L’École des cotes

Turkey v Romania

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-26 17:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

36 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Turkey (Local)

Prévision 66.11%1.51cote équitable
EV -2.15%
Avantage -1.45%
Kelly -4.48%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.48

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
64.10%66.04%66.08%67.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.371.431.441.4872.99%70.16%69.44%67.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Romania (Visiteur)

Prévision 14.13%7.08cote équitable
EV +5.95%
Avantage +0.793%
Kelly +0.916%
Croissance +0.054%

avec la cote maximale 7.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.89%14.20%14.15%15.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.006.536.507.5016.67%15.31%15.38%13.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 19.76%5.06cote équitable
EV -0.219%
Avantage -0.043%
Kelly -0.054%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.79%19.76%19.77%20.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.404.734.755.0522.73%21.12%21.05%19.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (36 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 67.59%EV -5.46%E -3.82%K -12.69%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV +5.95%E +0.793%K +0.916%G +0.054%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.53%EV -2.19%E -0.443%K -0.556%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-26 16:50
Coolbet1.45I 68.97%NM 66.57%EV -4.13%E -2.85%K -9.19%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.31%EV +2.42%E +0.334%K +0.387%G +0.009%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.11%EV -5.16%E -1.07%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-26 16:49
Pinnacle1.44I 69.44%NM 67.27%EV -4.80%E -3.33%K -10.90%G +0.000%7.15I 13.99%NM 13.55%EV +1.01%E +0.141%K +0.164%G +0.002%5.05I 19.80%NM 19.18%EV -0.219%E -0.043%K -0.054%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-26 16:45
1xBet1.46I 68.49%NM 66.31%EV -3.47%E -2.38%K -7.55%G +0.000%7.01I 14.27%NM 13.81%EV -0.971%E -0.139%K -0.162%G +0.000%4.87I 20.53%NM 19.88%EV -3.78%E -0.775%K -0.976%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-26 16:54
Parions Sport (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.62%EV -8.76%E -6.35%K -23.06%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -1.11%E -0.159%K -0.185%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -3.18%E -0.650%K -0.816%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-26 16:49
Unibet (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.62%EV -8.76%E -6.35%K -23.06%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -1.11%E -0.159%K -0.185%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -3.18%E -0.650%K -0.816%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-26 16:50
FanDuel1.37I 72.99%NM 67.24%EV -9.42%E -6.88%K -25.47%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.16%EV -1.11%E -0.159%K -0.185%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -7.13%E -1.52%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-26 16:30
NordicBet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.00%EV -4.80%E -3.33%K -10.90%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.77%EV -2.53%E -0.366%K -0.428%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.22%EV -7.13%E -1.52%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-26 16:30
Betsson1.44I 69.44%NM 66.00%EV -4.80%E -3.33%K -10.90%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.77%EV -2.53%E -0.366%K -0.428%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.22%EV -7.13%E -1.52%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-26 16:29
ReBet1.45I 68.97%NM 66.52%EV -4.13%E -2.85%K -9.19%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.19%EV -3.94%E -0.579%K -0.679%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.29%EV -1.21%E -0.241%K -0.302%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-26 16:49
Bovada1.43I 69.93%NM 65.82%EV -5.46%E -3.82%K -12.69%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.94%EV -4.64%E -0.688%K -0.808%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.24%EV -8.12%E -1.75%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-26 16:45
PointsBet (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.26%EV -6.12%E -4.31%K -14.57%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.94%EV -4.64%E -0.688%K -0.808%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -6.15%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-26 16:24
Betclic (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.71%EV -7.44%E -5.31%K -18.60%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.84%EV -4.64%E -0.688%K -0.808%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -5.16%E -1.07%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-26 16:38
Betr (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 66.63%EV -9.42%E -6.88%K -25.47%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.52%EV -4.64%E -0.688%K -0.808%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -9.11%E -1.98%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-26 16:25
Marathon Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 65.68%EV -2.81%E -1.91%K -5.98%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.41%EV -5.35%E -0.799%K -0.939%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.91%EV -4.17%E -0.860%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-26 16:45
DraftKings1.44I 69.44%NM 65.72%EV -4.80%E -3.33%K -10.90%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -8.18%E -1.26%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -5.16%E -1.07%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-26 16:49
Bet Victor1.44I 69.44%NM 65.59%EV -4.80%E -3.33%K -10.90%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -8.18%E -1.26%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -6.15%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-26 16:43
Dabble (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.59%EV -4.80%E -3.33%K -10.90%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -8.18%E -1.26%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -6.15%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-26 16:39
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -7.44%E -5.31%K -18.60%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -8.18%E -1.26%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -6.15%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-26 16:29
TAB1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -6.12%E -4.31%K -14.57%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -8.18%E -1.26%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -11.09%E -2.46%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-26 16:40
Bet Right1.41I 70.92%NM 65.05%EV -6.78%E -4.81%K -16.53%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -8.18%E -1.26%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -13.06%E -2.97%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-26 16:24
SportsBet1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -7.44%E -5.31%K -18.60%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -8.18%E -1.26%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -11.09%E -2.46%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-26 16:29
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -7.44%E -5.31%K -18.60%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -8.18%E -1.26%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -11.09%E -2.46%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-26 16:29
NetBet (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 66.10%EV -8.10%E -5.83%K -20.77%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.36%EV -9.59%E -1.50%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.55%EV -7.13%E -1.52%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-26 16:48
Winamax (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.17%EV -6.12%E -4.31%K -14.57%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -11.71%E -1.87%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -1.21%E -0.241%K -0.302%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-26 16:49
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -6.12%E -4.31%K -14.57%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.79%EV -11.71%E -1.87%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.10%EV -9.11%E -1.98%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-26 16:44
Betway1.48I 67.57%NM 64.17%EV -2.15%E -1.45%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -15.24%E -2.54%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.00%EV -6.15%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-26 16:44
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 65.45%EV -4.80%E -3.33%K -10.90%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -15.24%E -2.54%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -1.21%E -0.241%K -0.302%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-26 16:49
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 64.94%EV -4.80%E -3.33%K -10.90%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -15.24%E -2.54%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -5.16%E -1.07%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-26 16:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.94%EV -4.80%E -3.33%K -10.90%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -15.24%E -2.54%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -5.16%E -1.07%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-26 16:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.94%EV -4.80%E -3.33%K -10.90%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -15.24%E -2.54%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -5.16%E -1.07%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-26 16:50
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -4.80%E -3.33%K -10.90%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -15.24%E -2.54%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -11.09%E -2.46%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-26 16:30
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -4.80%E -3.33%K -10.90%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -15.24%E -2.54%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -11.09%E -2.46%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-26 16:29
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -4.80%E -3.33%K -10.90%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -15.24%E -2.54%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -11.09%E -2.46%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-26 16:30
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -4.80%E -3.33%K -10.90%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -15.24%E -2.54%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -11.09%E -2.46%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-26 16:30
Winamax (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -7.44%E -5.31%K -18.60%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -15.24%E -2.54%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -5.16%E -1.07%K -1.36%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-26 16:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.72%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.76%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.52%0.5%2026-03-26 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.72%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.76%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.52%0.5%2026-03-26 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.72%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.76%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.52%0.5%2026-03-26 16:50
Smarkets1.46I 68.49%NM 68.08%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.43%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.49%0.6%2026-03-26 16:55