Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Germany v Paraguay

Kickoff: 2026-06-29 20:30 UTC

Final: Germany 1–1 Paraguay

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

66 sportsbooks (23 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Germany (Local)

Prediction 71.72%1.39fair odd
EV -1.03%
Edge -0.749%
Kelly -2.72%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.18%71.62%71.77%74.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.321.331.3880.00%75.50%75.47%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Paraguay (Visit)

Prediction 9.96%10.04fair odd
EV +19.57%
Edge +1.63%
Kelly +1.78%
Growth +0.348%

assuming max odds 12.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.10%9.92%9.89%11.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.009.659.5012.0012.50%10.37%10.53%8.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 18.32%5.46fair odd
EV +0.765%
Edge +0.139%
Kelly +0.170%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 5.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.46%18.46%18.34%20.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.205.135.205.5023.81%19.50%19.23%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Germany (Local): 71.72%; Paraguay (Visit): 9.96%; Draw: 18.32%. For Paraguay (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 10.04. 15 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 12.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +19.57%.

Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (FR)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 74.22%EV -6.05%E -4.62%K -19.53%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.10%EV +19.57%E +1.63%K +1.78%G +0.348%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.68%EV +0.765%E +0.139%K +0.170%G +0.001%2.9%2026-06-29 20:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 73.45%EV -5.34%E -4.04%K -16.68%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.43%EV +14.59%E +1.27%K +1.39%G +0.203%5.35I 18.69%NM 18.12%EV -1.98%E -0.371%K -0.456%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-29 20:10
Pinnacle🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 72.75%EV -3.90%E -2.91%K -11.48%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.86%EV +9.60%E +0.873%K +0.960%G +0.092%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.39%EV -2.90%E -0.547%K -0.674%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-29 20:00
BetAnything🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.37%EV -4.62%E -3.47%K -14.00%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.75%EV +9.60%E +0.873%K +0.960%G +0.092%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.87%EV -6.56%E -1.29%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-29 20:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.92%EV -5.34%E -4.04%K -16.68%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.75%EV +9.60%E +0.873%K +0.960%G +0.092%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.33%EV -3.81%E -0.727%K -0.898%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-29 20:20
FanDuel🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.68%EV -6.05%E -4.62%K -19.53%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.66%EV +9.60%E +0.873%K +0.960%G +0.092%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.67%EV -6.56%E -1.29%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 20:20
TAB🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.56%EV -6.77%E -5.21%K -22.57%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.58%EV +9.60%E +0.873%K +0.960%G +0.092%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.87%EV -8.40%E -1.68%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 19:21
BetUS🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.95%EV -5.34%E -4.04%K -16.68%G +0.000%10.85I 9.22%NM 8.88%EV +8.11%E +0.747%K +0.823%G +0.067%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.17%EV -2.90%E -0.547%K -0.674%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-29 20:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 72.54%EV -3.18%E -2.36%K -9.10%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.33%EV +4.62%E +0.440%K +0.486%G +0.022%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.13%EV -1.07%E -0.198%K -0.242%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-29 20:10
Coolbet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 72.42%EV -3.18%E -2.36%K -9.10%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.31%EV +4.62%E +0.440%K +0.486%G +0.022%5.35I 18.69%NM 18.27%EV -1.98%E -0.371%K -0.456%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-29 19:51
PMU (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.84%EV -4.62%E -3.47%K -14.00%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.23%EV +4.62%E +0.440%K +0.486%G +0.022%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.94%EV -1.07%E -0.198%K -0.242%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-29 20:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.84%EV -4.62%E -3.47%K -14.00%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.23%EV +4.62%E +0.440%K +0.486%G +0.022%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.94%EV -1.07%E -0.198%K -0.242%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-29 20:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.84%EV -4.62%E -3.47%K -14.00%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.23%EV +4.62%E +0.440%K +0.486%G +0.022%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.94%EV -1.07%E -0.198%K -0.242%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-29 20:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.84%EV -4.62%E -3.47%K -14.00%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.23%EV +4.62%E +0.440%K +0.486%G +0.022%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.94%EV -1.07%E -0.198%K -0.242%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-29 20:10
SportsBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.38%EV -6.05%E -4.62%K -19.53%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.03%EV +4.62%E +0.440%K +0.486%G +0.022%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.59%EV -6.56%E -1.29%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 19:41
DraftKings🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.13%EV -4.62%E -3.47%K -14.00%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.59%EV -0.361%E -0.036%K -0.040%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.27%EV -3.81%E -0.727%K -0.898%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 19:50
theScore Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.41%EV -5.34%E -4.04%K -16.68%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.56%EV -0.361%E -0.036%K -0.040%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.03%EV -2.90%E -0.547%K -0.674%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-29 20:10
LeoVegas🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.28%EV -5.34%E -4.04%K -16.68%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.54%EV -0.361%E -0.036%K -0.040%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.17%EV -3.81%E -0.727%K -0.898%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 20:00
Casumo🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.28%EV -5.34%E -4.04%K -16.68%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.54%EV -0.361%E -0.036%K -0.040%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.17%EV -3.81%E -0.727%K -0.898%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 20:00
