The School of Odds

Norway v England

2026-07-11 21:00 — FIFA World Cup

Head to Head

61 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Option 1: Norway (Local)

3.5028.57%Min
3.8426.03%Mean
3.8026.32%Median
4.2023.81%Max
23.16%4.317Min
26.87%3.722Max
24.82%4.030Mean
24.80%4.031Median
24.75%4.040IQM
24.75%4.041Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 4.20 under the IQM model: 24.75%

EV +3.96%Edge +0.942%Kelly +1.24%Growth +0.049%

Option 2: England (Visit)

1.8753.48%Min
1.9551.17%Mean
1.9551.28%Median
2.0349.26%Max
46.67%2.143Min
49.80%2.008Max
48.54%2.060Mean
48.60%2.058Median
48.64%2.056IQM
48.60%2.058Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.03 under the IQM model: 48.64%

EV -1.25%Edge -0.616%Kelly -1.21%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

3.3030.30%Min
3.4928.64%Mean
3.5028.57%Median
3.7126.95%Max
25.48%3.925Min
28.36%3.526Max
26.65%3.753Mean
26.60%3.760Median
26.60%3.759IQM
26.65%3.752Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.71 under the IQM model: 26.60%

EV -1.30%Edge -0.351%Kelly -0.481%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)

BookmakerNorway (Local) ▼England (Visit)DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)4.20I 23.81% NM 23.16%EV +3.96% E +0.942% K +1.24% G +0.049%2.00I 50.00% NM 48.64%EV -2.71% E -1.36% K -2.71% G +0.000%3.45I 28.99% NM 28.20%EV -8.22% E -2.38% K -3.35% G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-06 08:30
Unibet (NL)4.20I 23.81% NM 23.16%EV +3.96% E +0.942% K +1.24% G +0.049%2.00I 50.00% NM 48.64%EV -2.71% E -1.36% K -2.71% G +0.000%3.45I 28.99% NM 28.20%EV -8.22% E -2.38% K -3.35% G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-06 08:30
ATG (SE)4.20I 23.81% NM 23.16%EV +3.96% E +0.942% K +1.24% G +0.049%2.00I 50.00% NM 48.64%EV -2.71% E -1.36% K -2.71% G +0.000%3.45I 28.99% NM 28.20%EV -8.22% E -2.38% K -3.35% G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-06 08:30
Svenska Spel4.20I 23.81% NM 23.16%EV +3.96% E +0.942% K +1.24% G +0.049%2.00I 50.00% NM 48.64%EV -2.71% E -1.36% K -2.71% G +0.000%3.45I 28.99% NM 28.20%EV -8.22% E -2.38% K -3.35% G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-06 08:30
Grosvenor4.10I 24.39% NM 23.17%EV +1.48% E +0.362% K +0.478% G +0.007%1.96I 51.02% NM 48.47%EV -4.66% E -2.38% K -4.85% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 28.36%EV -10.88% E -3.25% K -4.63% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 08:29
Casumo4.10I 24.39% NM 23.17%EV +1.48% E +0.362% K +0.478% G +0.007%1.96I 51.02% NM 48.47%EV -4.66% E -2.38% K -4.85% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 28.36%EV -10.88% E -3.25% K -4.63% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 08:30
BetRivers4.10I 24.39% NM 23.17%EV +1.48% E +0.362% K +0.478% G +0.007%1.96I 51.02% NM 48.47%EV -4.66% E -2.38% K -4.85% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 28.36%EV -10.88% E -3.25% K -4.63% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 08:30
LeoVegas (SE)4.10I 24.39% NM 23.17%EV +1.48% E +0.362% K +0.478% G +0.007%1.96I 51.02% NM 48.47%EV -4.66% E -2.38% K -4.85% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 28.36%EV -10.88% E -3.25% K -4.63% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 08:30
betPARX4.10I 24.39% NM 23.17%EV +1.48% E +0.362% K +0.478% G +0.007%1.96I 51.02% NM 48.47%EV -4.66% E -2.38% K -4.85% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 28.36%EV -10.88% E -3.25% K -4.63% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 08:29
