Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Inter Turku v IF Gnistan

Kickoff: 2026-07-26 12:00 UTC

Final: FC Inter Turku 1–2 IF Gnistan

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

55 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Inter Turku (Local)

Prediction 54.44%1.84fair odd
EV -4.19%
Edge -2.38%
Kelly -5.51%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.76

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.15%54.50%54.32%56.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.701.701.7661.73%58.99%58.82%56.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

IF Gnistan (Visit)

Prediction 21.51%4.65fair odd
EV +4.31%
Edge +0.889%
Kelly +1.12%
Growth +0.048%

assuming max odds 4.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.86%21.42%21.58%22.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.314.334.8526.32%23.18%23.09%20.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.05%4.16fair odd
EV -1.38%
Edge -0.335%
Kelly -0.444%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.25%24.09%24.10%25.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.553.763.754.1028.17%26.59%26.67%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Inter Turku (Local): 54.44%; IF Gnistan (Visit): 21.51%; Draw: 24.05%. For IF Gnistan (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.65. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.31%.

Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.65%EV -7.46%E -4.39%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.86%EV +4.31%E +0.889%K +1.12%G +0.048%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.49%EV -1.38%E -0.335%K -0.444%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-26 11:55
NordicBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -7.46%E -4.39%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV +1.09%E +0.231%K +0.294%G +0.003%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.23%EV -11.00%E -2.97%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 08:10
Betsson🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -7.46%E -4.39%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV +1.09%E +0.231%K +0.294%G +0.003%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.23%EV -11.00%E -2.97%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 08:15
BetUS🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.97%EV -7.46%E -4.39%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -3.21%E -0.714%K -0.919%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -7.39%E -1.92%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-26 11:50
Unibet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.43%EV -7.46%E -4.39%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -3.21%E -0.714%K -0.919%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -11.00%E -2.97%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-19 13:35
TABtouch🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.43%EV -7.46%E -4.39%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -3.21%E -0.714%K -0.919%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -11.00%E -2.97%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-19 13:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.43%EV -7.46%E -4.39%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -3.21%E -0.714%K -0.919%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -11.00%E -2.97%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-19 13:35
Casumo🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.43%EV -7.46%E -4.39%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -3.21%E -0.714%K -0.919%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -11.00%E -2.97%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-19 13:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.43%EV -7.46%E -4.39%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -3.21%E -0.714%K -0.919%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -11.00%E -2.97%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-19 13:35
Grosvenor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.43%EV -7.46%E -4.39%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -3.21%E -0.714%K -0.919%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -11.00%E -2.97%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-19 13:35
betPARX🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.43%EV -7.46%E -4.39%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -3.21%E -0.714%K -0.919%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -11.00%E -2.97%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-19 13:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.43%EV -7.46%E -4.39%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -3.21%E -0.714%K -0.919%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -11.00%E -2.97%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-19 13:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.43%EV -7.46%E -4.39%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -3.21%E -0.714%K -0.919%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -11.00%E -2.97%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-19 13:35
GTbets🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.85%EV -4.73%E -2.71%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.47I 22.37%NM 21.08%EV -3.86%E -0.864%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.06%EV -9.55%E -2.54%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-26 11:45
Pinnacle🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.80%EV -4.19%E -2.38%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 21.62%EV -4.08%E -0.914%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.58%EV -1.62%E -0.395%K -0.523%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-26 11:59
1xBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.43%EV -6.37%E -3.70%K -8.84%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 20.99%EV -4.08%E -0.914%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 24.57%EV -8.35%E -2.19%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-26 11:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.16%EV -4.73%E -2.71%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%EV -5.37%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -6.19%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-26 11:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.16%EV -4.73%E -2.71%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%EV -5.37%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -6.19%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-26 11:55
BetAnything🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.16%EV -4.73%E -2.71%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%EV -5.37%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -6.19%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-26 11:55
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.35%EV -8.00%E -4.73%K -11.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -5.37%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -3.78%E -0.945%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-26 11:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.61%EV -10.18%E -6.17%K -15.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -5.37%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -6.19%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-26 11:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.29%EV -8.55%E -5.09%K -12.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -5.37%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -12.20%E -3.34%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-19 13:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.29%EV -8.55%E -5.09%K -12.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -5.37%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -12.20%E -3.34%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-19 13:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.29%EV -8.55%E -5.09%K -12.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -5.37%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -12.20%E -3.34%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-19 13:35
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.29%EV -8.55%E -5.09%K -12.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -5.37%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -12.20%E -3.34%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-19 13:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.31%EV -5.82%E -3.37%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.60%EV -6.44%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -6.19%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-26 11:55
