%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.04%EV -6.60%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -4.68%E -1.12%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-23 05:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.18%EV -5.33%E -3.46%K -9.87%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -8.97%E -1.56%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -4.68%E -1.12%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-23 09:59
1xBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.19%EV -5.94%E -3.88%K -11.21%G +0.000%5.86I 17.06%NM 15.98%EV -7.23%E -1.23%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -6.95%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-23 10:40
GTbets🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.14%EV -5.94%E -3.88%K -11.21%G +0.000%5.81I 17.21%NM 16.10%EV -8.02%E -1.38%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 22.76%EV -6.73%E -1.64%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-23 07:50
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -5.94%E -3.88%K -11.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -12.93%E -2.35%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -11.49%E -2.95%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-23 10:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -5.94%E -3.88%K -11.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -12.93%E -2.35%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -11.49%E -2.95%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-23 10:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -5.94%E -3.88%K -11.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -12.93%E -2.35%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -11.49%E -2.95%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-23 10:29
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -5.94%E -3.88%K -11.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -12.93%E -2.35%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -11.49%E -2.95%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-23 10:29
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.74%EV -5.94%E -3.88%K -11.21%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -16.89%E -3.22%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -9.22%E -2.31%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-23 09:59
Bovada🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.49%EV -6.56%E -4.31%K -12.61%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.26%EV -8.97%E -1.56%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -4.68%E -1.12%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-23 09:58
BetAnything🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.49%EV -6.56%E -4.31%K -12.61%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.26%EV -8.97%E -1.56%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -4.68%E -1.12%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-23 10:00
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.37%EV -6.56%E -4.31%K -12.61%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.19%EV -16.89%E -3.22%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -12.63%E -3.28%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-23 10:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.73%EV -7.17%E -4.75%K -14.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.54%EV -5.01%E -0.836%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -6.95%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-23 10:40
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -7.79%E -5.19%K -15.58%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -8.97%E -1.56%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -1.73%E -0.400%K -0.521%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-22 07:50
FanDuel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.79%E -5.19%K -15.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -5.01%E -0.836%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.22%E -2.31%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-23 10:50
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.77%EV -7.79%E -5.19%K -15.58%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.85%EV -8.97%E -1.56%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -11.49%E -2.95%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-23 09:48
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.79%E -5.19%K -15.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -12.93%E -2.35%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -9.22%E -2.31%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-22 22:09
Everygame🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -7.79%E -5.19%K -15.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -12.93%E -2.35%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -11.49%E -2.95%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-23 10:39
Unibet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -8.40%E -5.64%K -17.15%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -5.01%E -0.836%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -9.22%E -2.31%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-20 15:00
Grosvenor🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -8.40%E -5.64%K -17.15%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -5.01%E -0.836%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -9.22%E -2.31%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-20 15:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -8.40%E -5.64%K -17.15%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -5.01%E -0.836%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -9.22%E -2.31%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-20 15:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -8.40%E -5.64%K -17.15%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -5.01%E -0.836%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -9.22%E -2.31%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-20 15:00
Casumo🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -8.40%E -5.64%K -17.15%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -5.01%E -0.836%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -9.22%E -2.31%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-20 15:00
TABtouch🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -8.40%E -5.64%K -17.15%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -5.01%E -0.836%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -9.22%E -2.31%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-20 15:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -8.40%E -5.64%K -17.15%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -5.01%E -0.836%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -9.22%E -2.31%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-20 15:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -8.40%E -5.64%K -17.15%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -5.01%E -0.836%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -9.22%E -2.31%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-20 15:00
betPARX🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -8.40%E -5.64%K -17.15%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -5.01%E -0.836%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -9.22%E -2.31%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-20 15:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -8.40%E -5.64%K -17.15%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -5.01%E -0.836%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -9.22%E -2.31%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-22 22:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -9.02%E -6.09%K -18.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -5.01%E -0.836%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -9.22%E -2.31%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-20 15:00
BetRivers🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -9.02%E -6.09%K -18.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -5.01%E -0.836%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -9.22%E -2.31%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-20 15:00
Bet Right🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -9.02%E -6.09%K -18.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -5.01%E -0.836%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -9.22%E -2.31%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-22 22:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.09%EV -9.02%E -6.09%K -18.79%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -8.97%E -1.56%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -11.49%E -2.95%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-22 22:09
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -9.02%E -6.09%K -18.79%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -16.89%E -3.22%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -9.22%E -2.31%K -3.07%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-22 07:49
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -9.02%E -6.09%K -18.79%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -16.89%E -3.22%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -9.22%E -2.31%K -3.07%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-22 07:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -9.02%E -6.09%K -18.79%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -16.89%E -3.22%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -9.22%E -2.31%K -3.07%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-22 07:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -9.02%E -6.09%K -18.79%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -16.89%E -3.22%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -9.22%E -2.31%K -3.07%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-22 07:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.67%EV -9.63%E -6.55%K -20.49%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.86%EV -1.85%E -0.298%K -0.355%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -6.95%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-23 07:30
LeoVegas🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.02%EV -9.63%E -6.55%K -20.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -5.01%E -0.836%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.79%EV -9.22%E -2.31%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-20 15:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.02%EV -9.63%E -6.55%K -20.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -5.01%E -0.836%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.79%EV -9.22%E -2.31%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-20 15:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.02%EV -9.63%E -6.55%K -20.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -5.01%E -0.836%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.79%EV -9.22%E -2.31%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-20 15:00
SportsBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.02%EV -9.63%E -6.55%K -20.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -5.01%E -0.836%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.79%EV -9.22%E -2.31%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-23 10:49
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.77%EV -11.48%E -7.97%K -26.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -5.01%E -0.836%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41%EV -13.76%E -3.62%K -4.91%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-23 10:39
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -11.48%E -7.97%K -26.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -12.93%E -2.35%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -9.22%E -2.31%K -3.07%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-23 04:19
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.18%EV -11.48%E -7.97%K -26.08%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.32%EV -8.97%E -1.56%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.49%EV -14.90%E -3.97%K -5.42%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-23 10:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 61.89%EV -12.71%E -8.95%K -30.25%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.28%EV -8.97%E -1.56%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.83%EV -12.63%E -3.28%K -4.43%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-20 15:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 61.27%EV -12.71%E -8.95%K -30.25%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.42%EV -16.10%E -3.04%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.31%EV -11.49%E -2.95%K -3.96%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-23 10:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 59.11%EV -13.94%E -9.95%K -34.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 16.55%EV -20.84%E -4.17%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.34%EV -22.84%E -6.72%K -9.52%G +0.000%20.8%2026-05-23 10:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 62.92%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.11%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97%1.2%2026-05-23 10:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.57I 63.69%NM 62.92%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.11%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97%1.2%2026-05-23 10:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 62.92%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.11%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97%1.2%2026-05-23 10:40
Matchbook1.57I 63.69%NM 62.92%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.11%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97%1.2%2026-05-23 10:40