Bally Bet4.10I 24.39% NM 23.17%EV +1.48% E +0.362% K +0.478% G +0.007%1.96I 51.02% NM 48.47%EV -4.66% E -2.38% K -4.85% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 28.36%EV -10.88% E -3.25% K -4.63% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 08:29
1xBet4.06I 24.63% NM 24.25%EV +0.493% E +0.121% K +0.161% G +0.001%2.00I 50.00% NM 49.22%EV -2.71% E -1.36% K -2.71% G +0.000%3.71I 26.95% NM 26.53%EV -1.30% E -0.351% K -0.481% G +0.000%1.6%2026-07-06 08:34
Pinnacle4.05I 24.69% NM 23.85%EV +0.246% E +0.061% K +0.081% G +0.000%1.95I 51.28% NM 49.54%EV -5.14% E -2.64% K -5.41% G +0.000%3.63I 27.55% NM 26.61%EV -3.43% E -0.945% K -1.30% G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-06 08:10
Everygame4.00I 25.00% NM 23.78%EV -0.992% E -0.248% K -0.331% G +0.000%1.91I 52.36% NM 49.80%EV -7.09% E -3.71% K -7.79% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 26.42%EV -4.23% E -1.17% K -1.63% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-06 06:10
Hard Rock Bet4.00I 25.00% NM 23.65%EV -0.992% E -0.248% K -0.331% G +0.000%1.95I 51.28% NM 48.52%EV -5.14% E -2.64% K -5.41% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.83%EV -9.55% E -2.81% K -3.98% G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-06 08:29
Unibet4.00I 25.00% NM 23.61%EV -0.992% E -0.248% K -0.331% G +0.000%1.96I 51.02% NM 48.19%EV -4.66% E -2.38% K -4.85% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 28.20%EV -10.88% E -3.25% K -4.63% G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-06 08:29
Virgin Bet3.95I 25.32% NM 23.62%EV -2.23% E -0.564% K -0.756% G +0.000%1.94I 51.55% NM 48.10%EV -5.63% E -2.90% K -5.99% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 28.28%EV -12.21% E -3.70% K -5.31% G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-06 08:29
LiveScore Bet3.95I 25.32% NM 23.62%EV -2.23% E -0.564% K -0.756% G +0.000%1.94I 51.55% NM 48.10%EV -5.63% E -2.90% K -5.99% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 28.28%EV -12.21% E -3.70% K -5.31% G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-06 08:30
TABtouch3.95I 25.32% NM 23.56%EV -2.23% E -0.564% K -0.756% G +0.000%1.93I 51.81% NM 48.23%EV -6.12% E -3.17% K -6.58% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 28.21%EV -12.21% E -3.70% K -5.31% G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-06 08:30
PMU (FR)3.95I 25.32% NM 23.56%EV -2.23% E -0.564% K -0.756% G +0.000%1.93I 51.81% NM 48.23%EV -6.12% E -3.17% K -6.58% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 28.21%EV -12.21% E -3.70% K -5.31% G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-06 08:29
BetOnline.ag3.94I 25.38% NM 24.51%EV -2.48% E -0.629% K -0.843% G +0.000%1.97I 50.76% NM 49.03%EV -4.17% E -2.12% K -4.30% G +0.000%3.65I 27.40% NM 26.46%EV -2.90% E -0.794% K -1.09% G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-06 04:35
Marathon Bet3.94I 25.38% NM 24.24%EV -2.48% E -0.629% K -0.843% G +0.000%1.94I 51.55% NM 49.23%EV -5.63% E -2.90% K -5.99% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 26.53%EV -4.23% E -1.17% K -1.63% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-06 08:29
Coolbet3.90I 25.64% NM 25.10%EV -3.47% E -0.889% K -1.20% G +0.000%2.02I 49.50% NM 48.45%EV -1.74% E -0.860% K -1.70% G +0.000%3.70I 27.03% NM 26.45%EV -1.57% E -0.424% K -0.581% G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-06 07:10
NordicBet3.90I 25.64% NM 24.88%EV -3.47% E -0.889% K -1.20% G +0.000%2.00I 50.00% NM 48.53%EV -2.71% E -1.36% K -2.71% G +0.000%3.65I 27.40% NM 26.59%EV -2.90% E -0.794% K -1.09% G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-06 08:30
