Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Uruguay v Spain

Kickoff: 2026-06-27 00:00 UTC

Final: Uruguay 0–1 Spain

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

68 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Uruguay (Local)

Prediction 16.14%6.20fair odd
EV +4.11%
Edge +0.637%
Kelly +0.754%
Growth +0.031%

assuming max odds 6.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.07%16.21%16.06%17.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.835.806.4520.00%17.16%17.24%15.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Spain (Visit)

Prediction 57.39%1.74fair odd
EV -1.29%
Edge -0.749%
Kelly -1.79%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.43%57.30%57.45%59.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.651.651.7263.69%60.61%60.61%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.47%3.78fair odd
EV -0.742%
Edge -0.198%
Kelly -0.270%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.25%26.49%26.48%28.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.593.603.7533.33%27.85%27.78%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Uruguay (Local): 16.14%; Spain (Visit): 57.39%; Draw: 26.47%. For Uruguay (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.20. 14 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.45, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.11%.

Sportsbook Odds (68 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯6.45I 15.50%NM 15.14%EV +4.11%E +0.637%K +0.754%G +0.031%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.11%EV -3.58%E -2.13%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.75%EV -3.39%E -0.929%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-26 23:50
1xBet🎯6.44I 15.53%NM 15.07%EV +3.95%E +0.613%K +0.725%G +0.029%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.48%EV -4.73%E -2.85%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.45%EV -2.86%E -0.779%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-26 23:49
Unibet (SE)🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 15.24%EV +3.30%E +0.516%K +0.611%G +0.020%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.75%EV -4.73%E -2.85%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.01%EV -0.742%E -0.198%K -0.270%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-26 23:39
ATG (SE)🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 15.24%EV +3.30%E +0.516%K +0.611%G +0.020%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.75%EV -4.73%E -2.85%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.01%EV -0.742%E -0.198%K -0.270%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-26 23:39
BetOnline.ag🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 15.17%EV +3.30%E +0.516%K +0.611%G +0.020%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.51%EV -4.73%E -2.85%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.32%EV -2.33%E -0.632%K -0.866%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-26 23:50
LowVig.ag🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 15.17%EV +3.30%E +0.516%K +0.611%G +0.020%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.51%EV -4.73%E -2.85%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.32%EV -2.33%E -0.632%K -0.866%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-26 23:49
Coolbet🎯6.30I 15.87%NM 15.55%EV +1.69%E +0.268%K +0.318%G +0.005%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.62%EV -2.44%E -1.43%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.84%EV -3.39%E -0.929%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-26 23:39
Unibet (FR)🎯6.30I 15.87%NM 15.28%EV +1.69%E +0.268%K +0.318%G +0.005%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -6.45%E -3.96%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.67%EV -0.742%E -0.198%K -0.270%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-26 23:39
Unibet (NL)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.49%EV +0.879%E +0.141%K +0.167%G +0.001%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.69%EV -5.31%E -3.22%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.82%EV -0.742%E -0.198%K -0.270%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-26 23:49
Svenska Spel🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.49%EV +0.879%E +0.141%K +0.167%G +0.001%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.69%EV -5.31%E -3.22%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.82%EV -0.742%E -0.198%K -0.270%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-26 23:50
Everygame🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.21%EV +0.879%E +0.141%K +0.167%G +0.001%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.62%EV -5.31%E -3.22%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-26 23:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.11%EV +0.879%E +0.141%K +0.167%G +0.001%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.66%EV -7.60%E -4.72%K -12.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-26 23:29
BetUS🎯6.20I 16.13%NM 15.49%EV +0.072%E +0.012%K +0.014%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.20%EV -5.31%E -3.22%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.31%EV -3.39%E -0.929%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-26 23:39
Tipico (DE)🎯6.20I 16.13%NM 15.27%EV +0.072%E +0.012%K +0.014%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.44%EV -7.03%E -4.34%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-26 23:38
BetAnything🎯6.15I 16.26%NM 15.60%EV -0.735%E -0.119%K -0.143%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.13%EV -5.31%E -3.22%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.28%EV -3.39%E -0.929%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-26 23:49
Casumo🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.59%EV -1.54%E -0.253%K -0.302%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.35%EV -6.45%E -3.96%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.06%EV -3.39%E -0.929%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-26 23:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.59%EV -1.54%E -0.253%K -0.302%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.35%EV -6.45%E -3.96%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.06%EV -3.39%E -0.929%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-26 23:39
LeoVegas🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.59%EV -1.54%E -0.253%K -0.302%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.35%EV -6.45%E -3.96%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.06%EV -3.39%E -0.929%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-26 23:40
BetRivers🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.59%EV -1.54%E -0.253%K -0.302%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.35%EV -6.45%E -3.96%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.06%EV -3.39%E -0.929%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-26 23:39
