The School of OddsSpain v England
Head to Head
Spain (Local)
Prediction 40.51%2.47fair odd
EV -0.762%
Edge -0.311%
Kelly -0.526%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.44%40.51%40.51%42.29%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.252.392.402.4544%42%42%41%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
England (Visit)
Prediction 30.68%3.26fair odd
EV -1.83%
Edge -0.571%
Kelly -0.831%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.73%30.68%30.68%31.81%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.902.982.953.2034%34%34%31%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Draw
Prediction 28.82%3.47fair odd
EV -2.03%
Edge -0.596%
Kelly -0.844%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.98%28.82%28.82%29.98%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.103.183.133.4032%31%32%29%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.73%EV -0.762%E -0.311%K -0.526%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -7.96%E -2.65%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -7.79%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-14 21:19 |
| SportsBet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.54%EV -0.762%E -0.311%K -0.526%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -7.96%E -2.65%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.98%EV -9.23%E -2.93%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-14 21:19 |
| Sky Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -2.79%E -1.16%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -11.03%E -3.80%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -10.67%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-14 21:19 |
| Paddy Power | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -2.79%E -1.16%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -11.03%E -3.80%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -10.67%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-14 21:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -2.79%E -1.16%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -11.03%E -3.80%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -10.67%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-14 21:39 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -8.86%E -3.94%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -1.83%E -0.571%K -0.831%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -2.03%E -0.596%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-14 21:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.99% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.19% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.82% | 5.2% | 2026-07-14 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.99% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.19% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.82% | 5.2% | 2026-07-14 22:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58% | 6.0% | 2026-07-14 22:04 |