The School of Odds
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Denmark v North Macedonia

Kickoff: 2026-03-26 19:45 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

35 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Denmark (Local)

Prediction 80.26%1.25fair odd
EV -2.08%
Edge -1.70%
Kelly -9.45%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
77.67%80.07%80.30%81.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.141.181.181.2287.72%84.64%84.75%81.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

North Macedonia (Visit)

Prediction 6.00%16.68fair odd
EV +10.93%
Edge +0.591%
Kelly +0.625%
Growth +0.068%

assuming max odds 18.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
5.24%6.10%6.02%7.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
12.0014.8515.0018.508.33%6.73%6.67%5.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 13.74%7.28fair odd
EV +3.05%
Edge +0.407%
Kelly +0.469%
Growth +0.014%

assuming max odds 7.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.38%13.83%13.67%15.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.006.756.757.5016.67%14.83%14.81%13.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Denmark (Local): 80.26%; North Macedonia (Visit): 6.00%; Draw: 13.74%. For North Macedonia (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 16.68. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 18.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +10.93%.

Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 81.40%EV -4.49%E -3.77%K -23.61%G +0.000%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.24%EV +10.93%E +0.591%K +0.625%G +0.068%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.36%EV -0.383%E -0.053%K -0.061%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-26 19:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.53%EV -3.68%E -3.07%K -18.42%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.37%EV +7.94%E +0.441%K +0.467%G +0.037%6.85I 14.60%NM 14.11%EV -5.88%E -0.858%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-26 18:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.93%EV -4.49%E -3.77%K -23.61%G +0.000%17.50I 5.71%NM 5.50%EV +4.94%E +0.282%K +0.299%G +0.015%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.56%EV -2.44%E -0.344%K -0.401%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-26 19:39
Bet Victor🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.91%EV -6.09%E -5.21%K -35.83%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.57%EV +1.94%E +0.114%K +0.121%G +0.002%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.52%EV -3.82%E -0.545%K -0.636%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-26 19:38
Dabble (AU)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.94%EV -5.29%E -4.48%K -29.38%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.55%EV +1.94%E +0.114%K +0.121%G +0.002%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.51%EV -10.69%E -1.64%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-26 19:25
NordicBet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.35%EV -4.49%E -3.77%K -23.61%G +0.000%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.79%EV -1.06%E -0.064%K -0.068%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.86%EV -5.19%E -0.753%K -0.880%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-26 19:25
Betsson🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.35%EV -4.49%E -3.77%K -23.61%G +0.000%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.79%EV -1.06%E -0.064%K -0.068%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.86%EV -5.19%E -0.753%K -0.880%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-26 19:25
DraftKings🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.23%EV -3.68%E -3.07%K -18.42%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.02%EV -4.06%E -0.254%K -0.270%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.75%EV -3.82%E -0.545%K -0.636%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-26 18:55
Coolbet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.25%EV -2.88%E -2.38%K -13.72%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV -4.06%E -0.254%K -0.270%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.75%EV -10.69%E -1.64%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-26 19:40
1xBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 79.84%EV -2.08%E -1.70%K -9.45%G +0.000%15.20I 6.58%NM 6.41%EV -8.85%E -0.583%K -0.624%G +0.000%7.08I 14.12%NM 13.76%EV -2.72%E -0.384%K -0.447%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-26 19:40
ReBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.06%EV -3.68%E -3.07%K -18.42%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.41%EV -10.05%E -0.670%K -0.718%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.53%EV -2.44%E -0.344%K -0.401%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-26 19:34
Betclic (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.18%EV -5.29%E -4.48%K -29.38%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -10.05%E -0.670%K -0.718%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.52%EV -3.82%E -0.545%K -0.636%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-26 19:23
888sport🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.35%EV -5.29%E -4.48%K -29.38%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -10.05%E -0.670%K -0.718%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -10.69%E -1.64%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-26 19:35
William Hill🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.35%EV -5.29%E -4.48%K -29.38%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -10.05%E -0.670%K -0.718%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -10.69%E -1.64%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-26 19:35
TAB🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.35%EV -5.29%E -4.48%K -29.38%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -10.05%E -0.670%K -0.718%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -10.69%E -1.64%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-26 19:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.35%EV -5.29%E -4.48%K -29.38%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -10.05%E -0.670%K -0.718%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -10.69%E -1.64%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-26 19:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.35%EV -5.29%E -4.48%K -29.38%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -10.05%E -0.670%K -0.718%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -10.69%E -1.64%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-26 19:34