Bally Bet🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.59%EV -1.54%E -0.253%K -0.302%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.35%EV -6.45%E -3.96%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.06%EV -3.39%E -0.929%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-26 23:40
betPARX🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.59%EV -1.54%E -0.253%K -0.302%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.35%EV -6.45%E -3.96%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.06%EV -3.39%E -0.929%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-26 23:39
DraftKings🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 16.03%EV -3.16%E -0.526%K -0.631%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -4.16%E -2.49%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.36%EV -3.39%E -0.929%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-26 23:50
theScore Bet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.98%EV -3.16%E -0.526%K -0.631%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.16%E -2.49%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.63%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-26 23:09
FanDuel🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -3.16%E -0.526%K -0.631%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -4.16%E -2.49%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-26 23:40
Betclic (FR)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.81%EV -3.16%E -0.526%K -0.631%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.20%EV -6.45%E -3.96%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.99%EV -3.39%E -0.929%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-26 23:37
SportsBet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.80%EV -3.16%E -0.526%K -0.631%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.11%EV -4.73%E -2.85%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.09%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-26 23:40
TAB🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.78%EV -3.16%E -0.526%K -0.631%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.37%EV -3.58%E -2.13%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -10.01%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-26 23:19
Unibet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -3.16%E -0.526%K -0.631%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.35%EV -7.03%E -4.34%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.90%EV -3.39%E -0.929%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-26 23:50
NetBet (FR)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -3.16%E -0.526%K -0.631%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.45%E -3.96%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.26%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-26 23:50
Bovada🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -3.16%E -0.526%K -0.631%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.26%EV -5.31%E -3.22%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-26 23:49
Grosvenor🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -3.16%E -0.526%K -0.631%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -7.60%E -4.72%K -12.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-26 23:09
Betway🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -3.16%E -0.526%K -0.631%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -7.60%E -4.72%K -12.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-26 23:39
Bet Victor🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -3.16%E -0.526%K -0.631%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -7.60%E -4.72%K -12.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-26 23:50
PMU (FR)🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.50%EV -6.38%E -1.10%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.99%EV -5.31%E -3.22%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.51%EV -0.742%E -0.198%K -0.270%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-26 23:50
Virgin Bet🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.04%EV -6.38%E -1.10%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.77%EV -7.60%E -4.72%K -12.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.04%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-26 23:49
TABtouch🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.04%EV -6.38%E -1.10%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.77%EV -7.60%E -4.72%K -12.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.04%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-26 23:49
LiveScore Bet🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.04%EV -6.38%E -1.10%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.77%EV -7.60%E -4.72%K -12.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.04%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-26 23:49
Unibet (UK)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.60%EV -7.19%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.14%EV -2.44%E -1.43%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-26 23:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.56%EV -7.19%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.00%EV -4.16%E -2.49%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-26 23:30
Fanatics🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV -7.19%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.57%EV -4.16%E -2.49%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-26 23:19
GTbets🎯5.72I 17.48%NM 16.60%EV -7.68%E -1.34%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.87%EV -4.16%E -2.49%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.53%EV -5.24%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-26 23:30
Winamax (DE)🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 16.74%EV -8.00%E -1.40%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.48%EV -4.73%E -2.85%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79%EV -2.07%E -0.558%K -0.765%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-26 23:30
Fliff🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 16.27%EV -8.00%E -1.40%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.24%EV -7.03%E -4.34%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-26 23:49
NordicBet🎯5.65I 17.70%NM 17.08%EV -8.81%E -1.56%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.11%EV -1.29%E -0.749%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.81%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-26 23:39
Betsson🎯5.65I 17.70%NM 17.08%EV -8.81%E -1.56%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.11%EV -1.29%E -0.749%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.81%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-26 23:39
