The School of Odds

France v Morocco

2026-07-09 20:00 — FIFA World Cup

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (21 in analysis)

Option 1: France (Local)

1.5166.23%Min
1.5663.94%Mean
1.5664.10%Median
1.6361.35%Max
58.68%1.704Min
62.61%1.597Max
60.48%1.653Mean
60.41%1.655Median
60.52%1.652IQM
60.58%1.651Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.63 under the IQM model: 60.52%

EV -1.36%Edge -0.832%Kelly -2.15%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Morocco (Visit)

5.5018.18%Min
6.2216.07%Mean
6.2016.13%Median
7.0014.29%Max
13.60%7.355Min
16.75%5.970Max
15.29%6.538Mean
15.31%6.531Median
15.26%6.553IQM
15.18%6.587Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 7.00 under the IQM model: 15.26%

EV +6.81%Edge +0.973%Kelly +1.14%Growth +0.077%

Option 3: Draw

3.7027.03%Min
3.9125.61%Mean
3.9025.64%Median
4.1024.39%Max
22.82%4.382Min
25.20%3.968Max
24.22%4.128Mean
24.27%4.120Median
24.22%4.128IQM
24.24%4.126Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 4.10 under the IQM model: 24.22%

EV -0.684%Edge -0.167%Kelly -0.220%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

