Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

AC Oulu v HJK Helsinki

2026-08-08 12:00 UTC — Veikkausliiga - Finland

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

AC Oulu (Local)

Prediction 31.22%3.20fair odd
EV -4.78%
Edge -1.57%
Kelly -2.33%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.56%31.27%31.15%32.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.922.883.0537.04%34.29%34.72%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

HJK Helsinki (Visit)

Prediction 42.53%2.35fair odd
EV -6.43%
Edge -2.92%
Kelly -5.36%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.42%42.40%42.66%42.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.172.182.2047.62%46.08%45.87%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.25%3.81fair odd
EV -5.50%
Edge -1.53%
Kelly -2.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.25%26.33%26.19%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.483.503.6030.30%28.76%28.57%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: AC Oulu (Local): 31.22%; HJK Helsinki (Visit): 42.53%; Draw: 26.25%. For AC Oulu (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.20. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.05, with an expected value of -4.78%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Betsson3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -4.78%E -1.57%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.94%EV -7.28%E -3.34%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.37%EV -6.82%E -1.92%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-03 09:49
NordicBet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -4.78%E -1.57%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.94%EV -7.28%E -3.34%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.37%EV -6.82%E -1.92%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-03 09:49
BetOnline.ag3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -4.78%E -1.57%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -6.43%E -2.92%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -9.44%E -2.74%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-03 08:35
LowVig.ag3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -4.78%E -1.57%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -6.43%E -2.92%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -9.44%E -2.74%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-03 08:35
888sport3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.34%E -2.11%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.43%E -2.92%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -13.38%E -4.05%K -5.82%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-03 09:24
888sport (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.34%E -2.11%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.43%E -2.92%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -13.38%E -4.05%K -5.82%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-03 09:25
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.34%E -2.11%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.43%E -2.92%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -13.38%E -4.05%K -5.82%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-03 09:25
William Hill3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.34%E -2.11%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.43%E -2.92%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -13.38%E -4.05%K -5.82%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-03 09:29
Betway2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -10.09%E -3.50%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -10.69%E -5.09%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -8.13%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-03 11:19
PointsBet (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.39%EV -11.02%E -3.87%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -6.43%E -2.92%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -5.50%E -1.53%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-03 12:24
SportsBet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -11.02%E -3.87%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.19%EV -7.28%E -3.34%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -5.50%E -1.53%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-03 08:49
Bet Right2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -11.02%E -3.87%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -8.56%E -3.98%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -5.50%E -1.53%K -2.12%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-03 08:49
FanDuel2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -11.02%E -3.87%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -8.56%E -3.98%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -5.50%E -1.53%K -2.12%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-03 08:47
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -12.58%E -4.49%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.56%E -3.98%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -5.50%E -1.53%K -2.12%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-03 08:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -12.58%E -4.49%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.56%E -3.98%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -5.50%E -1.53%K -2.12%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-03 08:54
betfred_uk2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -12.58%E -4.49%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -8.56%E -3.98%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -8.13%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-03 08:49
Sky Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 32.22%EV -15.70%E -5.82%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.42%EV -10.69%E -5.09%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.36%EV -13.38%E -4.05%K -5.82%G +0.000%15.0%2026-08-03 08:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-03 12:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-03 12:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-03 12:15