Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Turkey v USA

Kickoff: 2026-06-26 02:00 UTC

Final: Turkey 3–2 USA

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

68 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Turkey (Local)

Prediction 30.01%3.33fair odd
EV +4.75%
Edge +1.36%
Kelly +1.91%
Growth +0.091%

assuming max odds 3.49

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.48%29.85%30.07%31.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.173.153.4934.72%31.55%31.75%28.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

USA (Visit)

Prediction 45.19%2.21fair odd
EV -0.589%
Edge -0.268%
Kelly -0.490%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.22%45.38%45.14%48.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.092.102.2052.36%47.85%47.62%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.80%4.03fair odd
EV +2.92%
Edge +0.703%
Kelly +0.926%
Growth +0.027%

assuming max odds 4.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.13%24.76%24.79%26.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.823.804.1530.77%26.21%26.32%24.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Turkey (Local): 30.01%; USA (Visit): 45.19%; Draw: 24.80%. For Turkey (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.33. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.49, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.75%.

Sportsbook Odds (68 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯3.49I 28.65%NM 27.48%EV +4.75%E +1.36%K +1.91%G +0.091%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.43%EV -10.53%E -5.32%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.09%EV -1.30%E -0.327%K -0.436%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-26 01:30
BetAnything🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 28.09%EV +3.55%E +1.03%K +1.45%G +0.051%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.98%EV -8.72%E -4.32%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.93%EV +0.436%E +0.108%K +0.143%G +0.001%3.2%2026-06-26 01:50
Unibet (FR)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.50%EV +2.05%E +0.602%K +0.853%G +0.017%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.27%EV -7.37%E -3.59%K -7.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.23%EV -0.804%E -0.201%K -0.268%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-26 01:39
BetUS🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.41%EV +2.05%E +0.602%K +0.853%G +0.017%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.31%EV -9.63%E -4.81%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.28%EV +2.92%E +0.703%K +0.926%G +0.027%3.5%2026-06-26 01:20
Bet Victor🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV +2.05%E +0.602%K +0.853%G +0.017%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -9.63%E -4.81%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -8.24%E -2.23%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-26 01:48
Betclic (FR)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.80%EV +0.546%E +0.163%K +0.233%G +0.001%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.07%EV -7.37%E -3.59%K -7.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.12%EV -0.804%E -0.201%K -0.268%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-26 01:38
DraftKings🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.54%EV +0.546%E +0.163%K +0.233%G +0.001%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.63%EV -7.37%E -3.59%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.83%EV -4.52%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-26 01:50
1xBet🎯3.34I 29.94%NM 29.05%EV +0.246%E +0.074%K +0.105%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.64%EV -6.01%E -2.89%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 24.31%EV -1.05%E -0.264%K -0.352%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-26 01:50
betfred_uk🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.66%EV -0.954%E -0.289%K -0.415%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.13%EV -7.37%E -3.59%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -7.00%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-26 01:39
Betr (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -0.954%E -0.289%K -0.415%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -9.63%E -4.81%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -8.24%E -2.23%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-26 01:40
Pinnacle🎯3.27I 30.58%NM 29.90%EV -1.85%E -0.567%K -0.817%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.47%EV -2.85%E -1.32%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.63%EV -1.55%E -0.390%K -0.521%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-26 01:40
Unibet (NL)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 30.21%EV -2.46%E -0.755%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.24%EV -1.94%E -0.896%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.55%EV -0.804%E -0.201%K -0.268%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-26 01:40
SportsBet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.58%EV -2.46%E -0.755%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.77%EV -5.11%E -2.43%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.65%EV -3.28%E -0.842%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-26 01:50
NordicBet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.51%EV -2.46%E -0.755%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.24%EV -4.20%E -1.98%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.24%EV -5.76%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-26 01:50
Betsson🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.51%EV -2.46%E -0.755%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.24%EV -4.20%E -1.98%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.24%EV -5.76%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-26 01:50
theScore Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.39%EV -2.46%E -0.755%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.48%EV -5.11%E -2.43%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.13%EV -5.76%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-26 01:50
NetBet (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.05%EV -2.46%E -0.755%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.74%EV -8.72%E -4.32%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -3.28%E -0.842%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-26 01:50
Fanatics🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.83%EV -2.46%E -0.755%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.04%EV -11.89%E -6.10%K -12.51%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.13%EV +0.436%E +0.108%K +0.143%G +0.001%6.7%2026-06-26 01:50
Bet Right🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -2.46%E -0.755%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.63%E -4.81%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -8.24%E -2.23%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-26 01:50
