Idioma:Español
AC Oulu v IF Gnistan
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
AC Oulu (Local)
Predicción 43.88%2.28momio equitativo
EV +7.52%
Ventaja +3.07%
Kelly +5.18%
Crecimiento +0.390%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.25%43.52%43.91%44.79%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.972.112.102.4550.76%47.49%47.62%40.82%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
IF Gnistan (Visitante)
Predicción 28.72%3.48momio equitativo
EV -0.617%
Ventaja -0.178%
Kelly -0.251%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.46
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.75%29.12%28.65%33.27%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.883.143.103.4634.72%31.90%32.26%28.90%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 27.39%3.65momio equitativo
EV -3.58%
Ventaja -1.02%
Kelly -1.42%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.52
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.82%27.36%27.45%28.62%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.103.323.303.5232.26%30.10%30.30%28.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: AC Oulu (Local): 43.88%; IF Gnistan (Visitante): 28.72%; Empate: 27.39%. Para AC Oulu (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.28. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.45, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +7.52%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.25%EV +7.52%E +3.07%K +5.18%G +0.390% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.27%EV -16.99%E -5.88%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.48%EV -4.13%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -1.26%E -0.560%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -13.83%E -4.61%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.61%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.45%EV -3.45%E -1.57%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -15.27%E -5.17%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -9.61%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.57%EV -4.77%E -2.20%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.95%EV -0.617%E -0.178%K -0.251%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.48%EV -3.58%E -1.02%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-12 15:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -5.65%E -2.63%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -5.21%E -1.58%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -5.50%E -1.59%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-12 15:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -5.65%E -2.63%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -6.65%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-12 15:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -5.65%E -2.63%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -8.08%E -2.53%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 15:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -5.65%E -2.63%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -8.08%E -2.53%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 15:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.35%EV -5.65%E -2.63%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.87%EV -17.28%E -6.00%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -12.35%E -3.86%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.35%EV -5.65%E -2.63%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.87%EV -17.28%E -6.00%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -12.35%E -3.86%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-12 15:46 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.98%EV -5.65%E -2.63%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.59%EV -17.28%E -6.00%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -15.08%E -4.87%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.69%EV -6.09%E -2.84%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.13%EV -7.80%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.18%EV -5.77%E -1.68%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-12 15:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -6.97%E -3.29%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -2.34%E -0.688%K -0.975%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-12 15:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -6.97%E -3.29%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -2.34%E -0.688%K -0.975%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-12 15:36 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -6.97%E -3.29%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -2.34%E -0.688%K -0.975%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-12 15:36 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -6.97%E -3.29%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -2.34%E -0.688%K -0.975%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-12 15:36 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.78%EV -6.97%E -3.29%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -12.39%E -4.06%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -9.61%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.78%EV -6.97%E -3.29%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -12.39%E -4.06%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -9.61%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.78%EV -6.97%E -3.29%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -12.39%E -4.06%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -9.61%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.78%EV -6.97%E -3.29%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -12.39%E -4.06%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -9.61%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.78%EV -6.97%E -3.29%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -12.39%E -4.06%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -9.61%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.78%EV -6.97%E -3.29%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -12.39%E -4.06%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -9.61%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.78%EV -6.97%E -3.29%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -12.39%E -4.06%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -9.61%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.78%EV -6.97%E -3.29%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -12.39%E -4.06%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -9.61%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.78%EV -6.97%E -3.29%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -12.39%E -4.06%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -9.61%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.35%EV -7.40%E -3.51%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.06%EV -7.51%E -2.33%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.59%EV -3.58%E -1.02%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-12 15:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -7.84%E -3.73%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -9.52%E -3.02%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-12 16:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.84%E -3.73%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -6.65%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -10.98%E -3.38%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-12 15:36 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.84%E -3.73%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -6.65%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -10.98%E -3.38%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-12 15:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.84%E -3.73%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -6.65%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -10.98%E -3.38%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-12 15:36 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.84%E -3.73%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -5.21%E -1.58%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -12.35%E -3.86%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-12 16:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.84%E -3.73%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -10.96%E -3.53%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-12 15:58 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.63%EV -8.28%E -3.96%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -5.21%E -1.58%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.11%EV -5.77%E -1.68%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 15:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.79%EV -8.72%E -4.19%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -3.78%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-12 15:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.79%EV -8.72%E -4.19%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -3.78%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-12 15:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.86%EV -8.72%E -4.19%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -13.83%E -4.61%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.43%EV -10.98%E -3.38%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.86%EV -8.72%E -4.19%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -13.83%E -4.61%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.43%EV -10.98%E -3.38%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.79%EV -9.16%E -4.42%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -13.83%E -4.61%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -12.35%E -3.86%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.79%EV -9.16%E -4.42%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -13.83%E -4.61%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -12.35%E -3.86%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -10.04%E -4.90%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.08%E -2.53%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-12 15:14 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -10.04%E -4.90%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.08%E -2.53%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-12 15:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.54%EV -10.04%E -4.90%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -9.52%E -3.02%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -5.50%E -1.59%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-12 15:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -10.04%E -4.90%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -6.65%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -9.61%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-12 16:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -10.04%E -4.90%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -8.08%E -2.53%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -9.61%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-12 15:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -10.04%E -4.90%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.96%E -3.53%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-12 16:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -10.04%E -4.90%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -10.96%E -3.53%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -9.61%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-12 15:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.04%E -4.90%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -10.96%E -3.53%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -12.35%E -3.86%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-12 15:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.04%E -4.90%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -10.96%E -3.53%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -12.35%E -3.86%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-12 15:11 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.04%E -4.90%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -10.96%E -3.53%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -12.35%E -3.86%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-12 15:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.04%E -4.90%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -10.96%E -3.53%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -12.35%E -3.86%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-12 15:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.90%EV -12.23%E -6.12%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.28%EV -16.70%E -5.76%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-12 16:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.83%EV -12.23%E -6.12%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.54%EV -16.70%E -5.76%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.63%EV -15.08%E -4.87%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 44.79%EV -13.55%E -6.88%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -10.96%E -3.53%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.74%EV -9.61%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-09-12 15:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.19% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12% | 1.0% | 2026-09-12 16:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.19% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12% | 1.0% | 2026-09-12 16:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.92% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.95% | 3.1% | 2026-09-12 16:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.74% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.84% | 3.5% | 2026-09-12 16:00 |