Betsson3.90I 25.64% NM 24.88%EV -3.47% E -0.889% K -1.20% G +0.000%2.00I 50.00% NM 48.53%EV -2.71% E -1.36% K -2.71% G +0.000%3.65I 27.40% NM 26.59%EV -2.90% E -0.794% K -1.09% G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-06 08:30
Tipico (DE)3.90I 25.64% NM 24.37%EV -3.47% E -0.889% K -1.20% G +0.000%1.93I 51.81% NM 49.24%EV -6.12% E -3.17% K -6.58% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 26.40%EV -4.23% E -1.17% K -1.63% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-06 08:15
Unibet (FR)3.85I 25.97% NM 24.73%EV -4.70% E -1.22% K -1.65% G +0.000%1.95I 51.28% NM 48.82%EV -5.14% E -2.64% K -5.41% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 26.45%EV -4.23% E -1.17% K -1.63% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-06 04:40
Codere (IT)3.80I 26.32% NM 25.09%EV -5.94% E -1.56% K -2.12% G +0.000%2.00I 50.00% NM 47.67%EV -2.71% E -1.36% K -2.71% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 27.24%EV -6.89% E -1.97% K -2.76% G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-06 06:35
Winamax (DE)3.80I 26.32% NM 25.00%EV -5.94% E -1.56% K -2.12% G +0.000%1.94I 51.55% NM 48.97%EV -5.63% E -2.90% K -5.99% G +0.000%3.65I 27.40% NM 26.03%EV -2.90% E -0.794% K -1.09% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 06:35
Bovada3.80I 26.32% NM 24.97%EV -5.94% E -1.56% K -2.12% G +0.000%1.95I 51.28% NM 48.67%EV -5.14% E -2.64% K -5.41% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 26.36%EV -4.23% E -1.17% K -1.63% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-06 08:30
DraftKings3.80I 26.32% NM 24.88%EV -5.94% E -1.56% K -2.12% G +0.000%1.95I 51.28% NM 48.49%EV -5.14% E -2.64% K -5.41% G +0.000%3.55I 28.17% NM 26.63%EV -5.56% E -1.57% K -2.18% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-06 06:09
Bet Victor3.80I 26.32% NM 24.66%EV -5.94% E -1.56% K -2.12% G +0.000%1.93I 51.81% NM 48.56%EV -6.12% E -3.17% K -6.58% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 26.78%EV -6.89% E -1.97% K -2.76% G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-06 08:09
PointsBet (AU)3.80I 26.32% NM 24.48%EV -5.94% E -1.56% K -2.12% G +0.000%1.90I 52.63% NM 48.95%EV -7.57% E -3.99% K -8.42% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 26.57%EV -6.89% E -1.97% K -2.76% G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-06 04:10
Betway3.80I 26.32% NM 24.35%EV -5.94% E -1.56% K -2.12% G +0.000%1.88I 53.19% NM 49.22%EV -8.55% E -4.55% K -9.71% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 26.44%EV -6.89% E -1.97% K -2.76% G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-06 06:10
TAB3.80I 26.32% NM 24.29%EV -5.94% E -1.56% K -2.12% G +0.000%1.90I 52.63% NM 48.57%EV -7.57% E -3.99% K -8.42% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.14%EV -9.55% E -2.81% K -3.98% G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-06 08:35
betfred_uk3.75I 26.67% NM 25.34%EV -7.18% E -1.91% K -2.61% G +0.000%2.00I 50.00% NM 47.51%EV -2.71% E -1.36% K -2.71% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 27.15%EV -6.89% E -1.97% K -2.76% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-06 07:39
MyBookie.ag3.75I 26.67% NM 25.18%EV -7.18% E -1.91% K -2.61% G +0.000%1.98I 50.51% NM 47.69%EV -3.68% E -1.86% K -3.76% G +0.000%3.48I 28.74% NM 27.13%EV -7.42% E -2.13% K -2.99% G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-06 04:39
