Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

England v Argentina

Kickoff: 2026-07-15 19:00 UTC

Final: England 1–2 Argentina

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

67 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

England (Local)

Prediction 35.73%2.80fair odd
EV -0.306%
Edge -0.110%
Kelly -0.171%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.79

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.33%35.71%35.77%36.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.672.652.7939.22%37.51%37.74%35.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Argentina (Visit)

Prediction 31.40%3.19fair odd
EV -1.10%
Edge -0.349%
Kelly -0.512%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.54%31.44%31.40%33.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.033.023.1535.09%32.97%33.11%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 32.87%3.04fair odd
EV -0.074%
Edge -0.024%
Kelly -0.036%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.04

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.71%32.86%32.83%34.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.882.903.0436.36%34.68%34.48%32.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: England (Local): 35.73%; Argentina (Visit): 31.40%; Draw: 32.87%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.042. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.040, with an expected value of -0.074%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (67 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet2.79I 35.84%NM 35.29%EV -0.306%E -0.110%K -0.171%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 31.45%EV -1.73%E -0.552%K -0.811%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.26%EV -2.70%E -0.913%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.6%2026-07-15 17:44
NordicBet2.78I 35.97%NM 35.22%EV -0.663%E -0.238%K -0.372%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.59%EV -2.67%E -0.861%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 33.19%EV -3.03%E -1.03%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-15 17:45
Betsson2.78I 35.97%NM 35.22%EV -0.663%E -0.238%K -0.372%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.59%EV -2.67%E -0.861%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 33.19%EV -3.03%E -1.03%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-15 17:44
GTbets2.77I 36.10%NM 35.32%EV -1.02%E -0.368%K -0.576%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 32.50%EV -5.50%E -1.83%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 32.18%EV -0.074%E -0.024%K -0.036%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-14 20:29
Coolbet2.75I 36.36%NM 35.65%EV -1.73%E -0.631%K -0.991%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.12%EV -1.10%E -0.349%K -0.512%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 33.23%EV -3.03%E -1.03%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-15 14:59
Unibet (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 35.44%EV -1.73%E -0.631%K -0.991%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.94%EV -1.10%E -0.349%K -0.512%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.61%EV -4.68%E -1.61%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-15 16:15
ATG (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 35.44%EV -1.73%E -0.631%K -0.991%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.94%EV -1.10%E -0.349%K -0.512%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.61%EV -4.68%E -1.61%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-15 16:14
Svenska Spel2.75I 36.36%NM 35.44%EV -1.73%E -0.631%K -0.991%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.94%EV -1.10%E -0.349%K -0.512%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.61%EV -4.68%E -1.61%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-15 16:14
Unibet (NL)2.75I 36.36%NM 35.44%EV -1.73%E -0.631%K -0.991%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.94%EV -1.10%E -0.349%K -0.512%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.61%EV -4.68%E -1.61%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-15 16:14
Pinnacle2.75I 36.36%NM 35.42%EV -1.73%E -0.631%K -0.991%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.22%EV -2.04%E -0.655%K -0.963%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.36%EV -4.02%E -1.38%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-15 17:45
Unibet (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 35.27%EV -1.73%E -0.631%K -0.991%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.29%EV -2.67%E -0.861%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.44%EV -4.68%E -1.61%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-15 16:14
Tipico (DE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.72%EV -1.73%E -0.631%K -0.991%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.92%EV -8.95%E -3.09%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.36%EV -3.03%E -1.03%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-15 17:45
Bet Right2.75I 36.36%NM 34.33%EV -1.73%E -0.631%K -0.991%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.12%EV -10.52%E -3.69%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.55%EV -4.68%E -1.61%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-14 23:44
BetOnline.ag2.72I 36.76%NM 35.71%EV -2.81%E -1.03%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.13%EV -2.04%E -0.655%K -0.963%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 33.15%EV -3.69%E -1.26%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-15 17:44
LowVig.ag2.72I 36.76%NM 35.71%EV -2.81%E -1.03%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.13%EV -2.04%E -0.655%K -0.963%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 33.15%EV -3.69%E -1.26%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-15 17:44
Unibet (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.52%E -1.30%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.14%EV -5.81%E -1.94%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.14%EV -1.39%E -0.463%K -0.694%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-15 16:14
Betclic (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.52%E -1.30%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -4.24%E -1.39%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.68%EV -3.03%E -1.03%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-15 16:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.61%EV -3.52%E -1.30%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.01%EV -2.67%E -0.861%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.38%EV -5.33%E -1.85%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-15 17:44
theScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.51%EV -3.52%E -1.30%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.43%EV -4.24%E -1.39%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.06%EV -4.68%E -1.61%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-15 14:04