BetRivers🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.28%EV -5.34%E -4.04%K -16.68%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.54%EV -0.361%E -0.036%K -0.040%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.17%EV -3.81%E -0.727%K -0.898%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 20:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.28%EV -5.34%E -4.04%K -16.68%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.54%EV -0.361%E -0.036%K -0.040%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.17%EV -3.81%E -0.727%K -0.898%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 20:00
Bally Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.28%EV -5.34%E -4.04%K -16.68%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.54%EV -0.361%E -0.036%K -0.040%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.17%EV -3.81%E -0.727%K -0.898%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 20:00
betPARX🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.28%EV -5.34%E -4.04%K -16.68%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.54%EV -0.361%E -0.036%K -0.040%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.17%EV -3.81%E -0.727%K -0.898%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 20:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.16%EV -5.34%E -4.04%K -16.68%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.52%EV -0.361%E -0.036%K -0.040%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.32%EV -4.73%E -0.910%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 20:00
Everygame🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.48%EV -4.62%E -3.47%K -14.00%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.51%EV -0.361%E -0.036%K -0.040%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -8.40%E -1.68%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 19:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.44%EV -6.05%E -4.62%K -19.53%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -0.361%E -0.036%K -0.040%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.07%EV -3.81%E -0.727%K -0.898%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 20:00
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.94%EV -6.77%E -5.21%K -22.57%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV -0.361%E -0.036%K -0.040%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -8.40%E -1.68%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-29 19:40
Sky Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.94%EV -6.77%E -5.21%K -22.57%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV -0.361%E -0.036%K -0.040%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -8.40%E -1.68%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-29 19:40
NordicBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.91%EV -3.90%E -2.91%K -11.48%G +0.000%9.90I 10.10%NM 9.73%EV -1.36%E -0.137%K -0.152%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.35%EV -3.81%E -0.727%K -0.898%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-29 20:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.98%EV -5.34%E -4.04%K -16.68%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.75%EV -2.85%E -0.292%K -0.326%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.27%EV -4.73%E -0.910%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 20:10
1xBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.15%EV -2.47%E -1.81%K -6.85%G +0.000%9.73I 10.28%NM 9.95%EV -3.05%E -0.314%K -0.349%G +0.000%5.12I 19.53%NM 18.90%EV -6.20%E -1.21%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-29 20:20
Bovada🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.39%EV -2.47%E -1.81%K -6.85%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.08%EV -5.34%E -0.562%K -0.629%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -10.23%E -2.09%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-29 20:20
Unibet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.80%EV -5.34%E -4.04%K -16.68%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.98%EV -5.34%E -0.562%K -0.629%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.23%EV -4.73%E -0.910%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 20:00
Bet Victor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.57%EV -4.62%E -3.47%K -14.00%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -5.34%E -0.562%K -0.629%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -12.06%E -2.51%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 20:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.85%EV -6.77%E -5.21%K -22.57%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -5.34%E -0.562%K -0.629%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.32%EV -6.56%E -1.29%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-29 20:00
TABtouch🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.85%EV -6.77%E -5.21%K -22.57%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -5.34%E -0.562%K -0.629%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.32%EV -6.56%E -1.29%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-29 20:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.85%EV -6.77%E -5.21%K -22.57%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -5.34%E -0.562%K -0.629%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.32%EV -6.56%E -1.29%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-29 20:00
BoyleSports🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.59%EV -6.77%E -5.21%K -22.57%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -5.34%E -0.562%K -0.629%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -8.40%E -1.68%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-29 19:11
MyBookie.ag🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -6.77%E -5.21%K -22.57%G +0.000%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.03%EV -6.34%E -0.674%K -0.755%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.46%EV -1.07%E -0.198%K -0.242%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 20:20
Fanatics🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.88%EV -6.05%E -4.62%K -19.53%G +0.000%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.02%EV -6.34%E -0.674%K -0.755%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -4.73%E -0.910%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 19:10
GTbets🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.74%EV -3.18%E -2.36%K -9.10%G +0.000%9.36I 10.68%NM 10.20%EV -6.74%E -0.720%K -0.806%G +0.000%5.01I 19.96%NM 19.06%EV -8.21%E -1.64%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 20:20
Betsson🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.31%EV -3.18%E -2.36%K -9.10%G +0.000%9.30I 10.75%NM 10.35%EV -7.34%E -0.789%K -0.884%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.34%EV -3.81%E -0.727%K -0.898%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-29 20:10
ReBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.59%EV -3.90%E -2.91%K -11.48%G +0.000%9.30I 10.75%NM 10.31%EV -7.34%E -0.789%K -0.884%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.10%EV -2.90%E -0.547%K -0.674%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 20:10
