The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

AC Oulu v VPS Vaasa

Kickoff: 2026-10-28 16:00 UTC

Final: AC Oulu 0–0 VPS Vaasa

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

AC Oulu (Local)

Prediction 36.77%2.72fair odd
EV -0.718%
Edge -0.266%
Kelly -0.423%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.07%36.95%36.68%39.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.452.452.7046.51%40.82%40.82%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

VPS Vaasa (Visit)

Prediction 36.49%2.74fair odd
EV +1.08%
Edge +0.389%
Kelly +0.609%
Growth +0.007%

assuming max odds 2.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.88%36.33%36.59%37.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.382.582.552.7742.02%38.81%39.22%36.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.74%3.74fair odd
EV -1.07%
Edge -0.288%
Kelly -0.395%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.92%26.72%26.73%28.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.363.403.7032.79%29.74%29.41%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: AC Oulu (Local): 36.77%; VPS Vaasa (Visit): 36.49%; Draw: 26.74%. For VPS Vaasa (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.74. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.77, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.08%.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.27%EV -9.91%E -4.05%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.73%EV +1.08%E +0.389%K +0.609%G +0.007%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -1.07%E -0.288%K -0.395%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-28 13:14
GTbets🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.16%EV -6.60%E -2.60%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.32%EV +0.347%E +0.126%K +0.198%G +0.001%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.52%EV -11.49%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-28 13:05
Unibet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.10%EV -14.69%E -6.33%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV +0.347%E +0.126%K +0.198%G +0.001%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.91%EV -13.10%E -4.03%K -5.82%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-28 13:04
Unibet (SE)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.10%EV -14.69%E -6.33%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV +0.347%E +0.126%K +0.198%G +0.001%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.91%EV -13.10%E -4.03%K -5.82%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-28 13:05
TABtouch🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.10%EV -14.69%E -6.33%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV +0.347%E +0.126%K +0.198%G +0.001%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.91%EV -13.10%E -4.03%K -5.82%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-28 13:04
Grosvenor🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.10%EV -14.69%E -6.33%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV +0.347%E +0.126%K +0.198%G +0.001%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.91%EV -13.10%E -4.03%K -5.82%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-28 13:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.10%EV -14.69%E -6.33%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV +0.347%E +0.126%K +0.198%G +0.001%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.91%EV -13.10%E -4.03%K -5.82%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-28 13:05
Casumo🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.10%EV -14.69%E -6.33%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV +0.347%E +0.126%K +0.198%G +0.001%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.91%EV -13.10%E -4.03%K -5.82%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-28 13:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.10%EV -14.69%E -6.33%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV +0.347%E +0.126%K +0.198%G +0.001%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.91%EV -13.10%E -4.03%K -5.82%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-28 13:05
betPARX🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.10%EV -14.69%E -6.33%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV +0.347%E +0.126%K +0.198%G +0.001%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.91%EV -13.10%E -4.03%K -5.82%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-28 13:03
Svenska Spel🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.10%EV -14.69%E -6.33%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV +0.347%E +0.126%K +0.198%G +0.001%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.91%EV -13.10%E -4.03%K -5.82%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-28 13:04
BetRivers🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.11%EV -16.16%E -7.09%K -12.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -1.48%E -0.547%K -0.869%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.87%EV -14.43%E -4.51%K -6.56%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-28 13:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.11%EV -16.16%E -7.09%K -12.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -1.48%E -0.547%K -0.869%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.87%EV -14.43%E -4.51%K -6.56%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-28 13:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 38.94%EV -16.16%E -7.09%K -12.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.88%EV -1.48%E -0.547%K -0.869%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.18%EV -15.77%E -5.01%K -7.34%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-28 13:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 38.94%EV -16.16%E -7.09%K -12.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.88%EV -1.48%E -0.547%K -0.869%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.18%EV -15.77%E -5.01%K -7.34%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-28 13:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -8.07%E -3.23%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -5.13%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-28 13:04
BetMGM🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -8.07%E -3.23%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -5.13%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -9.09%E -2.67%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-28 13:05
PMU (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 38.95%EV -19.10%E -8.68%K -15.92%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.96%EV -5.13%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.09%EV -18.45%E -6.05%K -9.00%G +0.000%16.7%2026-10-28 13:05
1xBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.90%EV -7.34%E -2.91%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 35.91%EV -5.49%E -2.12%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.19%EV -8.55%E -2.50%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-28 13:14
Marathon Bet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.90%EV -7.34%E -2.91%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 35.91%EV -5.49%E -2.12%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.19%EV -8.55%E -2.50%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-28 13:05
Pinnacle🎯2.69I 37.17%NM 36.00%EV -1.09%E -0.404%K -0.643%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.54%EV -5.86%E -2.27%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.46%EV -2.13%E -0.583%K -0.803%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-28 15:45
DraftKings🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.76%EV -2.56%E -0.965%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.16%EV -6.95%E -2.73%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-28 15:45
