The School of OddsPortugal v Spain
Head to Head
Option 1: Portugal (Local)
Odds
3.6527.40%Min
3.9725.18%Mean
4.0025.00%Median
4.3023.26%Max
Consensus probabilities
22.66%4.413Min
25.50%3.921Max
23.89%4.186Mean
23.89%4.185Median
23.91%4.182IQM
23.78%4.205Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 4.30 under the IQM model: 23.91%
EV +2.82%Edge +0.657%Kelly +0.856%Growth +0.024%
Option 2: Spain (Visit)
Odds
1.8354.64%Min
1.9052.72%Mean
1.9052.63%Median
1.9750.76%Max
Consensus probabilities
48.12%2.078Min
51.19%1.954Max
50.02%1.999Mean
50.00%2.000Median
49.98%2.001IQM
50.12%1.995Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 1.97 under the IQM model: 49.98%
EV -1.54%Edge -0.781%Kelly -1.59%Growth +0.000%
Option 3: Draw
Odds
3.4029.41%Min
3.6127.72%Mean
3.6027.78%Median
3.8326.11%Max
Consensus probabilities
25.07%3.990Min
27.06%3.696Max
26.10%3.832Mean
26.10%3.831Median
26.11%3.830IQM
26.10%3.831Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 3.83 under the IQM model: 26.11%
EV -0.009%Edge -0.002%Kelly -0.003%Growth +0.000%
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Portugal (Local) ▼ | Spain (Visit) | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 4.30I 23.26% NM 22.74%EV +2.82% E +0.657% K +0.856% G +0.024% | 1.91I 52.36% NM 51.19%EV -4.54% E -2.38% K -4.99% G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67% NM 26.07%EV -2.10% E -0.559% K -0.763% G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-05 14:04 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.25I 23.53% NM 22.98%EV +1.63% E +0.383% K +0.501% G +0.008% | 1.93I 51.81% NM 50.61%EV -3.54% E -1.83% K -3.80% G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03% NM 26.40%EV -3.40% E -0.920% K -1.26% G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-05 12:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.25I 23.53% NM 22.98%EV +1.63% E +0.383% K +0.501% G +0.008% | 1.93I 51.81% NM 50.61%EV -3.54% E -1.83% K -3.80% G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03% NM 26.40%EV -3.40% E -0.920% K -1.26% G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-05 12:54 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.25I 23.53% NM 22.98%EV +1.63% E +0.383% K +0.501% G +0.008% | 1.93I 51.81% NM 50.61%EV -3.54% E -1.83% K -3.80% G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03% NM 26.40%EV -3.40% E -0.920% K -1.26% G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-05 12:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.25I 23.53% NM 22.98%EV +1.63% E +0.383% K +0.501% G +0.008% | 1.93I 51.81% NM 50.61%EV -3.54% E -1.83% K -3.80% G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03% NM 26.40%EV -3.40% E -0.920% K -1.26% G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-05 12:54 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.22I 23.70% NM 22.91%EV +0.910% E +0.216% K +0.283% G +0.003% | 1.91I 52.36% NM 50.61%EV -4.54% E -2.38% K -4.99% G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40% NM 26.48%EV -4.71% E -1.29% K -1.78% G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-03 12:35 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.20I 23.81% NM 22.66%EV +0.432% E +0.103% K +0.135% G +0.001% | 1.87I 53.48% NM 50.90%EV -6.54% E -3.50% K -7.51% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 26.44%EV -6.01% E -1.67% K -2.31% G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-05 13:30 |
| BetUS | 4.10I 24.39% NM 23.42%EV -1.96% E -0.478% K -0.632% G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36% NM 50.27%EV -4.54% E -2.38% K -4.99% G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40% NM 26.31%EV -4.71% E -1.29% K -1.78% G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-03 15:44 |
| GTbets | 4.10I 24.39% NM 23.19%EV -1.96% E -0.478% K -0.632% G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91% NM 50.32%EV -5.54% E -2.93% K -6.22% G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86% NM 26.49%EV -6.27% E -1.75% K -2.42% G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-03 13:20 |
| Grosvenor | 4.10I 24.39% NM 23.15%EV -1.96% E -0.478% K -0.632% G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19% NM 50.49%EV -6.04% E -3.21% K -6.86% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 26.36%EV -6.01% E -1.67% K -2.31% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-05 12:55 |
| Casumo | 4.10I 24.39% NM 23.15%EV -1.96% E -0.478% K -0.632% G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19% NM 50.49%EV -6.04% E -3.21% K -6.86% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 26.36%EV -6.01% E -1.67% K -2.31% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-05 12:55 |