Winamax (FR)3.75I 26.67% NM 25.03%EV -7.18% E -1.91% K -2.61% G +0.000%1.92I 52.08% NM 48.89%EV -6.60% E -3.44% K -7.18% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 26.08%EV -4.23% E -1.17% K -1.63% G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-06 06:34
Unibet (UK)3.75I 26.67% NM 24.84%EV -7.18% E -1.91% K -2.61% G +0.000%1.95I 51.28% NM 47.77%EV -5.14% E -2.64% K -5.41% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.40%EV -9.55% E -2.81% K -3.98% G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-06 04:40
William Hill3.75I 26.67% NM 24.84%EV -7.18% E -1.91% K -2.61% G +0.000%1.95I 51.28% NM 47.77%EV -5.14% E -2.64% K -5.41% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.40%EV -9.55% E -2.81% K -3.98% G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-06 06:25
BoyleSports3.75I 26.67% NM 24.78%EV -7.18% E -1.91% K -2.61% G +0.000%1.91I 52.36% NM 48.66%EV -7.09% E -3.71% K -7.79% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 26.55%EV -6.89% E -1.97% K -2.76% G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-06 06:20
PlayUp3.75I 26.67% NM 24.65%EV -7.18% E -1.91% K -2.61% G +0.000%1.92I 52.08% NM 48.15%EV -6.60% E -3.44% K -7.18% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.19%EV -9.55% E -2.81% K -3.98% G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-06 08:35
Dabble (AU)3.75I 26.67% NM 24.65%EV -7.18% E -1.91% K -2.61% G +0.000%1.92I 52.08% NM 48.15%EV -6.60% E -3.44% K -7.18% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.19%EV -9.55% E -2.81% K -3.98% G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-06 08:35
NetBet (FR)3.75I 26.67% NM 24.63%EV -7.18% E -1.91% K -2.61% G +0.000%1.90I 52.63% NM 48.61%EV -7.57% E -3.99% K -8.42% G +0.000%3.45I 28.99% NM 26.77%EV -8.22% E -2.38% K -3.35% G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-06 08:00
GTbets3.73I 26.81% NM 25.64%EV -7.68% E -2.06% K -2.81% G +0.000%2.03I 49.26% NM 47.11%EV -1.25% E -0.616% K -1.21% G +0.000%3.51I 28.49% NM 27.25%EV -6.62% E -1.89% K -2.64% G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-06 06:20
LeoVegas3.72I 26.88% NM 25.19%EV -7.92% E -2.13% K -2.91% G +0.000%1.95I 51.28% NM 48.05%EV -5.14% E -2.64% K -5.41% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 26.77%EV -6.89% E -1.97% K -2.76% G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-06 06:30
Betr (AU)3.70I 27.03% NM 25.59%EV -8.42% E -2.28% K -3.12% G +0.000%2.00I 50.00% NM 47.35%EV -2.71% E -1.36% K -2.71% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 27.06%EV -6.89% E -1.97% K -2.76% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-06 04:10
theScore Bet3.70I 27.03% NM 25.48%EV -8.42% E -2.28% K -3.12% G +0.000%1.95I 51.28% NM 48.34%EV -5.14% E -2.64% K -5.41% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 26.18%EV -4.23% E -1.17% K -1.63% G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-06 07:40
ReBet3.70I 27.03% NM 25.29%EV -8.42% E -2.28% K -3.12% G +0.000%1.97I 50.76% NM 47.50%EV -4.17% E -2.12% K -4.30% G +0.000%3.44I 29.07% NM 27.20%EV -8.49% E -2.47% K -3.48% G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-06 04:40
888sport3.70I 27.03% NM 24.84%EV -8.42% E -2.28% K -3.12% G +0.000%1.91I 52.36% NM 48.12%EV -7.09% E -3.71% K -7.79% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.03%EV -9.55% E -2.81% K -3.98% G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-06 06:25
Mr Green (SE)3.70I 27.03% NM 24.84%EV -8.42% E -2.28% K -3.12% G +0.000%1.91I 52.36% NM 48.12%EV -7.09% E -3.71% K -7.79% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.03%EV -9.55% E -2.81% K -3.98% G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-06 06:24