FanDuel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -6.23%E -2.44%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -6.95%E -2.73%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-28 15:50
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -6.23%E -2.44%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -6.95%E -2.73%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -7.75%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-28 15:40
NordicBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -6.23%E -2.44%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -6.95%E -2.73%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -9.09%E -2.67%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-28 15:50
Betsson🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -6.23%E -2.44%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -6.95%E -2.73%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -9.09%E -2.67%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-28 15:50
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.97%EV -8.07%E -3.23%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -6.95%E -2.73%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -7.75%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-28 15:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -9.91%E -4.05%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -6.95%E -2.73%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-28 13:14
Bet Right🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%EV -9.91%E -4.05%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.97%EV -6.95%E -2.73%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -7.75%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-28 13:14
LowVig.ag🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.68%EV -2.19%E -0.823%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.96%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV -3.74%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-28 15:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.68%EV -2.19%E -0.823%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.96%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV -3.74%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-28 15:45
BetUS🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.68%EV -2.19%E -0.823%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.96%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV -3.74%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-28 15:50
BetAnything🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -0.718%E -0.266%K -0.423%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-28 15:45
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -8.07%E -3.23%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -7.75%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-28 15:50
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.07%E -3.23%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -9.09%E -2.67%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-28 15:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.07%E -3.23%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -9.09%E -2.67%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-28 15:39
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.07%E -3.23%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -9.09%E -2.67%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-28 15:39
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.07%E -3.23%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -9.09%E -2.67%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-28 15:39
betano_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.07%E -3.23%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -9.09%E -2.67%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-28 15:49
Bet Victor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.07%E -3.23%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -9.09%E -2.67%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-28 15:39
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -9.91%E -4.05%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -9.09%E -2.67%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-28 13:15
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.07%E -3.23%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -11.76%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-28 15:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -9.91%E -4.05%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -13.10%E -4.03%K -5.82%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-28 13:05
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -9.91%E -4.05%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -13.10%E -4.03%K -5.82%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-28 13:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -9.91%E -4.05%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -13.10%E -4.03%K -5.82%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-28 13:05
Coral🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -9.91%E -4.05%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -13.10%E -4.03%K -5.82%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-28 13:05
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -11.75%E -4.90%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -11.76%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-28 13:15
Paddy Power🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -9.91%E -4.05%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -10.60%E -4.33%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -9.09%E -2.67%K -3.79%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-28 15:50
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -9.91%E -4.05%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -10.60%E -4.33%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -13.10%E -4.03%K -5.82%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-28 15:39
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 39.06%EV -20.94%E -9.74%K -18.21%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 34.28%EV -10.60%E -4.33%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.66%EV -15.77%E -5.01%K -7.34%G +0.000%19.1%2026-10-28 15:39
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -8.07%E -3.23%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -12.42%E -5.18%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-28 15:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.67%EV -11.75%E -4.90%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.67%EV -12.42%E -5.18%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -11.76%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%13.6%2026-10-28 15:50
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.04%EV -12.49%E -5.25%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.04%EV -13.15%E -5.53%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.93%EV -9.09%E -2.67%K -3.79%G +0.000%13.4%2026-10-28 15:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.89%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.89%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21%0.4%2026-10-28 15:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.68I 37.31%NM 36.96%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.96%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%0.9%2026-10-28 15:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.68I 37.31%NM 36.96%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.96%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%0.9%2026-10-28 15:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.68I 37.31%NM 36.96%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.96%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%0.9%2026-10-28 15:50

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