NetBet (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.40%EV -3.52%E -1.30%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.86%EV -5.81%E -1.94%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.74%EV -4.02%E -1.38%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-15 17:45
Marathon Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.32%EV -3.52%E -1.30%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.57%EV -5.18%E -1.72%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.11%EV -5.33%E -1.85%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-15 17:44
BetAnything2.70I 37.04%NM 35.27%EV -3.52%E -1.30%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.72%EV -2.67%E -0.861%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.01%EV -7.96%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-15 17:44
Betr (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -3.52%E -1.30%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -8.95%E -3.09%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -6.32%E -2.22%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-14 17:14
ReBet2.67I 37.45%NM 36.04%EV -4.59%E -1.72%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.24%EV -3.30%E -1.07%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.73%EV -3.36%E -1.14%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-15 16:14
PMU (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -5.31%E -2.00%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.54%EV -1.10%E -0.349%K -0.512%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.17%EV -4.68%E -1.61%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-15 16:14
BetUS2.65I 37.74%NM 36.12%EV -5.31%E -2.00%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.88%EV -2.67%E -0.861%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.01%EV -4.68%E -1.61%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-15 17:44
Winamax (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.95%EV -5.31%E -2.00%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.76%EV -5.81%E -1.94%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.29%EV -3.03%E -1.03%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-15 14:59
Bovada2.65I 37.74%NM 35.94%EV -5.31%E -2.00%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.22%EV -4.24%E -1.39%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.84%EV -4.68%E -1.61%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-15 17:43
TAB2.65I 37.74%NM 35.94%EV -5.31%E -2.00%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.22%EV -4.24%E -1.39%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.84%EV -4.68%E -1.61%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-15 17:45
Everygame2.65I 37.74%NM 35.94%EV -5.31%E -2.00%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.22%EV -4.24%E -1.39%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.84%EV -4.68%E -1.61%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-15 17:44
Codere (IT)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.94%EV -5.31%E -2.00%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.22%EV -4.24%E -1.39%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.84%EV -4.68%E -1.61%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-15 16:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.91%EV -5.31%E -2.00%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%EV -2.67%E -0.861%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.39%EV -6.32%E -2.22%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-15 16:14
Casumo2.65I 37.74%NM 35.91%EV -5.31%E -2.00%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%EV -2.67%E -0.861%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.39%EV -6.32%E -2.22%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-15 16:14
BetRivers2.65I 37.74%NM 35.91%EV -5.31%E -2.00%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%EV -2.67%E -0.861%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.39%EV -6.32%E -2.22%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-15 16:15
Bally Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.91%EV -5.31%E -2.00%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%EV -2.67%E -0.861%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.39%EV -6.32%E -2.22%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-15 16:14
betPARX2.65I 37.74%NM 35.91%EV -5.31%E -2.00%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%EV -2.67%E -0.861%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.39%EV -6.32%E -2.22%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-15 16:14
Hard Rock Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.91%EV -5.31%E -2.00%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%EV -2.67%E -0.861%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.39%EV -6.32%E -2.22%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-15 16:14
FanDuel2.65I 37.74%NM 35.75%EV -5.31%E -2.00%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -5.81%E -1.94%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -4.68%E -1.61%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-15 14:59
DraftKings2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -5.31%E -2.00%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.05%EV -4.24%E -1.39%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.22%EV -6.32%E -2.22%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-15 17:44
SportsBet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -5.31%E -2.00%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.05%EV -4.24%E -1.39%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.22%EV -6.32%E -2.22%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-15 14:59
LeoVegas2.65I 37.74%NM 35.55%EV -5.31%E -2.00%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -5.81%E -1.94%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -6.32%E -2.22%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-15 17:44
Dabble (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.55%EV -5.31%E -2.00%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -5.81%E -1.94%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -6.32%E -2.22%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-15 14:59
Unibet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.31%E -2.00%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.86%EV -4.24%E -1.39%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -7.96%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-15 16:15
PlayUp2.65I 37.74%NM 35.17%EV -5.31%E -2.00%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -8.95%E -3.09%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -6.32%E -2.22%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-15 16:14
Grosvenor2.63I 38.02%NM 35.93%EV -6.02%E -2.29%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.49%EV -5.81%E -1.94%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.58%EV -4.68%E -1.61%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-15 17:45