| Bally Bet | 4.10I 24.39% NM 23.15%EV -1.96% E -0.478% K -0.632% G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19% NM 50.49%EV -6.04% E -3.21% K -6.86% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 26.36%EV -6.01% E -1.67% K -2.31% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-05 12:55 |
| BetRivers | 4.10I 24.39% NM 23.15%EV -1.96% E -0.478% K -0.632% G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19% NM 50.49%EV -6.04% E -3.21% K -6.86% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 26.36%EV -6.01% E -1.67% K -2.31% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-05 12:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.10I 24.39% NM 23.15%EV -1.96% E -0.478% K -0.632% G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19% NM 50.49%EV -6.04% E -3.21% K -6.86% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 26.36%EV -6.01% E -1.67% K -2.31% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-05 12:54 |
| betPARX | 4.10I 24.39% NM 23.15%EV -1.96% E -0.478% K -0.632% G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19% NM 50.49%EV -6.04% E -3.21% K -6.86% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 26.36%EV -6.01% E -1.67% K -2.31% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-05 12:55 |
| SportsBet | 4.10I 24.39% NM 23.10%EV -1.96% E -0.478% K -0.632% G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63% NM 49.84%EV -5.04% E -2.65% K -5.60% G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57% NM 27.06%EV -8.62% E -2.46% K -3.45% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-05 09:05 |
| FanDuel | 4.10I 24.39% NM 23.09%EV -1.96% E -0.478% K -0.632% G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48% NM 50.62%EV -6.54% E -3.50% K -7.51% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 26.29%EV -6.01% E -1.67% K -2.31% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-05 08:20 |
| Unibet | 4.10I 24.39% NM 23.06%EV -1.96% E -0.478% K -0.632% G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19% NM 50.30%EV -6.04% E -3.21% K -6.86% G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17% NM 26.64%EV -7.32% E -2.06% K -2.87% G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-05 12:54 |
| Pinnacle | 4.08I 24.51% NM 23.70%EV -2.44% E -0.597% K -0.791% G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08% NM 50.37%EV -4.04% E -2.10% K -4.39% G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81% NM 25.93%EV -2.62% E -0.702% K -0.959% G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-05 11:50 |
| NordicBet | 4.05I 24.69% NM 23.89%EV -3.15% E -0.779% K -1.03% G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28% NM 49.61%EV -2.54% E -1.30% K -2.67% G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40% NM 26.50%EV -4.71% E -1.29% K -1.78% G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-05 12:44 |
| Betsson | 4.05I 24.69% NM 23.89%EV -3.15% E -0.779% K -1.03% G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28% NM 49.61%EV -2.54% E -1.30% K -2.67% G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40% NM 26.50%EV -4.71% E -1.29% K -1.78% G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-05 12:44 |
| Fanatics | 4.05I 24.69% NM 23.31%EV -3.15% E -0.779% K -1.03% G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48% NM 50.48%EV -6.54% E -3.50% K -7.51% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 26.22%EV -6.01% E -1.67% K -2.31% G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-03 02:05 |
| 1xBet | 4.04I 24.75% NM 24.36%EV -3.39% E -0.840% K -1.12% G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76% NM 49.95%EV -1.54% E -0.781% K -1.59% G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11% NM 25.69%EV -0.009% E -0.002% K -0.003% G +0.000% | 1.6% | 2026-07-05 10:25 |
| Codere (IT) | 4.00I 25.00% NM 23.84%EV -4.35% E -1.09% K -1.45% G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08% NM 49.67%EV -4.04% E -2.10% K -4.39% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 26.49%EV -6.01% E -1.67% K -2.31% G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-03 07:14 |
| Betclic (FR) | 4.00I 25.00% NM 23.81%EV -4.35% E -1.09% K -1.45% G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19% NM 50.66%EV -6.04% E -3.21% K -6.86% G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81% NM 25.53%EV -2.62% E -0.702% K -0.959% G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-04 17:44 |