BookmakerFrance (Local)Morocco (Visit) ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (NL)1.57I 63.69% NM 62.22%EV -4.99% E -3.18% K -8.75% G +0.000%7.00I 14.29% NM 13.95%EV +6.81% E +0.973% K +1.14% G +0.077%4.10I 24.39% NM 23.83%EV -0.684% E -0.167% K -0.220% G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-05 13:49
Unibet (SE)1.57I 63.69% NM 62.22%EV -4.99% E -3.18% K -8.75% G +0.000%7.00I 14.29% NM 13.95%EV +6.81% E +0.973% K +1.14% G +0.077%4.10I 24.39% NM 23.83%EV -0.684% E -0.167% K -0.220% G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-05 13:50
ATG (SE)1.57I 63.69% NM 62.22%EV -4.99% E -3.18% K -8.75% G +0.000%7.00I 14.29% NM 13.95%EV +6.81% E +0.973% K +1.14% G +0.077%4.10I 24.39% NM 23.83%EV -0.684% E -0.167% K -0.220% G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-05 13:50
Svenska Spel1.57I 63.69% NM 62.22%EV -4.99% E -3.18% K -8.75% G +0.000%7.00I 14.29% NM 13.95%EV +6.81% E +0.973% K +1.14% G +0.077%4.10I 24.39% NM 23.83%EV -0.684% E -0.167% K -0.220% G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-05 13:49
TAB1.52I 65.79% NM 62.61%EV -8.01% E -5.27% K -15.41% G +0.000%7.00I 14.29% NM 13.60%EV +6.81% E +0.973% K +1.14% G +0.077%4.00I 25.00% NM 23.79%EV -3.11% E -0.776% K -1.04% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 12:20
Coolbet1.59I 62.89% NM 61.42%EV -3.78% E -2.38% K -6.40% G +0.000%6.75I 14.81% NM 14.47%EV +3.00% E +0.444% K +0.522% G +0.016%4.05I 24.69% NM 24.11%EV -1.89% E -0.468% K -0.621% G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-05 07:35
BetOnline.ag1.59I 62.89% NM 60.82%EV -3.78% E -2.38% K -6.40% G +0.000%6.61I 15.13% NM 14.63%EV +0.863% E +0.131% K +0.154% G +0.001%3.94I 25.38% NM 24.55%EV -4.56% E -1.16% K -1.55% G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-05 00:30
Pinnacle1.60I 62.50% NM 60.39%EV -3.17% E -1.98% K -5.29% G +0.000%6.57I 15.22% NM 14.71%EV +0.253% E +0.038% K +0.045% G +0.000%3.88I 25.77% NM 24.90%EV -6.01% E -1.55% K -2.09% G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-05 11:20
1xBet1.63I 61.35% NM 60.37%EV -1.36% E -0.832% K -2.15% G +0.000%6.55I 15.27% NM 15.02%EV -0.053% E -0.008% K -0.009% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 24.60%EV -3.11% E -0.776% K -1.04% G +0.000%1.6%2026-07-05 10:15
Fanatics1.56I 64.10% NM 61.35%EV -5.59% E -3.59% K -9.99% G +0.000%6.50I 15.38% NM 14.72%EV -0.816% E -0.125% K -0.148% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 23.93%EV -3.11% E -0.776% K -1.04% G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 06:54
Hard Rock Bet1.56I 64.10% NM 61.35%EV -5.59% E -3.59% K -9.99% G +0.000%6.50I 15.38% NM 14.72%EV -0.816% E -0.125% K -0.148% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 23.93%EV -3.11% E -0.776% K -1.04% G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 13:50
PointsBet (AU)1.56I 64.10% NM 61.35%EV -5.59% E -3.59% K -9.99% G +0.000%6.50I 15.38% NM 14.72%EV -0.816% E -0.125% K -0.148% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 23.93%EV -3.11% E -0.776% K -1.04% G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 06:54
FanDuel1.57I 63.69% NM 60.82%EV -4.99% E -3.18% K -8.75% G +0.000%6.50I 15.38% NM 14.69%EV -0.816% E -0.125% K -0.148% G +0.000%3.90I 25.64% NM 24.49%EV -5.53% E -1.42% K -1.91% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 11:00
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52% NM 61.50%EV -6.20% E -4.00% K -11.27% G +0.000%6.50I 15.38% NM 14.67%EV -0.816% E -0.125% K -0.148% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 23.83%EV -3.11% E -0.776% K -1.04% G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 13:50
Everygame1.57I 63.69% NM 60.63%EV -4.99% E -3.18% K -8.75% G +0.000%6.50I 15.38% NM 14.64%EV -0.816% E -0.125% K -0.148% G +0.000%3.85I 25.97% NM 24.72%EV -6.74% E -1.75% K -2.36% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 10:15
Casumo1.56I 64.10% NM 60.98%EV -5.59% E -3.59% K -9.99% G +0.000%6.50I 15.38% NM 14.63%EV -0.816% E -0.125% K -0.148% G +0.000%3.90I 25.64% NM 24.39%EV -5.53% E -1.42% K -1.91% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 12:20
