Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

AC Oulu v HJK Helsinki

2026-08-09 16:00 UTC — Veikkausliiga - Finland

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

AC Oulu (Local)

Prediction 31.53%3.17fair odd
EV -6.97%
Edge -2.36%
Kelly -3.58%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.23%31.53%31.53%32.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.902.952.9537.04%34.50%33.90%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

HJK Helsinki (Visit)

Prediction 42.34%2.36fair odd
EV -6.01%
Edge -2.71%
Kelly -4.93%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.69%42.34%42.34%42.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.162.172.2248.78%46.37%46.08%45.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.13%3.83fair odd
EV -7.24%
Edge -2.04%
Kelly -2.84%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.67%26.13%26.13%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.493.503.5530.30%28.69%28.57%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: AC Oulu (Local): 31.53%; HJK Helsinki (Visit): 42.34%; Draw: 26.13%. For HJK Helsinki (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.36. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.22, with an expected value of -6.01%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -6.97%E -2.36%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.45%EV -8.13%E -3.75%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.55%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-02 16:09
Unibet (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -6.97%E -2.36%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.45%EV -8.13%E -3.75%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.55%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-02 16:10
Unibet (NL)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -6.97%E -2.36%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.45%EV -8.13%E -3.75%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.55%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-02 16:10
TABtouch2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -6.97%E -2.36%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.45%EV -8.13%E -3.75%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.55%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-02 16:10
Grosvenor2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -6.97%E -2.36%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.45%EV -8.13%E -3.75%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.55%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-02 16:10
Casumo2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -6.97%E -2.36%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.45%EV -8.13%E -3.75%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.55%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-02 16:09
Svenska Spel2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -6.97%E -2.36%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.45%EV -8.13%E -3.75%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.55%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-02 16:09
betPARX2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -6.97%E -2.36%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.45%EV -8.13%E -3.75%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.55%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-02 16:09
ATG (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -6.97%E -2.36%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.45%EV -8.13%E -3.75%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.55%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-02 16:09
BetRivers2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -8.55%E -2.95%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.34%EV -8.55%E -3.96%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.55%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-02 16:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -8.55%E -2.95%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.34%EV -8.55%E -3.96%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.55%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-02 16:09
Virgin Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 31.56%EV -9.18%E -3.19%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.47%EV -9.40%E -4.39%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -8.55%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-02 16:10
LiveScore Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 31.56%EV -9.18%E -3.19%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.47%EV -9.40%E -4.39%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -8.55%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-02 16:09
1xBet2.87I 34.84%NM 32.25%EV -9.50%E -3.31%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.69%EV -6.01%E -2.71%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -7.24%E -2.04%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-02 16:29
LeoVegas2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -11.70%E -4.18%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.79%EV -7.70%E -3.53%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -7.24%E -2.04%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-02 16:10
PMU (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.43%EV -11.70%E -4.18%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 42.31%EV -11.94%E -5.74%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.27%EV -12.47%E -3.72%K -5.31%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-02 16:10
Unibet (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 31.90%EV -14.86%E -5.50%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.01%EV -13.21%E -6.44%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.10%EV -13.78%E -4.17%K -5.99%G +0.000%16.1%2026-08-02 16:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.