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FC Inter Turku v HJK Helsinki

Kickoff: 2026-04-29 16:00 UTC

Final: FC Inter Turku 1–1 HJK Helsinki

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Inter Turku (Local)

Prediction 41.57%2.41fair odd
EV -8.54%
Edge -3.88%
Kelly -7.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.42%41.57%41.57%42.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.972.182.202.2050.76%45.87%45.45%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

HJK Helsinki (Visit)

Prediction 32.66%3.06fair odd
EV -2.01%
Edge -0.669%
Kelly -1.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.36%32.66%32.66%32.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.832.853.0037.04%35.31%35.09%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.76%3.88fair odd
EV -5.19%
Edge -1.41%
Kelly -1.94%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.68

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.62%25.76%25.76%26.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.533.553.6830.30%28.33%28.17%27.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Inter Turku (Local): 41.57%; HJK Helsinki (Visit): 32.66%; Draw: 25.76%. For HJK Helsinki (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.06. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.00, with an expected value of -2.01%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.90%EV -8.54%E -3.88%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -2.01%E -0.669%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.65%EV -5.19%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 00:15
Unibet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.81%EV -8.54%E -3.88%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -6.91%E -2.42%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -8.54%E -2.41%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-22 16:04
Grosvenor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.81%EV -8.54%E -3.88%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -6.91%E -2.42%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -8.54%E -2.41%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-22 16:04
Unibet (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.81%EV -8.54%E -3.88%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -6.91%E -2.42%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -8.54%E -2.41%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-22 16:04
TABtouch🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.81%EV -8.54%E -3.88%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -6.91%E -2.42%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -8.54%E -2.41%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-22 16:04
Casumo🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.81%EV -8.54%E -3.88%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -6.91%E -2.42%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -8.54%E -2.41%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-22 16:04
Unibet (NL)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.81%EV -8.54%E -3.88%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -6.91%E -2.42%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -8.54%E -2.41%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-22 16:04
betPARX🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.81%EV -8.54%E -3.88%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -6.91%E -2.42%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -8.54%E -2.41%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-22 16:04
Svenska Spel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.81%EV -8.54%E -3.88%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -6.91%E -2.42%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -8.54%E -2.41%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-22 16:04
ATG (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.81%EV -8.54%E -3.88%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -6.91%E -2.42%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -8.54%E -2.41%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-22 16:04
BetRivers🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.54%E -3.88%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.66%EV -8.54%E -3.05%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.76%EV -8.54%E -2.41%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-22 16:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.54%E -3.88%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.66%EV -8.54%E -3.05%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.76%EV -8.54%E -2.41%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-22 16:04
LiveScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -8.54%E -3.88%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -8.54%E -3.05%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-22 16:04
Virgin Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -8.54%E -3.88%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -8.54%E -3.05%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-22 16:04
LeoVegas🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -8.54%E -3.88%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -8.54%E -3.05%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-22 16:04
1xBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -10.62%E -4.94%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.48%EV -4.29%E -1.47%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-22 16:15
PMU (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 41.52%EV -11.87%E -5.60%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.60%EV -11.81%E -4.37%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.89%EV -12.40%E -3.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-22 16:04
Unibet (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 42.98%EV -18.10%E -9.19%K -18.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.36%EV -11.81%E -4.37%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.66%EV -14.98%E -4.54%K -6.51%G +0.000%18.1%2026-04-23 16:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.