Language:English
Portugal v Spain
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Portugal (Local)
Prediction 24.35%4.11fair odd
EV +2.29%
Edge +0.545%
Kelly +0.716%
Growth +0.016%
assuming max odds 4.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.31%24.47%24.38%26.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.843.854.2029.41%26.06%25.97%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Spain (Visit)
Prediction 48.64%2.06fair odd
EV +0.206%
Edge +0.100%
Kelly +0.195%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.06
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.58%48.57%48.58%50.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.871.961.952.0653.48%50.94%51.28%48.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.00%3.70fair odd
EV -1.44%
Edge -0.396%
Kelly -0.545%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.16%26.96%27.03%27.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.513.503.6529.85%28.51%28.57%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Portugal (Local): 24.35%; Spain (Visit): 48.64%; Draw: 27.00%. For Portugal (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.11. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.29%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.32%EV +2.29%E +0.545%K +0.716%G +0.016% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.47%EV -3.69%E -1.86%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.21%EV -2.79%E -0.776%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-06 18:18 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.40%EV +1.07%E +0.258%K +0.340%G +0.004% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.55%EV -4.66%E -2.38%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 27.05%EV -3.06%E -0.854%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-06 18:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.49%EV -0.145%E -0.035%K -0.047%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.39%EV -5.14%E -2.64%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.13%EV -4.15%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-06 18:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.31%EV -1.36%E -0.337%K -0.447%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.48%EV -9.04%E -4.83%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -2.79%E -0.776%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-03 02:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.04I 24.75%NM 24.18%EV -1.61%E -0.398%K -0.528%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.60%EV -2.23%E -1.11%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 27.21%EV -3.06%E -0.854%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-06 18:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.32%EV -2.58%E -0.645%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.65%EV -2.71%E -1.36%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.03%EV -2.79%E -0.776%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-07-06 18:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.32%EV -2.58%E -0.645%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.65%EV -2.71%E -1.36%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.03%EV -2.79%E -0.776%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-07-06 18:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.32%EV -2.58%E -0.645%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.65%EV -2.71%E -1.36%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.03%EV -2.79%E -0.776%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-07-06 18:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.32%EV -2.58%E -0.645%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.65%EV -2.71%E -1.36%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.03%EV -2.79%E -0.776%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-07-06 18:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.02%EV -2.58%E -0.645%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.28%EV -5.14%E -2.64%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.69%EV -2.79%E -0.776%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-06 18:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.87%EV -2.58%E -0.645%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.46%EV -4.17%E -2.12%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -6.85%E -1.98%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-06 18:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -2.58%E -0.645%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.91%EV -5.14%E -2.64%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV -5.50%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-06 16:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -2.58%E -0.645%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -5.14%E -2.64%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -8.20%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-06 18:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -2.58%E -0.645%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -7.09%E -3.71%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.50%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-06 18:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -2.58%E -0.645%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.56%EV -7.58%E -3.99%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -5.50%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-06 06:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.34%EV -3.80%E -0.962%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -3.69%E -1.86%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.09%EV -4.15%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-06 18:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.95%EV -3.80%E -0.962%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.02%EV -6.12%E -3.17%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.03%EV -5.50%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-06 18:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.95%EV -3.80%E -0.962%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.02%EV -6.12%E -3.17%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.03%EV -5.50%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-06 18:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.76%EV -5.02%E -1.29%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.78%EV -3.69%E -1.86%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.46%EV -1.44%E -0.396%K -0.545%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-06 18:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.52%EV -5.02%E -1.29%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.29%EV -5.63%E -2.90%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.20%EV -1.44%E -0.396%K -0.545%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-06 18:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.51%EV -5.02%E -1.29%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.79%EV -2.71%E -1.36%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.70%EV -6.85%E -1.98%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-06 18:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.49%EV -5.02%E -1.29%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.23%EV -3.69%E -1.86%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.28%EV -5.50%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-06 18:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.43%EV -5.02%E -1.29%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.36%EV -4.17%E -2.12%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22%EV -5.50%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-06 18:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.43%EV -5.02%E -1.29%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.36%EV -4.17%E -2.12%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22%EV -5.50%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-06 18:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.40%EV -5.02%E -1.29%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.80%EV -5.14%E -2.64%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.15%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-06 18:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -5.02%E -1.29%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.61%EV -5.14%E -2.64%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.50%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-06 18:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -5.02%E -1.29%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.61%EV -5.14%E -2.64%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.50%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-06 18:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -5.02%E -1.29%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.61%EV -5.14%E -2.64%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.50%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-06 18:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -5.02%E -1.29%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.74%EV -5.63%E -2.90%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -5.50%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-06 18:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.14%EV -5.26%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.69%EV -8.06%E -4.27%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.16%EV -3.06%E -0.854%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-06 18:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.03%EV -6.23%E -1.62%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.19%EV -2.71%E -1.36%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.77%EV -2.79%E -0.776%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-06 18:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.67%EV -6.23%E -1.62%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.63%E -2.90%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -2.79%E -0.776%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 18:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%EV -6.23%E -1.62%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.46%EV -5.14%E -2.64%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -5.50%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-06 18:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.39%EV -6.23%E -1.62%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -5.63%E -2.90%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -6.85%E -1.98%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-06 18:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.58%EV -7.45%E -1.96%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.42%EV -0.280%E -0.137%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.00%EV -2.79%E -0.776%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-06 18:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.58%EV -7.45%E -1.96%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.42%EV -0.280%E -0.137%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.00%EV -2.79%E -0.776%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-06 18:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.19%EV -7.45%E -1.96%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.85%EV -2.71%E -1.36%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.96%EV -4.15%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-06 18:54 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.85%EV -7.45%E -1.96%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.92%EV -6.12%E -3.17%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -2.79%E -0.776%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-06 18:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -7.45%E -1.96%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -5.14%E -2.64%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -5.50%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-06 18:45 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -7.45%E -1.96%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.02%EV -4.66%E -2.38%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.20%EV -6.58%E -1.90%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-06 18:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -7.45%E -1.96%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -5.14%E -2.64%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -8.20%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-06 18:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -7.45%E -1.96%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -7.09%E -3.71%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -5.50%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-06 18:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -7.45%E -1.96%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.31%EV -6.60%E -3.44%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -8.20%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-06 18:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -7.45%E -1.96%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.31%EV -6.60%E -3.44%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -8.20%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-06 18:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -7.45%E -1.96%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.31%EV -6.60%E -3.44%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -8.20%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-06 18:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -7.45%E -1.96%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -7.09%E -3.71%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -8.20%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-06 18:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.80%EV -8.43%E -2.24%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.10%EV +0.206%E +0.100%K +0.195%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 27.10%EV -3.33%E -0.932%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-06 18:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.39%EV -8.43%E -2.24%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.49%EV -2.23%E -1.11%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.12%EV -4.96%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-06 18:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -8.67%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -2.71%E -1.36%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -5.50%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-06 18:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -8.67%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -5.14%E -2.64%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -5.50%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-06 18:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -8.67%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -5.14%E -2.64%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -5.50%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-06 18:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -9.89%E -2.67%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -2.71%E -1.36%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -5.50%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-06 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -9.89%E -2.67%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -2.71%E -1.36%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.20%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-06 18:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -9.89%E -2.67%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.46%EV -9.04%E -4.83%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -9.55%E -2.85%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-06 18:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.65%EV -11.10%E -3.04%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -2.71%E -1.36%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -8.20%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-06 18:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -12.32%E -3.42%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -2.71%E -1.36%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.50%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-06 18:45 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -12.32%E -3.42%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -2.71%E -1.36%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.50%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-06 18:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -12.32%E -3.42%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -2.71%E -1.36%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.20%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-06 18:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -13.54%E -3.81%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -3.69%E -1.86%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -6.85%E -1.98%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-06 18:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -14.76%E -4.22%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -2.71%E -1.36%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.50%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-06 18:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -17.19%E -5.06%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -5.14%E -2.64%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.20%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-06 18:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -17.19%E -5.06%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -5.14%E -2.64%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.20%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-06 18:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -17.19%E -5.06%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -5.14%E -2.64%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.20%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-06 18:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.67% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.72% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61% | 0.6% | 2026-07-06 18:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.67% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.72% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61% | 0.6% | 2026-07-06 18:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.67% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.72% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61% | 0.6% | 2026-07-06 18:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.97% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.48% | 1.1% | 2026-07-06 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.97% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.48% | 1.1% | 2026-07-06 18:55 |
| Polymarket◎ | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.02% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.46% | 2.0% | 2026-07-06 18:05 |
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