The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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FC Inter Turku v HJK Helsinki

Kickoff: 2026-10-29 16:00 UTC

Final: FC Inter Turku 2–4 HJK Helsinki

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Inter Turku (Local)

Prediction 40.42%2.47fair odd
EV -2.59%
Edge -1.07%
Kelly -1.84%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.41

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.32%40.29%40.58%41.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.292.302.4150.00%43.70%43.48%41.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

HJK Helsinki (Visit)

Prediction 33.34%3.00fair odd
EV -3.32%
Edge -1.14%
Kelly -1.75%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.13%33.34%33.29%34.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.732.742.9039.22%36.62%36.50%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.24%3.81fair odd
EV -1.59%
Edge -0.425%
Kelly -0.580%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.42%26.37%26.13%27.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.413.403.7532.26%29.36%29.41%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Inter Turku (Local): 40.42%; HJK Helsinki (Visit): 33.34%; Draw: 26.24%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.81. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.75, with an expected value of -1.59%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 40.24%EV -2.59%E -1.07%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.91%EV -4.65%E -1.63%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.86%EV -1.59%E -0.425%K -0.580%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-29 15:55
Coolbet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.89%EV -5.01%E -2.13%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.14%EV -3.32%E -1.14%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.97%EV -2.91%E -0.785%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-29 14:54
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.37%EV -5.01%E -2.13%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.28%EV -4.98%E -1.75%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -5.53%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-29 15:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -5.01%E -2.13%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.65%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -8.15%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-29 15:35
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -5.01%E -2.13%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.65%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -8.15%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-29 15:43
BetUS🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -5.01%E -2.13%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.65%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -8.15%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-29 15:40
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -5.01%E -2.13%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -6.65%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -10.78%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-29 15:40
Unibet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -5.01%E -2.13%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -11.65%E -4.40%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -14.71%E -4.53%K -6.54%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-29 12:29
Casumo🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -5.01%E -2.13%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -11.65%E -4.40%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -14.71%E -4.53%K -6.54%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-29 12:29
Grosvenor🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -5.01%E -2.13%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -11.65%E -4.40%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -14.71%E -4.53%K -6.54%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-29 12:30
TABtouch🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -5.01%E -2.13%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -11.65%E -4.40%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -14.71%E -4.53%K -6.54%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-29 12:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -5.01%E -2.13%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -11.65%E -4.40%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -14.71%E -4.53%K -6.54%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-29 12:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -5.01%E -2.13%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -11.65%E -4.40%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -14.71%E -4.53%K -6.54%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-29 12:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -5.01%E -2.13%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -11.65%E -4.40%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -14.71%E -4.53%K -6.54%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-29 12:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -5.01%E -2.13%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -11.65%E -4.40%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -14.71%E -4.53%K -6.54%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-29 12:30
betPARX🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -5.01%E -2.13%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -11.65%E -4.40%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -14.71%E -4.53%K -6.54%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-29 12:30
GTbets🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.10%EV -5.42%E -2.32%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.39%EV -6.32%E -2.25%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.51%EV -7.10%E -2.01%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-29 15:55
1xBet🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.02%EV -5.42%E -2.32%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.18%EV -8.65%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 25.80%EV -4.74%E -1.31%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-29 15:55
NordicBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.83%EV -6.23%E -2.68%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.00%EV -6.65%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -10.78%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-29 15:40
Betsson🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.83%EV -6.23%E -2.68%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.00%EV -6.65%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -10.78%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-29 15:40
BetRivers🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.36%EV -6.23%E -2.68%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.84%EV -12.32%E -4.68%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.81%EV -16.03%E -5.01%K -7.28%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-29 12:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.36%EV -6.23%E -2.68%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.84%EV -12.32%E -4.68%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.81%EV -16.03%E -5.01%K -7.28%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-29 12:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.25%EV -6.63%E -2.87%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.86%EV -3.32%E -1.14%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.89%EV -3.43%E -0.932%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-29 15:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.25%EV -6.63%E -2.87%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.86%EV -3.32%E -1.14%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.89%EV -3.43%E -0.932%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-29 15:20
