Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Inter Turku v KuPS Kuopio

Kickoff: 2026-10-11 12:01 UTC

Final: FC Inter Turku 1–0 KuPS Kuopio

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Inter Turku (Local)

Prediction 42.32%2.36fair odd
EV -3.50%
Edge -1.54%
Kelly -2.74%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.44%42.42%42.37%44.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.942.152.152.2851.55%46.41%46.51%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

KuPS Kuopio (Visit)

Prediction 27.94%3.58fair odd
EV +2.53%
Edge +0.691%
Kelly +0.949%
Growth +0.024%

assuming max odds 3.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.18%27.92%27.87%29.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.273.303.6733.33%30.59%30.30%27.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.74%3.36fair odd
EV +0.220%
Edge +0.065%
Kelly +0.093%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.37

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.04%29.67%29.77%30.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.113.103.3734.48%32.14%32.26%29.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Inter Turku (Local): 42.32%; KuPS Kuopio (Visit): 27.94%; Draw: 29.74%. For KuPS Kuopio (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.58. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.67, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.53%.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.70%EV -9.01%E -4.19%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.18%EV +2.53%E +0.691%K +0.949%G +0.024%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.12%EV -1.86%E -0.564%K -0.810%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-10 13:59
Pinnacle🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -3.50%E -1.54%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.63%EV -2.21%E -0.633%K -0.886%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.94%EV -3.94%E -1.22%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-11 11:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.16%EV -5.20%E -2.32%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.61%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.46%EV -7.81%E -2.52%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-11 11:54
BetOnline.ag🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.16%EV -5.20%E -2.32%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.61%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.46%EV -7.81%E -2.52%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-11 11:54
BetUS🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.16%EV -5.20%E -2.32%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.61%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.46%EV -7.81%E -2.52%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-11 11:55
BetAnything🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.16%EV -5.20%E -2.32%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.61%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.46%EV -7.81%E -2.52%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-11 11:54
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.09%EV -4.77%E -2.12%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -5.01%E -1.47%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.06%EV -6.32%E -2.01%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-11 11:45
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.89%E -3.13%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -5.01%E -1.47%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -7.81%E -2.52%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-11 11:35
1xBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.45%EV -9.01%E -4.19%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.80%EV -6.13%E -1.82%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -3.35%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-11 08:25
GTbets🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -8.58%E -3.97%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.21%EV -6.41%E -1.91%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.04%EV +0.220%E +0.065%K +0.093%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-11 09:29
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -6.89%E -3.13%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -6.41%E -1.91%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -6.32%E -2.01%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-11 11:43
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -4.77%E -2.12%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -7.80%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -4.84%E -1.51%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-11 11:39
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.89%E -3.13%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.80%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -4.84%E -1.51%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-11 09:29
Unibet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.35%EV -9.43%E -4.41%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.11%EV -7.80%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -3.35%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-10 14:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.35%EV -9.43%E -4.41%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.11%EV -7.80%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -3.35%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-10 14:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.35%EV -9.43%E -4.41%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.11%EV -7.80%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -3.35%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-10 14:00
Grosvenor🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.35%EV -9.43%E -4.41%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.11%EV -7.80%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -3.35%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-10 14:01
TABtouch🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.35%EV -9.43%E -4.41%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.11%EV -7.80%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -3.35%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-10 14:01
Casumo🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.35%EV -9.43%E -4.41%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.11%EV -7.80%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -3.35%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-10 14:00
betPARX🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.35%EV -9.43%E -4.41%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.11%EV -7.80%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -3.35%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-10 14:01
Svenska Spel🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.35%EV -9.43%E -4.41%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.11%EV -7.80%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -3.35%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-10 14:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.35%EV -9.43%E -4.41%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.11%EV -7.80%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -3.35%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-10 14:01
SportsBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.10%EV -7.74%E -3.55%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -7.80%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -9.30%E -3.05%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-11 11:34
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -9.01%E -4.19%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.80%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.81%E -2.52%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-11 10:44
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.89%E -3.13%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.80%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.78%E -3.59%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-11 10:05