MyBookie.ag🎯3.22I 31.06%NM 29.28%EV -3.36%E -1.04%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.77%EV -6.91%E -3.36%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.94%EV -6.26%E -1.66%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-26 01:50
Coolbet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 30.63%EV -3.96%E -1.24%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.55%EV -0.589%E -0.268%K -0.490%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.81%EV -2.04%E -0.517%K -0.693%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-26 01:50
Unibet (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 30.22%EV -3.96%E -1.24%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.98%EV -2.85%E -1.32%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.80%EV -3.28%E -0.842%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-26 01:40
ATG (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 30.22%EV -3.96%E -1.24%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.98%EV -2.85%E -1.32%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.80%EV -3.28%E -0.842%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-26 01:40
Svenska Spel🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 30.22%EV -3.96%E -1.24%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.98%EV -2.85%E -1.32%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.80%EV -3.28%E -0.842%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-26 01:40
Unibet (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 30.03%EV -3.96%E -1.24%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.69%EV -2.85%E -1.32%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.28%EV -5.76%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-26 01:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -3.96%E -1.24%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.12%EV -5.11%E -2.43%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -7.00%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-26 01:50
FanDuel🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.57%EV -3.96%E -1.24%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.16%EV -7.37%E -3.59%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.26%EV -3.28%E -0.842%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-26 01:50
Coral🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -3.96%E -1.24%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -5.11%E -2.43%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -8.24%E -2.23%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-26 01:40
BetOnline.ag🎯3.18I 31.45%NM 30.54%EV -4.56%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.18%EV -2.85%E -1.32%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.28%EV -0.804%E -0.201%K -0.268%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-26 01:50
LowVig.ag🎯3.18I 31.45%NM 30.54%EV -4.56%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.18%EV -2.85%E -1.32%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.28%EV -0.804%E -0.201%K -0.268%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-26 01:50
ReBet🎯3.18I 31.45%NM 30.26%EV -4.56%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.75%EV -2.85%E -1.32%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.99%EV -4.52%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-26 01:50
PMU (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.49%EV -5.46%E -1.73%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.88%EV -3.30%E -1.54%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.63%EV -3.28%E -0.842%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-26 01:40
LeoVegas🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.27%EV -5.46%E -1.73%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.97%EV -4.20%E -1.98%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.76%EV -4.52%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-26 01:40
Casumo🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.27%EV -5.46%E -1.73%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.97%EV -4.20%E -1.98%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.76%EV -4.52%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-26 01:40
BetRivers🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.27%EV -5.46%E -1.73%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.97%EV -4.20%E -1.98%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.76%EV -4.52%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-26 01:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.27%EV -5.46%E -1.73%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.97%EV -4.20%E -1.98%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.76%EV -4.52%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-26 01:40
betPARX🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.27%EV -5.46%E -1.73%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.97%EV -4.20%E -1.98%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.76%EV -4.52%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-26 01:40
Codere (IT)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.23%EV -5.46%E -1.73%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.71%EV -3.75%E -1.76%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.06%EV -5.76%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-26 01:50
Bally Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.14%EV -5.46%E -1.73%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.21%EV -5.11%E -2.43%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.52%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-26 01:50
PlayUp🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -5.46%E -1.73%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.60%EV -5.11%E -2.43%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -9.48%E -2.60%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-26 01:50
Bovada🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 30.47%EV -6.36%E -2.04%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.84%EV -4.20%E -1.98%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.69%EV -4.52%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-26 01:50
Everygame🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.96%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.41%EV -2.85%E -1.32%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -4.52%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-26 01:40
Winamax (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.67%EV -6.96%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.27%EV -5.11%E -2.43%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.07%EV -2.04%E -0.517%K -0.693%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-26 01:50
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.57%EV -6.96%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.13%EV -5.11%E -2.43%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -3.28%E -0.842%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-26 01:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -6.96%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -5.11%E -2.43%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -5.76%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-26 01:50
