The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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AC Oulu v KuPS Kuopio

Kickoff: 2026-11-01 13:00 UTC

Final: AC Oulu 2–0 KuPS Kuopio

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

AC Oulu (Local)

Prediction 22.66%4.41fair odd
EV -1.87%
Edge -0.432%
Kelly -0.562%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.70%22.74%22.76%24.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.604.044.064.3327.78%24.75%24.63%23.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

KuPS Kuopio (Visit)

Prediction 52.84%1.89fair odd
EV -3.83%
Edge -2.10%
Kelly -4.67%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.50%52.77%52.73%53.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.731.731.8264.10%57.81%57.80%54.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.50%4.08fair odd
EV +0.435%
Edge +0.106%
Kelly +0.140%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.45%24.50%24.51%25.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.683.604.1029.41%27.16%27.78%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: AC Oulu (Local): 22.66%; KuPS Kuopio (Visit): 52.84%; Draw: 24.50%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.08. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.435%.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 23.74%EV -8.22%E -2.03%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.82%EV -3.83%E -2.10%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.45%EV +0.435%E +0.106%K +0.140%G +0.001%4.0%2026-11-01 11:10
Pinnacle🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 22.34%EV -1.87%E -0.432%K -0.562%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.16%EV -3.83%E -2.10%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.49%EV -3.24%E -0.820%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.4%2026-11-01 12:55
DraftKings🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -4.82%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.33%EV -6.47%E -3.66%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -4.46%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-01 12:00
LowVig.ag🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.00%EV -2.55%E -0.593%K -0.773%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.44%EV -6.47%E -3.66%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.57%EV -5.69%E -1.48%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-01 12:55
BetOnline.ag🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.00%EV -2.55%E -0.593%K -0.773%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.44%EV -6.47%E -3.66%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.57%EV -5.69%E -1.48%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-01 12:55
BetUS🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.00%EV -2.55%E -0.593%K -0.773%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.44%EV -6.47%E -3.66%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.57%EV -5.69%E -1.48%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-01 12:55
BetAnything🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.00%EV -2.55%E -0.593%K -0.773%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.44%EV -6.47%E -3.66%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.57%EV -5.69%E -1.48%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-01 12:55
Marathon Bet🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -10.48%E -2.65%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.24%EV -5.94%E -3.34%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.22%EV -5.93%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-01 12:00
1xBet🎯4.21I 23.75%NM 22.17%EV -4.59%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.53%E -4.30%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 24.50%EV -6.67%E -1.75%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-01 12:55
Unibet (UK)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -3.68%E -0.867%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.41%EV -7.53%E -4.30%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -6.91%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-01 12:20
FanDuel🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -7.08%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.70%EV -6.47%E -3.66%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -6.91%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-01 12:55
Bovada🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -7.08%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.70%EV -6.47%E -3.66%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -6.91%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-01 12:54
BetMGM🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.40%EV -6.47%E -3.66%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -6.91%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.8%2026-11-01 10:39
Betway🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -7.53%E -4.30%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -6.91%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-01 12:55
GTbets🎯4.06I 24.63%NM 22.84%EV -7.99%E -1.97%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.69%EV -7.00%E -3.98%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 24.47%EV -7.16%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-30 09:30
LeoVegas🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -7.08%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.10%EV -8.59%E -4.96%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -8.14%E -2.17%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-11-01 12:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.66%EV -8.06%E -4.63%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -8.14%E -2.17%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.1%2026-11-01 10:25
Bet Right🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.66%EV -8.06%E -4.63%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -8.14%E -2.17%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.1%2026-11-01 12:00
SportsBet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.66%EV -8.06%E -4.63%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -8.14%E -2.17%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.1%2026-11-01 12:55
BoyleSports🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.52%EV -18.41%E -5.12%K -7.08%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 51.93%EV -10.17%E -5.98%K -14.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.54%EV -8.14%E -2.17%K -2.96%G +0.000%13.3%2026-11-01 07:45
Bet Victor🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -7.08%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.92%EV -8.59%E -4.96%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -9.36%E -2.53%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-01 12:54
betano_uk🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -7.08%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.92%EV -8.59%E -4.96%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -9.36%E -2.53%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-01 12:54
Betr (AU)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -11.62%E -2.98%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.47%EV -9.11%E -5.30%K -12.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -9.36%E -2.53%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.8%2026-11-01 10:25
Paddy Power🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -13.88%E -3.65%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.01%EV -8.59%E -4.96%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -9.36%E -2.53%K -3.47%G +0.000%11.1%2026-11-01 12:55
PlayUp🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.60%EV -9.11%E -5.30%K -12.66%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.79%EV -10.59%E -2.90%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.5%2026-11-01 12:55
Betsson🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -3.68%E -0.867%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -7.53%E -4.30%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -11.81%E -3.28%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-01 12:55