PlayUp🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.90%EV -5.29%E -4.48%K -29.38%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.21%EV -10.05%E -0.670%K -0.718%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.90%EV -14.12%E -2.26%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-26 19:25
Sky Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.50%E -7.46%K -60.71%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.19%EV -10.05%E -0.670%K -0.718%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV +3.05%E +0.407%K +0.469%G +0.014%7.7%2026-03-26 19:24
FanDuel🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.58%EV -7.70%E -6.69%K -51.31%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.18%EV -10.05%E -0.670%K -0.718%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -3.82%E -0.545%K -0.636%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-26 19:39
NetBet (FR)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.19%EV -7.70%E -6.69%K -51.31%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.15%EV -10.05%E -0.670%K -0.718%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -7.25%E -1.07%K -1.26%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-26 19:35
Paddy Power🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 80.72%EV -8.50%E -7.46%K -60.71%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.13%EV -10.05%E -0.670%K -0.718%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -3.82%E -0.545%K -0.636%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-26 19:40
SportsBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 79.91%EV -8.50%E -7.46%K -60.71%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.07%EV -10.05%E -0.670%K -0.718%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -10.69%E -1.64%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-26 19:38
Betr (AU)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.41%EV -4.49%E -3.77%K -23.61%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.66%EV -16.05%E -1.15%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -14.12%E -2.26%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-26 18:55
Bovada🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.56%EV -6.09%E -5.21%K -35.83%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.65%EV -16.05%E -1.15%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -7.25%E -1.07%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-26 19:38
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.46%EV -5.29%E -4.48%K -29.38%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.61%EV -16.05%E -1.15%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.93%EV -14.81%E -2.39%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-26 19:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.46%EV -5.29%E -4.48%K -29.38%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.61%EV -16.05%E -1.15%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.93%EV -14.81%E -2.39%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-26 19:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -3.68%E -3.07%K -18.42%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.30%EV -22.05%E -1.70%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.57%EV -3.82%E -0.545%K -0.636%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-26 18:34
Coral🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -3.68%E -3.07%K -18.42%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.30%EV -22.05%E -1.70%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.57%EV -3.82%E -0.545%K -0.636%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-26 18:35
Betway🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.31%EV -3.68%E -3.07%K -18.42%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV -22.05%E -1.70%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -10.69%E -1.64%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-26 18:29
Bet Right🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 77.67%EV -5.29%E -4.48%K -29.38%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.05%EV -22.05%E -1.70%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -17.56%E -2.93%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-26 18:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.54%EV -5.29%E -4.48%K -29.38%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.51%EV -25.04%E -2.00%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.95%EV -0.383%E -0.053%K -0.061%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-26 19:34
Neds🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.40%EV -4.49%E -3.77%K -23.61%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.77%EV -28.04%E -2.34%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.82%EV -7.25%E -1.07%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-26 18:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.40%EV -4.49%E -3.77%K -23.61%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.77%EV -28.04%E -2.34%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.82%EV -7.25%E -1.07%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-26 18:34
Winamax (FR)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.69%EV -6.09%E -5.21%K -35.83%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.67%EV -28.04%E -2.34%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.64%EV -7.25%E -1.07%K -1.26%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-26 19:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.21I 82.64%NM 82.53%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.99%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.48%0.1%2026-03-26 19:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.20I 83.33%NM 82.64%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.96%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.40%0.8%2026-03-26 19:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.20I 83.33%NM 82.64%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.96%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.40%0.8%2026-03-26 19:40
Smarkets◎1.20I 83.33%NM 82.28%19.49I 5.13%NM 5.07%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.66%1.3%2026-03-26 19:40