| Everygame | 4.00I 25.00% NM 23.80%EV -4.35% E -1.09% K -1.45% G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63% NM 50.11%EV -5.04% E -2.65% K -5.60% G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40% NM 26.09%EV -4.71% E -1.29% K -1.78% G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 00:14 |
| LeoVegas | 4.00I 25.00% NM 23.78%EV -4.35% E -1.09% K -1.45% G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36% NM 49.80%EV -4.54% E -2.38% K -4.99% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 26.42%EV -6.01% E -1.67% K -2.31% G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-05 13:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.00I 25.00% NM 23.78%EV -4.35% E -1.09% K -1.45% G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36% NM 49.80%EV -4.54% E -2.38% K -4.99% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 26.42%EV -6.01% E -1.67% K -2.31% G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-03 03:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 4.00I 25.00% NM 23.78%EV -4.35% E -1.09% K -1.45% G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36% NM 49.80%EV -4.54% E -2.38% K -4.99% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 26.42%EV -6.01% E -1.67% K -2.31% G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-05 09:45 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.00I 25.00% NM 23.53%EV -4.35% E -1.09% K -1.45% G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48% NM 50.33%EV -6.54% E -3.50% K -7.51% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 26.14%EV -6.01% E -1.67% K -2.31% G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-05 08:20 |
| Paddy Power | 4.00I 25.00% NM 23.35%EV -4.35% E -1.09% K -1.45% G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48% NM 49.96%EV -6.54% E -3.50% K -7.51% G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57% NM 26.69%EV -8.62% E -2.46% K -3.45% G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-05 09:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.00I 25.00% NM 23.29%EV -4.35% E -1.09% K -1.45% G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76% NM 50.09%EV -7.04% E -3.78% K -8.18% G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57% NM 26.62%EV -8.62% E -2.46% K -3.45% G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-05 12:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.00I 25.00% NM 23.29%EV -4.35% E -1.09% K -1.45% G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76% NM 50.09%EV -7.04% E -3.78% K -8.18% G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57% NM 26.62%EV -8.62% E -2.46% K -3.45% G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-05 12:55 |
| TABtouch | 4.00I 25.00% NM 23.23%EV -4.35% E -1.09% K -1.45% G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05% NM 50.22%EV -7.54% E -4.07% K -8.87% G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57% NM 26.55%EV -8.62% E -2.46% K -3.45% G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-05 12:55 |
| PMU (FR) | 4.00I 25.00% NM 23.23%EV -4.35% E -1.09% K -1.45% G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05% NM 50.22%EV -7.54% E -4.07% K -8.87% G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57% NM 26.55%EV -8.62% E -2.46% K -3.45% G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-05 12:54 |
| Sky Bet | 4.00I 25.00% NM 23.23%EV -4.35% E -1.09% K -1.45% G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05% NM 50.22%EV -7.54% E -4.07% K -8.87% G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57% NM 26.55%EV -8.62% E -2.46% K -3.45% G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-04 23:30 |
| Bovada | 3.95I 25.32% NM 24.18%EV -5.55% E -1.40% K -1.88% G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36% NM 50.01%EV -4.54% E -2.38% K -4.99% G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03% NM 25.81%EV -3.40% E -0.920% K -1.26% G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-05 06:54 |
| BetAnything | 3.95I 25.32% NM 24.18%EV -5.55% E -1.40% K -1.88% G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36% NM 50.01%EV -4.54% E -2.38% K -4.99% G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03% NM 25.81%EV -3.40% E -0.920% K -1.26% G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-05 12:40 |
| DraftKings | 3.95I 25.32% NM 24.09%EV -5.55% E -1.40% K -1.88% G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36% NM 49.83%EV -4.54% E -2.38% K -4.99% G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40% NM 26.08%EV -4.71% E -1.29% K -1.78% G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-03 21:00 |