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.78%EV -8.55%E -5.09%K -12.57%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.77%EV -6.44%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.45%EV -14.61%E -4.11%K -5.73%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-26 08:10
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.20%EV -6.91%E -4.04%K -9.74%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.41%EV -6.87%E -1.59%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -8.59%E -2.26%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 11:43
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -9.09%E -5.44%K -13.57%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -6.87%E -1.59%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.08%EV -8.59%E -2.26%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 11:55
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.20%EV -5.28%E -3.03%K -7.13%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -7.52%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.87%EV -4.98%E -1.26%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 11:50
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.86%EV -5.28%E -3.03%K -7.13%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -7.52%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -7.39%E -1.92%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-26 11:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.01%EV -5.82%E -3.37%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -7.52%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -7.39%E -1.92%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-26 11:59
SportsBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -8.55%E -5.09%K -12.57%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -7.52%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -6.19%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 11:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.28%EV -8.00%E -4.73%K -11.60%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.58%EV -8.59%E -2.02%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -8.59%E -2.26%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-26 11:59
PMU (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.42%EV -11.81%E -7.29%K -19.05%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.74%EV -8.59%E -2.02%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.83%EV -14.61%E -4.11%K -5.73%G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-19 13:35
LeoVegas🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.16%EV -7.46%E -4.39%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -9.67%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -7.39%E -1.92%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-26 11:55
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.21%EV -5.82%E -3.37%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -9.67%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -11.00%E -2.97%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-26 11:45
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.21%EV -5.82%E -3.37%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -9.67%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -11.00%E -2.97%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-26 11:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.21%EV -5.82%E -3.37%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -9.67%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -11.00%E -2.97%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-26 11:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.21%EV -5.82%E -3.37%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -9.67%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -11.00%E -2.97%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-26 11:45
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -7.46%E -4.39%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -9.67%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -9.79%E -2.61%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 11:59
Bet Right🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.46%EV -8.55%E -5.09%K -12.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -9.67%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -7.39%E -1.92%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 11:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.94%EV -8.55%E -5.09%K -12.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -9.67%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -11.00%E -2.97%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-26 11:50
Paddy Power🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.73%EV -10.18%E -6.17%K -15.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -9.67%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.77%EV -8.59%E -2.26%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-26 11:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.01%EV -11.81%E -7.29%K -19.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -9.67%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.77%EV -9.79%E -2.61%K -3.56%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-26 11:50
Everygame🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.32%EV -9.09%E -5.44%K -13.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -11.82%E -2.88%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.56%EV -7.39%E -1.92%K -2.59%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-26 11:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 53.89%EV -10.72%E -6.54%K -16.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.56%EV -11.82%E -2.88%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.55%EV -13.40%E -3.72%K -5.15%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-26 11:55
Betway🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.41%EV -7.46%E -4.39%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -13.97%E -3.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -8.59%E -2.26%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-26 11:46
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -9.09%E -5.44%K -13.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -13.97%E -3.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -9.79%E -2.61%K -3.56%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-26 11:59
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -9.09%E -5.44%K -13.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -13.97%E -3.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -9.79%E -2.61%K -3.56%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-26 11:50
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.15%EV -9.09%E -5.44%K -13.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -13.97%E -3.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -13.40%E -3.72%K -5.15%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-26 11:45
Neds🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.15%EV -9.09%E -5.44%K -13.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -13.97%E -3.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -13.40%E -3.72%K -5.15%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-26 11:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.15%EV -9.09%E -5.44%K -13.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -13.97%E -3.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -13.40%E -3.72%K -5.15%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-26 11:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.15%EV -9.09%E -5.44%K -13.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -13.97%E -3.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -13.40%E -3.72%K -5.15%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-26 11:45
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 53.81%EV -11.81%E -7.29%K -19.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.94%EV -18.27%E -4.81%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.25%EV -9.79%E -2.61%K -3.56%G +0.000%14.7%2026-07-26 11:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62%0.8%2026-07-26 11:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62%0.8%2026-07-26 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62%0.8%2026-07-26 11:45
Matchbook1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62%0.8%2026-07-26 11:55