Unibet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -6.96%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -5.11%E -2.43%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -5.76%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-26 01:40
Grosvenor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.96%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -5.11%E -2.43%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -7.00%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-26 01:50
Dabble (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.96%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -2.85%E -1.32%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -10.72%E -2.98%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-26 01:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -6.96%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -5.11%E -2.43%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -8.24%E -2.23%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-26 01:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -6.96%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -5.11%E -2.43%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -8.24%E -2.23%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-26 01:40
Neds🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -6.96%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -5.11%E -2.43%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -8.24%E -2.23%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-26 01:40
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -6.96%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -5.11%E -2.43%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -8.24%E -2.23%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-26 01:39
Caesars🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -6.96%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 44.66%EV -5.56%E -2.66%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.23%EV -8.24%E -2.23%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-26 01:50
Sky Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.96%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -7.37%E -3.59%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -5.76%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-26 01:40
Paddy Power🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.96%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -7.37%E -3.59%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -5.76%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-26 01:40
Betway🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.96%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -7.37%E -3.59%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -5.76%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-26 01:40
Fliff🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -6.96%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.38%EV -11.89%E -6.10%K -12.51%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -8.24%E -2.23%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-26 01:40
Winamax (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.92%EV -8.46%E -2.77%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.90%EV -5.11%E -2.43%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -3.28%E -0.842%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-26 01:50
LiveScore Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.49%EV -8.46%E -2.77%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.71%EV -6.01%E -2.89%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.80%EV -7.00%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-26 01:40
Virgin Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.49%EV -8.46%E -2.77%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.71%EV -6.01%E -2.89%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.80%EV -7.00%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-26 01:40
TABtouch🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.49%EV -8.46%E -2.77%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.71%EV -6.01%E -2.89%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.80%EV -7.00%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-26 01:40
TAB🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.60%EV -9.96%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.09%EV -2.85%E -1.32%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -3.28%E -0.842%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-26 01:49
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -9.96%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -2.85%E -1.32%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -10.72%E -2.98%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-26 01:49
William Hill🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -9.96%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -5.11%E -2.43%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -8.24%E -2.23%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-26 01:50
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -9.96%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -5.11%E -2.43%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.72%E -2.98%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-26 01:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -9.96%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -5.11%E -2.43%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.72%E -2.98%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-26 01:50
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -9.96%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -5.11%E -2.43%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.72%E -2.98%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-26 01:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 29.46%EV -13.56%E -4.71%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 44.43%EV -13.69%E -7.17%K -15.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.11%EV -19.40%E -5.97%K -8.62%G +0.000%17.8%2026-06-26 01:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets3.90I 25.64%NM 26.78%2.16I 46.30%NM 48.35%4.20I 23.81%NM 24.87%-4.3%2026-06-26 01:50
Kalshi3.33I 30.03%NM 30.00%2.17I 46.08%NM 46.04%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.96%0.1%2026-06-26 01:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.18%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.24%0.6%2026-06-26 01:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.52%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.68%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80%0.8%2026-06-26 01:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.46%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.40%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14%1.0%2026-06-26 01:50
Polymarket3.33I 30.03%NM 29.70%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.58%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72%1.1%2026-06-26 01:50
Matchbook3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.34%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%1.2%2026-06-26 01:40