| ReBet | 3.95I 25.32% NM 23.86%EV -5.55% E -1.40% K -1.88% G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63% NM 49.60%EV -5.04% E -2.65% K -5.60% G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17% NM 26.55%EV -7.32% E -2.06% K -2.87% G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |
| MyBookie.ag | 3.95I 25.32% NM 23.86%EV -5.55% E -1.40% K -1.88% G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63% NM 49.60%EV -5.04% E -2.65% K -5.60% G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17% NM 26.55%EV -7.32% E -2.06% K -2.87% G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-03 03:04 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.92I 25.51% NM 24.35%EV -6.26% E -1.60% K -2.14% G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36% NM 49.98%EV -4.54% E -2.38% K -4.99% G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88% NM 25.66%EV -2.88% E -0.774% K -1.06% G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-05 10:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.90I 25.64% NM 24.35%EV -6.74% E -1.73% K -2.32% G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63% NM 49.98%EV -5.04% E -2.65% K -5.60% G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03% NM 25.67%EV -3.40% E -0.920% K -1.26% G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-03 03:00 |
| Coral | 3.90I 25.64% NM 24.24%EV -6.74% E -1.73% K -2.32% G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36% NM 49.50%EV -4.54% E -2.38% K -4.99% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 26.26%EV -6.01% E -1.67% K -2.31% G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-05 13:40 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.90I 25.64% NM 23.99%EV -6.74% E -1.73% K -2.32% G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48% NM 50.03%EV -6.54% E -3.50% K -7.51% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.99%EV -6.01% E -1.67% K -2.31% G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-05 09:34 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.85I 25.97% NM 24.76%EV -7.94% E -2.06% K -2.78% G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63% NM 50.16%EV -5.04% E -2.65% K -5.60% G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32% NM 25.08%EV -0.792% E -0.208% K -0.283% G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 13:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.85I 25.97% NM 24.37%EV -7.94% E -2.06% K -2.78% G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19% NM 49.92%EV -6.04% E -3.21% K -6.86% G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40% NM 25.71%EV -4.71% E -1.29% K -1.78% G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-03 03:00 |
| Dabble (AU) | 3.85I 25.97% NM 24.36%EV -7.94% E -2.06% K -2.78% G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08% NM 48.85%EV -4.04% E -2.10% K -4.39% G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57% NM 26.80%EV -8.62% E -2.46% K -3.45% G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-05 12:44 |
| theScore Bet | 3.80I 26.32% NM 25.07%EV -9.13% E -2.40% K -3.26% G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36% NM 49.87%EV -4.54% E -2.38% K -4.99% G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32% NM 25.07%EV -0.792% E -0.208% K -0.283% G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 07:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.80I 26.32% NM 24.72%EV -9.13% E -2.40% K -3.26% G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36% NM 49.18%EV -4.54% E -2.38% K -4.99% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 26.09%EV -6.01% E -1.67% K -2.31% G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-05 13:40 |
| BetMGM | 3.80I 26.32% NM 24.72%EV -9.13% E -2.40% K -3.26% G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36% NM 49.18%EV -4.54% E -2.38% K -4.99% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 26.09%EV -6.01% E -1.67% K -2.31% G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-05 13:39 |
| Bet Victor | 3.80I 26.32% NM 24.64%EV -9.13% E -2.40% K -3.26% G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48% NM 50.06%EV -6.54% E -3.50% K -7.51% G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03% NM 25.30%EV -3.40% E -0.920% K -1.26% G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-05 09:32 |
