L’École des cotesFrançais
Qatar v Switzerland
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Qatar (Local)
Prévision 10.19%9.82cote équitable
EV +22.23%
Avantage +1.85%
Kelly +2.02%
Croissance +0.449%
avec la cote maximale 12.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
8.07%10.10%10.14%11.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
8.009.279.0012.0012.50%10.79%11.11%8.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Switzerland (Visiteur)
Prévision 72.59%1.38cote équitable
EV -4.18%
Avantage -3.17%
Kelly -13.08%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.32
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
70.68%72.62%72.65%75.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.241.291.291.3280.65%77.50%77.52%75.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 17.23%5.80cote équitable
EV +3.36%
Avantage +0.560%
Kelly +0.672%
Croissance +0.023%
avec la cote maximale 6.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.62%17.28%17.21%19.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.755.275.336.0021.05%18.96%18.78%16.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (26 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.07%EV +22.23%E +1.85%K +2.02%G +0.449% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.08%EV -6.36%E -4.93%K -21.94%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.84%EV -0.947%E -0.165%K -0.199%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-06 09:09 |
| Coolbet | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.82%EV +12.05%E +1.10%K +1.20%G +0.145% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.53%EV -4.18%E -3.17%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.65%EV -5.25%E -0.955%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-25 03:35 |
| TAB | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.58%EV +12.05%E +1.10%K +1.20%G +0.145% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.56%EV -5.64%E -4.34%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.87%EV -13.87%E -2.77%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-22 13:14 |
| SportsBet | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.95%EV +6.95%E +0.662%K +0.732%G +0.051% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.26%EV -5.64%E -4.34%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -13.87%E -2.77%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-19 08:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.69%EV +1.86%E +0.186%K +0.207%G +0.004% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.40%EV -4.18%E -3.17%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 5.73I 17.45%NM 16.91%EV -1.29%E -0.225%K -0.273%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-24 02:09 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.46%EV +1.86%E +0.186%K +0.207%G +0.004% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.34%EV -6.36%E -4.93%K -21.94%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -5.25%E -0.955%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-26 08:34 |
| Paddy Power | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.30%EV +1.86%E +0.186%K +0.207%G +0.004% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.10%EV -6.36%E -4.93%K -21.94%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -13.87%E -2.77%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-19 08:05 |
| Coral | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.97%EV -3.23%E -0.340%K -0.380%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.82%EV -5.64%E -4.34%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.21%EV -5.25%E -0.955%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-18 16:09 |
| FanDuel | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.93%EV -3.23%E -0.340%K -0.380%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.59%EV -5.64%E -4.34%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.48%EV -6.98%E -1.29%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-19 08:05 |
| Sky Bet | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV -3.23%E -0.340%K -0.380%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.75%EV -6.36%E -4.93%K -21.94%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -13.87%E -2.77%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-19 08:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV -8.33%E -0.925%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.42%EV -5.64%E -4.34%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -5.25%E -0.955%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-18 16:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.20%EV -8.33%E -0.925%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.31%EV -7.81%E -6.15%K -28.94%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.49%EV -9.56%E -1.82%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-01 13:30 |
| 888sport | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.13%EV -8.33%E -0.925%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.68%EV -6.36%E -4.93%K -21.94%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.19%EV -18.17%E -3.83%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-26 08:34 |
| William Hill | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.13%EV -8.33%E -0.925%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.68%EV -6.36%E -4.93%K -21.94%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.19%EV -18.17%E -3.83%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-26 08:34 |
| 888sport (SE) | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.13%EV -8.33%E -0.925%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.68%EV -6.36%E -4.93%K -21.94%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.19%EV -18.17%E -3.83%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-26 08:34 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.13%EV -8.33%E -0.925%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.68%EV -6.36%E -4.93%K -21.94%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.19%EV -18.17%E -3.83%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-26 08:34 |
| Bovada | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.81%EV -10.87%E -1.24%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.75%EV -5.64%E -4.34%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.45%EV -0.947%E -0.165%K -0.199%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-12 23:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.69%EV -10.87%E -1.24%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.98%EV -5.64%E -4.34%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.33%EV -6.98%E -1.29%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-18 16:09 |
| Neds | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.69%EV -10.87%E -1.24%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.98%EV -5.64%E -4.34%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.33%EV -6.98%E -1.29%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-18 16:09 |
| Unibet (FR) | 8.70I 11.49%NM 10.46%EV -11.38%E -1.31%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.68%EV -7.81%E -6.15%K -28.94%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.85%EV -12.14%E -2.38%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-04 04:29 |
| Pinnacle | 8.49I 11.78%NM 11.01%EV -13.52%E -1.59%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.45%EV -6.36%E -4.93%K -21.94%G +0.000% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.54%EV -2.67%E -0.472%K -0.574%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 8.30I 12.05%NM 10.94%EV -15.46%E -1.86%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.91%EV -7.09%E -5.54%K -25.32%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -13.87%E -2.77%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-27 05:59 |
| BetMGM | 8.25I 12.12%NM 10.93%EV -15.97%E -1.94%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.03%EV -7.81%E -6.15%K -28.94%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.04%EV -13.87%E -2.77%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-18 16:09 |
| Betway | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -18.51%E -2.31%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.66%EV -6.36%E -4.93%K -21.94%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV +3.36%E +0.560%K +0.672%G +0.023% | 6.7% | 2026-04-02 10:00 |
| Everygame | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -18.51%E -2.31%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.80%EV -7.09%E -5.54%K -25.32%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -5.25%E -0.955%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-24 19:25 |
| NetBet (FR) | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.12%EV -18.51%E -2.31%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 71.76%EV -9.99%E -8.06%K -41.63%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.11%EV -10.42%E -2.00%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-04 13:44 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.77% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.68% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.55% | 3.6% | 2026-04-06 01:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.77% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.68% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.55% | 3.6% | 2026-04-06 01:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.77% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.68% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.55% | 3.6% | 2026-04-06 01:30 |
| Smarkets | 9.60I 10.42%NM 9.60% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.98% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43% | 8.5% | 2026-04-06 02:00 |
| Kalshi | 7.69I 13.00%NM 9.05% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 52.72% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 38.23% | 43.7% | 2026-04-06 09:10 |