Winamax (FR)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.93%EV -9.61%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.10%EV -4.73%E -2.85%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.97%EV -3.39%E -0.929%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-26 23:39
MyBookie.ag🎯5.51I 18.15%NM 17.10%EV -11.06%E -2.01%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.09%EV -5.31%E -3.22%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -3.39%E -0.929%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-26 23:48
ReBet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.47%EV -11.23%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.20%EV -1.86%E -1.09%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.33%EV -3.39%E -0.929%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-26 23:10
betfred_uk🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.36%EV -11.23%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.16%E -2.49%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.46%EV -0.742%E -0.198%K -0.270%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-26 23:49
Coral🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.35%EV -11.23%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.14%EV -2.44%E -1.43%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.51%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-26 23:20
Paddy Power🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -11.23%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.45%EV -5.31%E -3.22%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-26 23:39
PlayUp🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -11.23%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.45%EV -5.31%E -3.22%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-26 23:49
Sky Bet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -11.23%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.32%EV -7.03%E -4.34%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-26 23:39
Caesars🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -11.23%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.96%EV -6.45%E -3.96%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -6.04%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-26 23:27
William Hill🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -11.23%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.01%EV -5.31%E -3.22%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -10.01%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-26 23:19
BoyleSports🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -11.23%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.90%EV -7.03%E -4.34%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-26 23:29
888sport🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.57%EV -11.23%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.62%EV -7.60%E -4.72%K -12.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.01%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-26 23:29
888sport (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.57%EV -11.23%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.62%EV -7.60%E -4.72%K -12.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.01%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-26 23:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.57%EV -11.23%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.62%EV -7.60%E -4.72%K -12.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.01%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-26 23:29
Codere (IT)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.62%EV -12.84%E -2.38%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -2.44%E -1.43%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-26 23:10
Dabble (AU)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.89%EV -15.26%E -2.91%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -2.44%E -1.43%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-26 23:40
Betr (AU)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -15.26%E -2.91%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -5.31%E -3.22%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -2.07%E -0.558%K -0.765%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-26 23:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -15.26%E -2.91%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.12%EV -4.16%E -2.49%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-26 23:19
Neds🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -15.26%E -2.91%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.12%EV -4.16%E -2.49%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-26 23:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -15.26%E -2.91%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.12%EV -4.16%E -2.49%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-26 23:19
BetMGM🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -15.26%E -2.91%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -3.01%E -1.78%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-26 23:19
Bet Right🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -15.26%E -2.91%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -5.88%E -3.58%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -2.07%E -0.558%K -0.765%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-26 23:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.09%EV -19.30%E -3.86%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 54.43%EV -9.90%E -6.30%K -17.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.48%EV -20.59%E -6.86%K -10.30%G +0.000%17.0%2026-06-26 23:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.60I 15.15%NM 15.11%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.31%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.59%0.3%2026-06-26 23:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.60I 15.15%NM 15.11%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.31%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.59%0.3%2026-06-26 23:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.60I 15.15%NM 15.11%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.31%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.59%0.3%2026-06-26 23:50
Smarkets6.40I 15.63%NM 15.45%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.83%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%1.1%2026-06-26 23:50
Matchbook6.40I 15.63%NM 15.45%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.83%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%1.1%2026-06-26 23:50
Polymarket6.25I 16.00%NM 15.66%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.92%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.42%2.2%2026-06-26 23:30
Kalshi5.88I 17.01%NM 16.65%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.90%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.45%2.2%2026-06-26 23:30