NordicBet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -3.68%E -0.867%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -7.53%E -4.30%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -11.81%E -3.28%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-01 12:55
888sport🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -7.53%E -4.30%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -11.81%E -3.28%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.9%2026-11-01 05:05
William Hill🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -7.53%E -4.30%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -11.81%E -3.28%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.9%2026-11-01 05:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -7.53%E -4.30%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -11.81%E -3.28%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.9%2026-11-01 05:04
888sport (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -7.53%E -4.30%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -11.81%E -3.28%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.9%2026-11-01 05:05
Unibet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.04%EV -7.08%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 52.85%EV -9.64%E -5.64%K -13.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -11.81%E -3.28%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.6%2026-11-01 06:30
Casumo🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.04%EV -7.08%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 52.85%EV -9.64%E -5.64%K -13.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -11.81%E -3.28%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.6%2026-11-01 06:30
Unibet (NL)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.04%EV -7.08%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 52.85%EV -9.64%E -5.64%K -13.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -11.81%E -3.28%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.6%2026-11-01 06:30
Grosvenor🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.04%EV -7.08%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 52.85%EV -9.64%E -5.64%K -13.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -11.81%E -3.28%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.6%2026-11-01 06:30
Unibet (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.04%EV -7.08%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 52.85%EV -9.64%E -5.64%K -13.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -11.81%E -3.28%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.6%2026-11-01 06:30
TABtouch🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.04%EV -7.08%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 52.85%EV -9.64%E -5.64%K -13.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -11.81%E -3.28%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.6%2026-11-01 06:30
ATG (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.04%EV -7.08%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 52.85%EV -9.64%E -5.64%K -13.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -11.81%E -3.28%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.6%2026-11-01 06:30
betPARX🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.04%EV -7.08%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 52.85%EV -9.64%E -5.64%K -13.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -11.81%E -3.28%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.6%2026-11-01 06:29
Svenska Spel🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.04%EV -7.08%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 52.85%EV -9.64%E -5.64%K -13.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -11.81%E -3.28%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.6%2026-11-01 06:30
Neds🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -13.88%E -3.65%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -8.59%E -4.96%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -11.81%E -3.28%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.9%2026-11-01 10:40
Coral🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -13.88%E -3.65%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -8.59%E -4.96%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -11.81%E -3.28%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.9%2026-11-01 10:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -13.88%E -3.65%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -8.59%E -4.96%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -11.81%E -3.28%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.9%2026-11-01 10:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -13.88%E -3.65%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -8.59%E -4.96%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -11.81%E -3.28%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.9%2026-11-01 10:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 22.84%EV -11.62%E -2.98%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.41%EV -10.17%E -5.98%K -14.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -11.81%E -3.28%K -4.54%G +0.000%12.2%2026-11-01 12:55
Sky Bet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 22.84%EV -11.62%E -2.98%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.41%EV -10.17%E -5.98%K -14.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -11.81%E -3.28%K -4.54%G +0.000%12.2%2026-11-01 12:55
betfred_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.76%EV -15.01%E -4.00%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.50%EV -8.59%E -4.96%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -11.81%E -3.28%K -4.54%G +0.000%12.2%2026-11-01 06:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 21.76%EV -7.08%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 53.11%EV -11.23%E -6.68%K -16.51%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.13%EV -13.04%E -3.67%K -5.11%G +0.000%12.1%2026-11-01 06:30
BetRivers🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 21.76%EV -7.08%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 53.11%EV -11.23%E -6.68%K -16.51%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.13%EV -13.04%E -3.67%K -5.11%G +0.000%12.1%2026-11-01 06:30
LiveScore Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 52.78%EV -11.76%E -7.04%K -17.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.18%EV -14.26%E -4.08%K -5.71%G +0.000%13.5%2026-11-01 06:30
Virgin Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 52.78%EV -11.76%E -7.04%K -17.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.18%EV -14.26%E -4.08%K -5.71%G +0.000%13.5%2026-11-01 06:30
Unibet (FR)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 21.82%EV -12.75%E -3.31%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 53.84%EV -17.57%E -11.26%K -31.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.34%EV -15.49%E -4.49%K -6.32%G +0.000%19.1%2026-11-01 12:35
PMU (FR)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 21.88%EV -11.62%E -2.98%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 53.01%EV -14.93%E -9.27%K -24.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.10%EV -16.71%E -4.92%K -6.96%G +0.000%17.2%2026-11-01 06:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.33%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.11%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.56%1.8%2026-11-01 12:55
Matchbook◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.33%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.11%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.56%1.8%2026-11-01 12:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.27%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.24%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49%2.1%2026-11-01 12:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.27%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.24%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49%2.1%2026-11-01 12:45

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