The School of Odds
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Slovakia v Kosovo

Kickoff: 2026-03-26 19:45 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

35 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Slovakia (Local)

Prediction 39.35%2.54fair odd
EV -1.62%
Edge -0.647%
Kelly -1.08%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.36%39.35%39.30%40.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.392.402.5043.48%41.93%41.67%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kosovo (Visit)

Prediction 28.95%3.45fair odd
EV -1.00%
Edge -0.293%
Kelly -0.414%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.23%28.96%29.01%30.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.213.203.4232.79%31.11%31.25%29.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 31.70%3.15fair odd
EV -3.00%
Edge -0.979%
Kelly -1.45%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.56%31.68%31.68%32.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.872.962.983.0634.84%33.77%33.56%32.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Slovakia (Local): 39.35%; Kosovo (Visit): 28.95%; Draw: 31.70%. For Kosovo (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.45. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.42, with an expected value of -1.00%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.74%EV -1.62%E -0.647%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.62%EV -5.34%E -1.63%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.65%EV -3.00%E -0.979%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-26 19:34
Marathon Bet🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 38.91%EV -2.01%E -0.808%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 29.01%EV -3.32%E -0.994%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 32.08%EV -4.26%E -1.41%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-26 19:39
NordicBet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.36%EV -2.40%E -0.970%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -7.37%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.92%EV -5.53%E -1.86%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 19:39
Betsson🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.36%EV -2.40%E -0.970%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -7.37%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.92%EV -5.53%E -1.86%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 19:39
Pinnacle🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.52%EV -3.59%E -1.46%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.31%EV -1.00%E -0.293%K -0.414%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 32.17%EV -4.58%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-26 19:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.41%EV -3.59%E -1.46%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.40%EV -1.58%E -0.465%K -0.659%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.19%EV -4.90%E -1.63%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-26 19:15
DraftKings🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.59%E -1.46%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.33%EV -5.92%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.77%EV -4.90%E -1.63%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-26 19:19
Dabble (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.52%EV -3.59%E -1.46%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -7.37%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -6.48%E -2.20%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-26 19:39
ReBet🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.35%EV -3.98%E -1.63%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.27%EV -5.06%E -1.54%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.38%EV -3.00%E -0.979%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-26 19:25
Bovada🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.49%EV -3.98%E -1.63%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -5.92%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.61%EV -8.70%E -3.02%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-26 19:33
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.99%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.23%EV -1.58%E -0.465%K -0.659%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.78%EV -4.26%E -1.41%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-26 18:34
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -5.92%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV -4.90%E -1.63%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-26 19:15
Bet Victor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -5.92%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV -4.90%E -1.63%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-26 19:38
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -7.37%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -4.90%E -1.63%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-26 19:14
FanDuel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -7.37%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -6.48%E -2.20%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-26 19:39
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -10.27%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -4.90%E -1.63%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-26 19:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -7.37%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -8.07%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-26 19:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -7.37%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -8.07%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-26 19:34
Neds🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -7.37%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -8.07%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-26 19:34
TAB🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -8.82%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -8.07%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-26 19:39
PlayUp🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -10.27%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -8.07%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-26 19:40
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.99%EV -6.34%E -2.66%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.00%EV -7.37%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -8.07%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-26 19:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.52%E -3.20%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -8.82%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -3.31%E -1.09%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-26 19:24
Betclic (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.71%EV -7.52%E -3.20%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.45%EV -5.06%E -1.54%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.85%EV -7.12%E -2.43%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-26 19:23
Bet Right🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.95%EV -7.52%E -3.20%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.01%EV -11.71%E -3.84%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV -6.48%E -2.20%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-26 19:35
NetBet (FR)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.51%EV -8.70%E -3.75%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -8.82%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.39%EV -7.43%E -2.55%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-26 19:15
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -9.49%E -4.13%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.37%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -4.90%E -1.63%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-26 19:24
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -9.49%E -4.13%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.37%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -4.90%E -1.63%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-26 19:24
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.49%E -4.13%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -10.27%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -4.90%E -1.63%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-26 19:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.49%E -4.13%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -10.27%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -4.90%E -1.63%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-26 19:25
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -9.49%E -4.13%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -7.37%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.07%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-26 19:15
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -9.49%E -4.13%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -7.37%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.07%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-26 19:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -9.49%E -4.13%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -7.37%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.07%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-26 19:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -9.49%E -4.13%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -7.37%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.07%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-26 19:14
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.68%EV -9.49%E -4.13%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -7.37%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.80%EV -9.02%E -3.14%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-26 19:38
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.52%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.62%0.4%2026-03-26 19:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.52%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.62%0.4%2026-03-26 19:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.71%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-03-26 19:40
Smarkets◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.54%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.38%1.2%2026-03-26 19:40