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.89%E -3.13%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.80%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.78%E -3.59%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-11 10:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.89%E -3.13%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.80%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.78%E -3.59%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-11 10:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.89%E -3.13%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.80%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.78%E -3.59%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-11 10:05
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.68%EV -6.04%E -2.72%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.47%EV -9.20%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -7.81%E -2.52%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-11 10:45
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.68%EV -6.04%E -2.72%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.47%EV -9.20%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -7.81%E -2.52%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-11 10:45
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.54%EV -9.01%E -4.19%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -9.20%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.32%EV -7.22%E -2.31%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-11 09:38
betano_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.54%EV -9.01%E -4.19%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -9.20%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.32%EV -7.22%E -2.31%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-11 09:38
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -9.01%E -4.19%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.20%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -10.78%E -3.59%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-11 11:35
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -9.01%E -4.19%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.20%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -10.78%E -3.59%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-11 11:45
LeoVegas🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.89%E -3.13%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -10.60%E -3.31%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -7.81%E -2.52%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-11 11:39
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -9.01%E -4.19%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.60%E -3.31%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.78%E -3.59%K -5.39%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-11 09:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -9.01%E -4.19%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.60%E -3.31%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.78%E -3.59%K -5.39%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-11 09:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -9.01%E -4.19%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.60%E -3.31%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.78%E -3.59%K -5.39%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-11 09:29
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -9.01%E -4.19%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.60%E -3.31%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.78%E -3.59%K -5.39%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-11 09:29
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -9.01%E -4.19%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -10.60%E -3.31%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -13.76%E -4.74%K -7.24%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-11 11:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.01%EV -11.12%E -5.30%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -10.60%E -3.31%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.42%EV -13.76%E -4.74%K -7.24%G +0.000%13.4%2026-10-11 11:49
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.01%EV -11.12%E -5.30%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -10.60%E -3.31%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.42%EV -13.76%E -4.74%K -7.24%G +0.000%13.4%2026-10-11 08:24
Bet Right🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.47%EV -9.01%E -4.19%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -11.99%E -3.81%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -4.84%E -1.51%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-11 10:10
BetRivers🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 43.37%EV -13.66%E -6.70%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.09%EV -11.99%E -3.81%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -7.81%E -2.52%K -3.72%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-10 14:01
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 43.37%EV -13.66%E -6.70%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.09%EV -11.99%E -3.81%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -7.81%E -2.52%K -3.72%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-10 14:01
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.89%E -3.13%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -13.39%E -4.32%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -4.84%E -1.51%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-11 10:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.09%EV -9.01%E -4.19%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -13.39%E -4.32%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -6.32%E -2.01%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-11 10:05
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -9.01%E -4.19%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -13.39%E -4.32%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -7.81%E -2.52%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-11 10:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 43.22%EV -14.51%E -7.18%K -14.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.16%EV -13.39%E -4.32%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.62%EV -9.30%E -3.05%K -4.54%G +0.000%14.5%2026-10-10 14:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 43.22%EV -14.51%E -7.18%K -14.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.16%EV -13.39%E -4.32%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.62%EV -9.30%E -3.05%K -4.54%G +0.000%14.5%2026-10-10 14:01
PMU (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 43.27%EV -17.47%E -8.96%K -18.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.13%EV -16.18%E -5.39%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.60%EV -12.27%E -4.16%K -6.29%G +0.000%18.5%2026-10-11 09:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 43.18%EV -17.89%E -9.22%K -19.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.93%EV -16.18%E -5.39%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 28.89%EV -13.76%E -4.74%K -7.24%G +0.000%19.4%2026-10-11 11:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 42.18%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.65%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17%0.5%2026-10-11 11:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 42.18%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.65%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17%0.5%2026-10-11 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 42.18%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.65%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17%0.5%2026-10-11 11:55
Matchbook◎2.36I 42.37%NM 42.18%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.65%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17%0.5%2026-10-11 11:55