Codere (IT)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.26%EV -3.90%E -2.91%K -11.48%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.38%EV -8.33%E -0.906%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.36%EV -4.73%E -0.910%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 20:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.34%EV -3.90%E -2.91%K -11.48%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.62%EV -10.32%E -1.15%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.04%EV -2.90%E -0.547%K -0.674%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-29 20:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.22%EV -3.90%E -2.91%K -11.48%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.60%EV -10.32%E -1.15%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.18%EV -3.81%E -0.727%K -0.898%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 20:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.49%EV -4.62%E -3.47%K -14.00%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.57%EV -10.32%E -1.15%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.94%EV -2.90%E -0.547%K -0.674%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 20:10
Caesars🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.31%EV -3.90%E -2.91%K -11.48%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.47%EV -10.32%E -1.15%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV -10.23%E -2.09%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 20:01
Grosvenor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.73%EV -4.62%E -3.47%K -14.00%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -10.32%E -1.15%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -8.40%E -1.68%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 20:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.68%EV -6.05%E -4.62%K -19.53%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV -10.32%E -1.15%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.89%EV -3.81%E -0.727%K -0.898%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-28 14:40
William Hill🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.18%EV -4.62%E -3.47%K -14.00%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.37%EV -10.32%E -1.15%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.45%EV -12.06%E -2.51%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-29 19:50
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.20%EV -6.77%E -5.21%K -22.57%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -10.32%E -1.15%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -8.40%E -1.68%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-29 20:10
betfred_uk🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.20%EV -6.77%E -5.21%K -22.57%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -10.32%E -1.15%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -8.40%E -1.68%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-29 19:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 69.61%EV -10.36%E -8.28%K -41.42%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.67%EV -10.32%E -1.15%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.72%EV -23.05%E -5.49%K -7.20%G +0.000%14.9%2026-06-29 19:40
Fliff🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.11%EV -7.49%E -5.80%K -25.82%G +0.000%8.85I 11.30%NM 10.36%EV -11.82%E -1.34%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.53%EV -9.31%E -1.88%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-29 20:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.41%EV -5.34%E -4.04%K -16.68%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.62%EV -12.82%E -1.46%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.97%EV -10.23%E -2.09%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-29 19:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.59%EV -1.03%E -0.749%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.70I 11.49%NM 11.20%EV -13.31%E -1.53%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 18.21%EV -1.98%E -0.371%K -0.456%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-29 20:10
Coral🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.62%EV -3.18%E -2.36%K -9.10%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.22%EV -15.31%E -1.80%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.16%EV -3.81%E -0.727%K -0.898%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-29 19:10
Dabble (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.99%EV -3.18%E -2.36%K -9.10%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.12%EV -15.31%E -1.80%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -8.40%E -1.68%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 20:10
PlayUp🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -4.62%E -3.47%K -14.00%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -15.31%E -1.80%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -8.40%E -1.68%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 20:10
Bet Right🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.46%EV -5.34%E -4.04%K -16.68%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.94%EV -15.31%E -1.80%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -8.40%E -1.68%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-29 19:10
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.18%EV -4.62%E -3.47%K -14.00%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -15.31%E -1.80%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -15.72%E -3.42%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-29 19:51
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.18%EV -4.62%E -3.47%K -14.00%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -15.31%E -1.80%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -15.72%E -3.42%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-29 19:51
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.18%EV -4.62%E -3.47%K -14.00%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -15.31%E -1.80%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -15.72%E -3.42%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-29 19:50
BetMGM🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.91%EV -3.90%E -2.91%K -11.48%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.35%EV -17.80%E -2.16%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -8.40%E -1.68%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 19:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.13%EV -3.18%E -2.36%K -9.10%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.83%EV -20.29%E -2.54%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.03%EV -3.81%E -0.727%K -0.898%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 19:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.85%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.32%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.83%0.2%2026-06-29 20:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.59%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.65%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.76%0.6%2026-06-29 20:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 73.00%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.27%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.73%0.7%2026-06-29 20:20
Matchbook1.36I 73.53%NM 72.99%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.63%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.38%0.7%2026-06-29 20:20
Smarkets1.36I 73.53%NM 72.73%11.49I 8.70%NM 8.61%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.66%1.1%2026-06-29 20:20
Polymarket1.35I 74.07%NM 72.56%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.82%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.62%2.1%2026-06-29 19:30