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.84%EV -6.02%E -2.29%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -5.81%E -1.94%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.73%EV -5.33%E -1.85%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-15 14:04
LiveScore Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.51%EV -6.02%E -2.29%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.13%EV -5.81%E -1.94%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.36%EV -7.96%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-15 16:14
Virgin Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.51%EV -6.02%E -2.29%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.13%EV -5.81%E -1.94%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.36%EV -7.96%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-15 16:14
TABtouch2.63I 38.02%NM 35.51%EV -6.02%E -2.29%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.13%EV -5.81%E -1.94%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.36%EV -7.96%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-15 16:14
betfred_uk2.62I 38.17%NM 36.01%EV -6.38%E -2.44%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.45%EV -5.81%E -1.94%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -4.68%E -1.61%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-15 14:04
MyBookie.ag2.62I 38.17%NM 36.01%EV -6.38%E -2.44%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.24%EV -5.18%E -1.72%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.76%EV -5.33%E -1.85%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-15 16:13
Bet Victor2.62I 38.17%NM 35.93%EV -6.38%E -2.44%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -5.81%E -1.94%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.69%EV -5.33%E -1.85%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-15 14:04
betano_uk2.62I 38.17%NM 35.93%EV -6.38%E -2.44%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -5.81%E -1.94%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.69%EV -5.33%E -1.85%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-15 16:14
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 35.60%EV -6.38%E -2.44%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -5.81%E -1.94%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -7.96%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-15 14:04
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 35.22%EV -6.38%E -2.44%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.82%EV -8.95%E -3.09%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.96%EV -7.96%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-15 16:15
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 35.22%EV -6.38%E -2.44%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.82%EV -8.95%E -3.09%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.96%EV -7.96%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-15 16:14
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.22%EV -6.38%E -2.44%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.82%EV -8.95%E -3.09%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.96%EV -7.96%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-15 16:14
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.22%EV -6.38%E -2.44%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.82%EV -8.95%E -3.09%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.96%EV -7.96%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-15 16:14
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.09%E -2.73%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -5.81%E -1.94%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -1.39%E -0.463%K -0.694%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-15 16:14
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -7.09%E -2.73%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -5.81%E -1.94%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -4.68%E -1.61%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-15 17:44
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -7.09%E -2.73%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -5.81%E -1.94%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -4.68%E -1.61%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-15 09:34
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -7.09%E -2.73%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -5.81%E -1.94%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -4.68%E -1.61%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-15 17:44
PointsBet (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -7.09%E -2.73%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -5.81%E -1.94%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -4.68%E -1.61%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-15 17:44
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -7.09%E -2.73%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.29%EV -5.81%E -1.94%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.60%EV -5.33%E -1.85%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-15 17:45
BoyleSports2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -7.09%E -2.73%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.29%EV -5.81%E -1.94%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.60%EV -5.33%E -1.85%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-15 17:44
BetMGM2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -8.88%E -3.48%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -5.81%E -1.94%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.37%EV -5.33%E -1.85%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-15 14:59
Fliff2.55I 39.22%NM 35.63%EV -8.88%E -3.48%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.33%EV -8.95%E -3.09%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.04%EV -9.61%E -3.49%K -5.49%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-15 16:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets2.78I 35.97%NM 35.77%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.08%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.15%0.6%2026-07-15 14:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.77%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.08%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.15%0.6%2026-07-15 16:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.77%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.08%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.15%0.6%2026-07-15 16:15
Matchbook2.78I 35.97%NM 35.77%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.08%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.15%0.6%2026-07-15 17:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.77%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.08%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.15%0.6%2026-07-15 14:58
Polymarket2.76I 36.23%NM 35.90%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.96%2.99I 33.44%NM 33.14%0.9%2026-07-15 17:44