BetRivers1.56I 64.10% NM 60.98%EV -5.59% E -3.59% K -9.99% G +0.000%6.50I 15.38% NM 14.63%EV -0.816% E -0.125% K -0.148% G +0.000%3.90I 25.64% NM 24.39%EV -5.53% E -1.42% K -1.91% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 12:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10% NM 60.98%EV -5.59% E -3.59% K -9.99% G +0.000%6.50I 15.38% NM 14.63%EV -0.816% E -0.125% K -0.148% G +0.000%3.90I 25.64% NM 24.39%EV -5.53% E -1.42% K -1.91% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 12:20
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10% NM 60.98%EV -5.59% E -3.59% K -9.99% G +0.000%6.50I 15.38% NM 14.63%EV -0.816% E -0.125% K -0.148% G +0.000%3.90I 25.64% NM 24.39%EV -5.53% E -1.42% K -1.91% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 12:19
Bally Bet1.56I 64.10% NM 60.98%EV -5.59% E -3.59% K -9.99% G +0.000%6.50I 15.38% NM 14.63%EV -0.816% E -0.125% K -0.148% G +0.000%3.90I 25.64% NM 24.39%EV -5.53% E -1.42% K -1.91% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 12:24
betPARX1.56I 64.10% NM 60.98%EV -5.59% E -3.59% K -9.99% G +0.000%6.50I 15.38% NM 14.63%EV -0.816% E -0.125% K -0.148% G +0.000%3.90I 25.64% NM 24.39%EV -5.53% E -1.42% K -1.91% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 12:19
SportsBet1.56I 64.10% NM 60.98%EV -5.59% E -3.59% K -9.99% G +0.000%6.50I 15.38% NM 14.63%EV -0.816% E -0.125% K -0.148% G +0.000%3.90I 25.64% NM 24.39%EV -5.53% E -1.42% K -1.91% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 11:00
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69% NM 60.43%EV -4.99% E -3.18% K -8.75% G +0.000%6.50I 15.38% NM 14.60%EV -0.816% E -0.125% K -0.148% G +0.000%3.80I 26.32% NM 24.97%EV -7.95% E -2.09% K -2.84% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 11:00
Unibet1.55I 64.52% NM 61.13%EV -6.20% E -4.00% K -11.27% G +0.000%6.50I 15.38% NM 14.58%EV -0.816% E -0.125% K -0.148% G +0.000%3.90I 25.64% NM 24.29%EV -5.53% E -1.42% K -1.91% G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-05 13:49
Marathon Bet1.58I 63.29% NM 60.39%EV -4.38% E -2.77% K -7.56% G +0.000%6.35I 15.75% NM 15.02%EV -3.10% E -0.489% K -0.580% G +0.000%3.88I 25.77% NM 24.59%EV -6.01% E -1.55% K -2.09% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 10:15
theScore Bet1.61I 62.11% NM 59.48%EV -2.57% E -1.59% K -4.21% G +0.000%6.25I 16.00% NM 15.32%EV -4.63% E -0.741% K -0.882% G +0.000%3.80I 26.32% NM 25.20%EV -7.95% E -2.09% K -2.84% G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-04 23:39
Sky Bet1.55I 64.52% NM 60.39%EV -6.20% E -4.00% K -11.27% G +0.000%6.25I 16.00% NM 14.98%EV -4.63% E -0.741% K -0.882% G +0.000%3.80I 26.32% NM 24.63%EV -7.95% E -2.09% K -2.84% G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-05 11:00
LiveScore Bet1.54I 64.94% NM 60.55%EV -6.80% E -4.42% K -12.60% G +0.000%6.25I 16.00% NM 14.92%EV -4.63% E -0.741% K -0.882% G +0.000%3.80I 26.32% NM 24.54%EV -7.95% E -2.09% K -2.84% G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-05 12:19
Virgin Bet1.54I 64.94% NM 60.55%EV -6.80% E -4.42% K -12.60% G +0.000%6.25I 16.00% NM 14.92%EV -4.63% E -0.741% K -0.882% G +0.000%3.80I 26.32% NM 24.54%EV -7.95% E -2.09% K -2.84% G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-05 12:19
PMU (FR)1.54I 64.94% NM 60.55%EV -6.80% E -4.42% K -12.60% G +0.000%6.25I 16.00% NM 14.92%EV -4.63% E -0.741% K -0.882% G +0.000%3.80I 26.32% NM 24.54%EV -7.95% E -2.09% K -2.84% G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-05 12:20
TABtouch1.54I 64.94% NM 60.55%EV -6.80% E -4.42% K -12.60% G +0.000%6.25I 16.00% NM 14.92%EV -4.63% E -0.741% K -0.882% G +0.000%3.80I 26.32% NM 24.54%EV -7.95% E -2.09% K -2.84% G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-05 12:19
NordicBet1.60I 62.50% NM 60.49%EV -3.17% E -1.98% K -5.29% G +0.000%6.20I 16.13% NM 15.61%EV -5.39% E -0.870% K -1.04% G +0.000%4.05I 24.69% NM 23.90%EV -1.89% E -0.468% K -0.621% G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-05 14:04
Betsson1.60I 62.50% NM 60.49%EV -3.17% E -1.98% K -5.29% G +0.000%6.20I 16.13% NM 15.61%EV -5.39% E -0.870% K -1.04% G +0.000%4.05I 24.69% NM 23.90%EV -1.89% E -0.468% K -0.621% G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-05 14:04
