Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 3.01
assuming max odds 2.40
assuming max odds 3.61
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: AC Oulu (Local): 32.20%; KuPS Kuopio (Visit): 40.56%; Draw: 27.24%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.67. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.61, with an expected value of -1.65%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.01I 33.22%NM 32.16%EV -3.07%E -1.02%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.02%EV -4.29%E -1.82%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.82%EV -1.65%E -0.458%K -0.634%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-02 15:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.89%EV -4.04%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.96%EV -5.91%E -2.55%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -4.65%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-02 15:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.89%EV -4.04%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.96%EV -5.91%E -2.55%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -4.65%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-02 15:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.89%EV -4.04%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.96%EV -5.91%E -2.55%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -4.65%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-02 15:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.55%EV -5.00%E -1.70%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.01%EV -2.67%E -1.11%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.44%EV -4.65%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-02 13:31 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -5.00%E -1.70%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.04%EV -6.72%E -2.92%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.65%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-02 15:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -5.00%E -1.70%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -8.75%E -3.89%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-02 15:36 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -5.00%E -1.70%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.08%EV -8.75%E -3.89%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.59%EV -8.74%E -2.61%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-02 15:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -5.00%E -1.70%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.08%EV -8.75%E -3.89%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.59%EV -8.74%E -2.61%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-02 15:36 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -5.00%E -1.70%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.08%EV -8.75%E -3.89%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.59%EV -8.74%E -2.61%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-02 15:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -5.00%E -1.70%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.08%EV -8.75%E -3.89%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.59%EV -8.74%E -2.61%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-02 15:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -5.00%E -1.70%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.08%EV -8.75%E -3.89%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.59%EV -8.74%E -2.61%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-02 15:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -5.00%E -1.70%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.08%EV -8.75%E -3.89%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.59%EV -8.74%E -2.61%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-02 15:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -5.00%E -1.70%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.08%EV -8.75%E -3.89%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.59%EV -8.74%E -2.61%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-02 15:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -5.00%E -1.70%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.08%EV -8.75%E -3.89%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.59%EV -8.74%E -2.61%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-02 15:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -5.00%E -1.70%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -8.75%E -3.89%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -10.10%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 07:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.98%EV -5.97%E -2.04%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.96%EV -7.53%E -3.30%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -6.01%E -1.74%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 15:36 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.97%EV -5.97%E -2.04%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.41%EV -6.32%E -2.73%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.62%EV -7.92%E -2.34%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 15:41 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.61%E -2.28%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.72%E -2.92%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -6.01%E -1.74%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 13:28 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.61%E -2.28%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.72%E -2.92%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -6.01%E -1.74%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 15:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -6.61%E -2.28%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -6.72%E -2.92%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 15:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.02%EV -6.61%E -2.28%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.45%EV -9.16%E -4.09%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -4.65%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-02 11:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -6.61%E -2.28%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -8.75%E -3.89%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -10.10%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 07:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -6.61%E -2.28%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -8.75%E -3.89%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -10.10%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 07:41 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.45%EV -6.61%E -2.28%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.90%EV -9.56%E -4.29%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -10.10%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-02 15:36 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.45%EV -6.61%E -2.28%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.90%EV -9.56%E -4.29%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -10.10%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-02 15:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.45%EV -6.61%E -2.28%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.90%EV -9.56%E -4.29%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -10.10%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-02 15:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.36%EV -6.94%E -2.40%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.84%EV -7.13%E -3.11%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 26.80%EV -4.92%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 15:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -7.26%E -2.52%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.56%EV -6.72%E -2.92%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -6.01%E -1.74%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 15:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -7.26%E -2.52%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -8.75%E -3.89%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -10.10%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-02 15:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.79%EV -7.58%E -2.64%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.55%EV -8.75%E -3.89%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -10.10%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-02 15:51 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -8.22%E -2.89%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -8.75%E -3.89%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-02 15:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -8.22%E -2.89%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -8.75%E -3.89%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-02 15:51 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -8.22%E -2.89%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -8.75%E -3.89%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-02 13:31 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.97%EV -9.19%E -3.26%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.08%EV -5.91%E -2.55%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -6.01%E -1.74%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 15:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -9.83%E -3.51%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -6.72%E -2.92%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -10.10%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-02 15:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -9.83%E -3.51%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -6.72%E -2.92%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -10.10%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-02 15:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -9.83%E -3.51%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -6.72%E -2.92%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -10.10%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-02 15:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -9.83%E -3.51%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -6.72%E -2.92%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -10.10%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-02 15:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -9.83%E -3.51%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -6.72%E -2.92%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -10.10%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-02 15:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -9.83%E -3.51%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.40%EV -8.75%E -3.89%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -8.74%E -2.61%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-02 15:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -9.83%E -3.51%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -8.75%E -3.89%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -10.10%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-02 15:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -9.83%E -3.51%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -10.78%E -4.90%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -10.10%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-02 15:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -9.83%E -3.51%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -10.78%E -4.90%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -11.46%E -3.53%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-02 15:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -9.83%E -3.51%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -10.78%E -4.90%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -12.82%E -4.01%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-02 15:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -9.83%E -3.51%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -10.78%E -4.90%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -12.82%E -4.01%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-02 15:36 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -9.83%E -3.51%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -10.78%E -4.90%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -12.82%E -4.01%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-02 15:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -9.83%E -3.51%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -10.78%E -4.90%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -12.82%E -4.01%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-02 15:36 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.53%EV -9.83%E -3.51%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 40.88%EV -12.40%E -5.74%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.59%EV -12.82%E -4.01%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-02 15:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -11.44%E -4.16%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -7.53%E -3.30%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.42%EV -10.10%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-02 15:41 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -11.44%E -4.16%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.20%EV -10.78%E -4.90%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.64%EV -12.82%E -4.01%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-02 15:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.40%EV -13.05%E -4.84%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.69%EV -12.81%E -5.96%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.92%EV -11.46%E -3.53%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-05-02 15:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.50%EV -15.63%E -5.97%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.90%EV -10.78%E -4.90%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.60%EV -10.10%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-02 15:31 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.83% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.77% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.41% | 1.4% | 2026-05-02 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.83% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.77% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.41% | 1.4% | 2026-05-02 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.83% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.77% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.41% | 1.4% | 2026-05-02 15:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.83% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.77% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.41% | 1.4% | 2026-05-02 15:55 |