888sport (SE)3.70I 27.03% NM 24.84%EV -8.42% E -2.28% K -3.12% G +0.000%1.91I 52.36% NM 48.12%EV -7.09% E -3.71% K -7.79% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.03%EV -9.55% E -2.81% K -3.98% G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-06 06:25
SportsBet3.60I 27.78% NM 26.50%EV -10.89% E -3.03% K -4.19% G +0.000%2.00I 50.00% NM 47.71%EV -2.71% E -1.36% K -2.71% G +0.000%3.70I 27.03% NM 25.79%EV -1.57% E -0.424% K -0.581% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-06 03:44
Coral3.60I 27.78% NM 26.32%EV -10.89% E -3.03% K -4.19% G +0.000%2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -2.71% E -1.36% K -2.71% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 26.32%EV -4.23% E -1.17% K -1.63% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-06 05:20
FanDuel3.60I 27.78% NM 26.18%EV -10.89% E -3.03% K -4.19% G +0.000%1.95I 51.28% NM 48.34%EV -5.14% E -2.64% K -5.41% G +0.000%3.70I 27.03% NM 25.48%EV -1.57% E -0.424% K -0.581% G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-06 03:44
Fanatics3.60I 27.78% NM 26.00%EV -10.89% E -3.03% K -4.19% G +0.000%1.95I 51.28% NM 48.00%EV -5.14% E -2.64% K -5.41% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 26.00%EV -4.23% E -1.17% K -1.63% G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-06 03:30
Bet Right3.60I 27.78% NM 25.87%EV -10.89% E -3.03% K -4.19% G +0.000%1.96I 51.02% NM 47.52%EV -4.66% E -2.38% K -4.85% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 26.61%EV -6.89% E -1.97% K -2.76% G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-06 07:39
Fliff3.60I 27.78% NM 25.10%EV -10.89% E -3.03% K -4.19% G +0.000%1.87I 53.48% NM 48.32%EV -9.03% E -4.83% K -10.38% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 26.58%EV -9.55% E -2.81% K -3.98% G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-06 08:30
Ladbrokes (UK)3.50I 28.57% NM 26.87%EV -13.37% E -3.82% K -5.35% G +0.000%2.00I 50.00% NM 47.01%EV -2.71% E -1.36% K -2.71% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 26.12%EV -4.23% E -1.17% K -1.63% G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-06 05:15
BetMGM3.50I 28.57% NM 26.67%EV -13.37% E -3.82% K -5.35% G +0.000%2.00I 50.00% NM 46.67%EV -2.71% E -1.36% K -2.71% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 26.67%EV -6.89% E -1.97% K -2.76% G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-06 05:20
Paddy Power3.50I 28.57% NM 26.55%EV -13.37% E -3.82% K -5.35% G +0.000%1.95I 51.28% NM 47.65%EV -5.14% E -2.64% K -5.41% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.81%EV -4.23% E -1.17% K -1.63% G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-06 03:43
Sky Bet3.50I 28.57% NM 26.55%EV -13.37% E -3.82% K -5.35% G +0.000%1.95I 51.28% NM 47.65%EV -5.14% E -2.64% K -5.41% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.81%EV -4.23% E -1.17% K -1.63% G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-06 03:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerNorway (Local)England (Visit)DrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook4.20I 23.81%2.02I 49.50%3.65I 27.40%0.7%2026-07-06 08:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.20I 23.81%2.00I 50.00%3.65I 27.40%1.2%2026-07-06 08:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.10I 24.39%2.02I 49.50%3.65I 27.40%1.3%2026-07-06 08:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.10I 24.39%2.02I 49.50%3.65I 27.40%1.3%2026-07-06 08:35
Smarkets4.10I 24.39%2.00I 50.00%3.65I 27.40%1.8%2026-07-06 08:35