GTbets1.60I 62.50% NM 60.08%EV -3.17% E -1.98% K -5.29% G +0.000%6.19I 16.16% NM 15.53%EV -5.55% E -0.896% K -1.07% G +0.000%3.94I 25.38% NM 24.40%EV -4.56% E -1.16% K -1.55% G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-05 00:15
NetBet (FR)1.53I 65.36% NM 60.48%EV -7.41% E -4.84% K -13.98% G +0.000%6.10I 16.39% NM 15.17%EV -6.92% E -1.13% K -1.36% G +0.000%3.80I 26.32% NM 24.35%EV -7.95% E -2.09% K -2.84% G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-05 10:15
Bovada1.60I 62.50% NM 59.63%EV -3.17% E -1.98% K -5.29% G +0.000%6.00I 16.67% NM 15.90%EV -8.45% E -1.41% K -1.69% G +0.000%3.90I 25.64% NM 24.46%EV -5.53% E -1.42% K -1.91% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 10:15
BetAnything1.60I 62.50% NM 59.63%EV -3.17% E -1.98% K -5.29% G +0.000%6.00I 16.67% NM 15.90%EV -8.45% E -1.41% K -1.69% G +0.000%3.90I 25.64% NM 24.46%EV -5.53% E -1.42% K -1.91% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 10:15
BetUS1.60I 62.50% NM 59.63%EV -3.17% E -1.98% K -5.29% G +0.000%6.00I 16.67% NM 15.90%EV -8.45% E -1.41% K -1.69% G +0.000%3.90I 25.64% NM 24.46%EV -5.53% E -1.42% K -1.91% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 10:19
Unibet (UK)1.58I 63.29% NM 60.30%EV -4.38% E -2.77% K -7.56% G +0.000%6.00I 16.67% NM 15.88%EV -8.45% E -1.41% K -1.69% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 23.82%EV -3.11% E -0.776% K -1.04% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 06:15
LeoVegas1.57I 63.69% NM 60.45%EV -4.99% E -3.18% K -8.75% G +0.000%6.00I 16.67% NM 15.82%EV -8.45% E -1.41% K -1.69% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 23.73%EV -3.11% E -0.776% K -1.04% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 10:15
betfred_uk1.57I 63.69% NM 60.45%EV -4.99% E -3.18% K -8.75% G +0.000%6.00I 16.67% NM 15.82%EV -8.45% E -1.41% K -1.69% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 23.73%EV -3.11% E -0.776% K -1.04% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 23:55
Codere (IT)1.57I 63.69% NM 60.45%EV -4.99% E -3.18% K -8.75% G +0.000%6.00I 16.67% NM 15.82%EV -8.45% E -1.41% K -1.69% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 23.73%EV -3.11% E -0.776% K -1.04% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 06:55
BetMGM1.57I 63.69% NM 60.09%EV -4.99% E -3.18% K -8.75% G +0.000%6.00I 16.67% NM 15.72%EV -8.45% E -1.41% K -1.69% G +0.000%3.90I 25.64% NM 24.19%EV -5.53% E -1.42% K -1.91% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-05 06:49
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69% NM 60.09%EV -4.99% E -3.18% K -8.75% G +0.000%6.00I 16.67% NM 15.72%EV -8.45% E -1.41% K -1.69% G +0.000%3.90I 25.64% NM 24.19%EV -5.53% E -1.42% K -1.91% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-05 06:49
Coral1.57I 63.69% NM 60.09%EV -4.99% E -3.18% K -8.75% G +0.000%6.00I 16.67% NM 15.72%EV -8.45% E -1.41% K -1.69% G +0.000%3.90I 25.64% NM 24.19%EV -5.53% E -1.42% K -1.91% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-05 00:25
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52% NM 60.76%EV -6.20% E -4.00% K -11.27% G +0.000%6.00I 16.67% NM 15.70%EV -8.45% E -1.41% K -1.69% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 23.54%EV -3.11% E -0.776% K -1.04% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 00:14
Betr (AU)1.58I 63.29% NM 59.55%EV -4.38% E -2.77% K -7.56% G +0.000%6.00I 16.67% NM 15.68%EV -8.45% E -1.41% K -1.69% G +0.000%3.80I 26.32% NM 24.76%EV -7.95% E -2.09% K -2.84% G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-05 13:45
DraftKings1.57I 63.69% NM 59.90%EV -4.99% E -3.18% K -8.75% G +0.000%6.00I 16.67% NM 15.67%EV -8.45% E -1.41% K -1.69% G +0.000%3.85I 25.97% NM 24.43%EV -6.74% E -1.75% K -2.36% G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-05 01:15
William Hill1.57I 63.69% NM 59.51%EV -4.99% E -3.18% K -8.75% G +0.000%6.00I 16.67% NM 15.57%EV -8.45% E -1.41% K -1.69% G +0.000%3.75I 26.67% NM 24.92%EV -9.16% E -2.44% K -3.33% G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-05 08:35