BetAnything🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.25%EV -6.63%E -2.87%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.86%EV -3.32%E -1.14%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.89%EV -3.43%E -0.932%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-29 15:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 40.25%EV -6.63%E -2.87%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 33.56%EV -7.65%E -2.76%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -6.84%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-29 15:55
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -7.04%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.65%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -5.53%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-29 15:55
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -7.04%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -8.32%E -3.02%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -9.47%E -2.74%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-29 15:35
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.39%EV -7.04%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -9.99%E -3.70%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -12.09%E -3.61%K -5.14%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-29 15:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.56%EV -7.04%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -12.32%E -4.68%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -16.03%E -5.01%K -7.28%G +0.000%12.8%2026-10-29 12:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.56%EV -7.04%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -12.32%E -4.68%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -16.03%E -5.01%K -7.28%G +0.000%12.8%2026-10-29 12:30
Bet Right🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -9.06%E -4.02%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%EV -8.32%E -3.02%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -6.84%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-29 15:55
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -9.06%E -4.02%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -9.99%E -3.70%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -5.53%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-29 15:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -9.06%E -4.02%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -8.32%E -3.02%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.15%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-29 15:55
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -9.06%E -4.02%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -8.32%E -3.02%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.15%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-29 15:40
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -9.06%E -4.02%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -8.32%E -3.02%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.15%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-29 15:28
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -9.06%E -4.02%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -8.32%E -3.02%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.15%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-29 15:29
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -9.06%E -4.02%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -6.65%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.78%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-29 15:19
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -9.06%E -4.02%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -6.65%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.78%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-29 15:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -9.06%E -4.02%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -6.65%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.78%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-29 15:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -9.06%E -4.02%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -6.65%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.78%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-29 15:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -9.06%E -4.02%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -9.99%E -3.70%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -8.15%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-29 15:55
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -9.06%E -4.02%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.99%EV -9.99%E -3.70%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -14.71%E -4.53%K -6.54%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-29 15:40
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -9.06%E -4.02%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.99%EV -9.99%E -3.70%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -14.71%E -4.53%K -6.54%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-29 15:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -9.06%E -4.02%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.99%EV -9.99%E -3.70%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -14.71%E -4.53%K -6.54%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-29 15:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -9.06%E -4.02%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.99%EV -9.99%E -3.70%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -14.71%E -4.53%K -6.54%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-29 15:40
PMU (FR)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 38.55%EV -9.86%E -4.42%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.71%EV -14.99%E -5.88%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.73%EV -18.65%E -6.02%K -8.88%G +0.000%16.3%2026-10-29 12:30
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -11.08%E -5.03%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -8.32%E -3.02%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -10.78%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-29 15:30
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -11.08%E -5.03%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -9.99%E -3.70%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -10.78%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-29 15:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -11.08%E -5.03%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -9.99%E -3.70%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -10.78%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-29 15:45
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.21%EV -11.08%E -5.03%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.77%EV -12.65%E -4.83%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.02%EV -10.78%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-29 14:15
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.66%EV -13.10%E -6.09%K -11.39%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.62%EV -13.32%E -5.12%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.71%EV -10.78%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000%14.4%2026-10-29 15:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 41.77%EV -19.16%E -9.58%K -19.16%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.13%EV -13.32%E -5.12%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.10%EV -16.03%E -5.01%K -7.28%G +0.000%19.7%2026-10-29 15:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.86%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.24%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.90%0.3%2026-10-29 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.86%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.24%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.90%0.3%2026-10-29 15:55
Matchbook◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.77%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.39%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.84%0.5%2026-10-29 15:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 41.06%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.12%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81%0.6%2026-10-29 15:55

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