| William Hill | 3.80I 26.32% NM 24.54%EV -9.13% E -2.40% K -3.26% G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36% NM 48.82%EV -4.54% E -2.38% K -4.99% G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57% NM 26.64%EV -8.62% E -2.46% K -3.45% G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-04 20:10 |
| Betway | 3.80I 26.32% NM 24.53%EV -9.13% E -2.40% K -3.26% G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19% NM 49.58%EV -6.04% E -3.21% K -6.86% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.89%EV -6.01% E -1.67% K -2.31% G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-05 09:30 |
| TAB | 3.80I 26.32% NM 24.48%EV -9.13% E -2.40% K -3.26% G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63% NM 48.95%EV -5.04% E -2.65% K -5.60% G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57% NM 26.57%EV -8.62% E -2.46% K -3.45% G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-05 10:25 |
| BoyleSports | 3.80I 26.32% NM 24.46%EV -9.13% E -2.40% K -3.26% G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48% NM 49.71%EV -6.54% E -3.50% K -7.51% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.82%EV -6.01% E -1.67% K -2.31% G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-05 11:25 |
| Fliff | 3.80I 26.32% NM 23.94%EV -9.13% E -2.40% K -3.26% G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64% NM 49.70%EV -8.54% E -4.66% K -10.28% G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99% NM 26.36%EV -9.93% E -2.88% K -4.05% G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-05 13:40 |
| betfred_uk | 3.75I 26.67% NM 25.23%EV -10.33% E -2.75% K -3.76% G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36% NM 49.54%EV -4.54% E -2.38% K -4.99% G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67% NM 25.23%EV -2.10% E -0.559% K -0.763% G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-04 05:25 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.75I 26.67% NM 25.08%EV -10.33% E -2.75% K -3.76% G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63% NM 49.50%EV -5.04% E -2.65% K -5.60% G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03% NM 25.42%EV -3.40% E -0.920% K -1.26% G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 05:24 |
| PlayUp | 3.75I 26.67% NM 24.72%EV -10.33% E -2.75% K -3.76% G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63% NM 48.79%EV -5.04% E -2.65% K -5.60% G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57% NM 26.49%EV -8.62% E -2.46% K -3.45% G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-05 12:45 |
| 888sport | 3.70I 27.03% NM 24.84%EV -11.52% E -3.11% K -4.27% G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36% NM 48.12%EV -4.54% E -2.38% K -4.99% G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41% NM 27.03%EV -11.23% E -3.30% K -4.68% G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-04 20:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.70I 27.03% NM 24.84%EV -11.52% E -3.11% K -4.27% G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36% NM 48.12%EV -4.54% E -2.38% K -4.99% G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41% NM 27.03%EV -11.23% E -3.30% K -4.68% G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-04 20:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.70I 27.03% NM 24.84%EV -11.52% E -3.11% K -4.27% G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36% NM 48.12%EV -4.54% E -2.38% K -4.99% G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41% NM 27.03%EV -11.23% E -3.30% K -4.68% G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-04 20:10 |
| Bet Right | 3.65I 27.40% NM 25.50%EV -12.72% E -3.48% K -4.80% G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63% NM 48.99%EV -5.04% E -2.65% K -5.60% G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40% NM 25.50%EV -4.71% E -1.29% K -1.78% G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-05 07:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Portugal (Local) | Spain (Visit) | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 4.30I 23.26% | 1.97I 50.76% | 3.75I 26.67% | 0.7% | 2026-07-05 13:50 |
| Smarkets | 4.30I 23.26% | 1.97I 50.76% | 3.75I 26.67% | 0.7% | 2026-07-05 12:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.30I 23.26% | 1.97I 50.76% | 3.75I 26.67% | 0.7% | 2026-07-05 12:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.30I 23.26% | 1.97I 50.76% | 3.75I 26.67% | 0.7% | 2026-07-05 12:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.30I 23.26% | 1.97I 50.76% | 3.75I 26.67% | 0.7% | 2026-07-05 12:30 |
| Polymarket | 4.17I 23.98% | 1.92I 52.08% | 3.70I 27.03% | 3.1% | 2026-07-04 12:20 |