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36% NM 60.33%EV -7.41% E -4.84% K -13.98% G +0.000%6.00I 16.67% NM 15.38%EV -8.45% E -1.41% K -1.69% G +0.000%3.80I 26.32% NM 24.29%EV -7.95% E -2.09% K -2.84% G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-05 06:30
Fliff1.51I 66.23% NM 60.45%EV -8.62% E -5.71% K -16.90% G +0.000%6.00I 16.67% NM 15.21%EV -8.45% E -1.41% K -1.69% G +0.000%3.75I 26.67% NM 24.34%EV -9.16% E -2.44% K -3.33% G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-05 13:50
MyBookie.ag1.56I 64.10% NM 60.44%EV -5.59% E -3.59% K -9.99% G +0.000%5.90I 16.95% NM 15.98%EV -9.97% E -1.69% K -2.03% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 23.57%EV -3.11% E -0.776% K -1.04% G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-05 06:19
ReBet1.55I 64.52% NM 60.25%EV -6.20% E -4.00% K -11.27% G +0.000%5.80I 17.24% NM 16.10%EV -11.50% E -1.98% K -2.40% G +0.000%3.95I 25.32% NM 23.64%EV -4.32% E -1.09% K -1.46% G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-05 06:15
Bet Right1.56I 64.10% NM 59.46%EV -5.59% E -3.59% K -9.99% G +0.000%5.75I 17.39% NM 16.13%EV -12.26% E -2.13% K -2.58% G +0.000%3.80I 26.32% NM 24.41%EV -7.95% E -2.09% K -2.84% G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-05 13:45
Betway1.55I 64.52% NM 59.61%EV -6.20% E -4.00% K -11.27% G +0.000%5.75I 17.39% NM 16.07%EV -12.26% E -2.13% K -2.58% G +0.000%3.80I 26.32% NM 24.32%EV -7.95% E -2.09% K -2.84% G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-05 06:30
PlayUp1.55I 64.52% NM 59.42%EV -6.20% E -4.00% K -11.27% G +0.000%5.75I 17.39% NM 16.02%EV -12.26% E -2.13% K -2.58% G +0.000%3.75I 26.67% NM 24.56%EV -9.16% E -2.44% K -3.33% G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-05 14:05
888sport1.53I 65.36% NM 59.54%EV -7.41% E -4.84% K -13.98% G +0.000%5.75I 17.39% NM 15.84%EV -12.26% E -2.13% K -2.58% G +0.000%3.70I 27.03% NM 24.62%EV -10.37% E -2.80% K -3.84% G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-05 08:30
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36% NM 59.54%EV -7.41% E -4.84% K -13.98% G +0.000%5.75I 17.39% NM 15.84%EV -12.26% E -2.13% K -2.58% G +0.000%3.70I 27.03% NM 24.62%EV -10.37% E -2.80% K -3.84% G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-05 08:29
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36% NM 59.54%EV -7.41% E -4.84% K -13.98% G +0.000%5.75I 17.39% NM 15.84%EV -12.26% E -2.13% K -2.58% G +0.000%3.70I 27.03% NM 24.62%EV -10.37% E -2.80% K -3.84% G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-05 08:30
Winamax (DE)1.56I 64.10% NM 60.11%EV -5.59% E -3.59% K -9.99% G +0.000%5.70I 17.54% NM 16.45%EV -13.02% E -2.28% K -2.77% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 23.44%EV -3.11% E -0.776% K -1.04% G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-05 06:15
Unibet (FR)1.54I 64.94% NM 60.76%EV -6.80% E -4.42% K -12.60% G +0.000%5.70I 17.54% NM 16.42%EV -13.02% E -2.28% K -2.77% G +0.000%4.10I 24.39% NM 22.82%EV -0.684% E -0.167% K -0.220% G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-05 10:20
Dabble (AU)1.57I 63.69% NM 58.68%EV -4.99% E -3.18% K -8.75% G +0.000%5.50I 18.18% NM 16.75%EV -16.07% E -2.92% K -3.57% G +0.000%3.75I 26.67% NM 24.57%EV -9.16% E -2.44% K -3.33% G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-05 14:04
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94% NM 59.71%EV -6.80% E -4.42% K -12.60% G +0.000%5.50I 18.18% NM 16.72%EV -16.07% E -2.92% K -3.57% G +0.000%3.90I 25.64% NM 23.58%EV -5.53% E -1.42% K -1.91% G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-05 06:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerFrance (Local)Morocco (Visit)DrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.62I 61.73%7.20I 13.89%4.10I 24.39%0.0%2026-07-05 14:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.62I 61.73%7.00I 14.29%4.10I 24.39%0.4%2026-07-05 14:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.62I 61.73%7.00I 14.29%4.10I 24.39%0.4%2026-07-05 14:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.62I 61.73%7.00I 14.29%4.10I 24.39%0.4%2026-07-05 14:10
Smarkets1.61I 62.11%7.00I 14.29%4.10I 24.39%0.8%2026-07-05 14:00
Polymarket1.59I 62.89%6.67I 14.99%4.00I 25.00%2.9%2026-07-05 11:30