Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Brazil v Japan

Kickoff: 2026-06-29 17:00 UTC

Final: Brazil 2–1 Japan

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

66 sportsbooks (23 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Brazil (Local)

Prediction 53.89%1.86fair odd
EV -1.92%
Edge -1.05%
Kelly -2.34%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.38%53.91%53.77%55.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.761.751.8259.88%56.73%57.14%54.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Japan (Visit)

Prediction 19.06%5.25fair odd
EV +4.81%
Edge +0.875%
Kelly +1.07%
Growth +0.051%

assuming max odds 5.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.39%19.00%19.11%21.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.404.985.005.5022.73%20.06%20.00%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.05%3.70fair odd
EV -0.724%
Edge -0.197%
Kelly -0.271%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.25%27.10%27.12%28.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.483.503.6733.33%28.71%28.57%27.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Brazil (Local): 53.89%; Japan (Visit): 19.06%; Draw: 27.05%. For Japan (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.25. 13 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.81%.

Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Everygame🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.28%EV -6.77%E -3.91%K -9.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.39%EV +4.81%E +0.875%K +1.07%G +0.051%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.33%EV -5.32%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-29 16:50
1xBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.15%EV -5.15%E -2.93%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.81%EV +3.86%E +0.708%K +0.868%G +0.033%3.59I 27.86%NM 27.04%EV -2.89%E -0.804%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-29 16:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.45%EV -5.69%E -3.25%K -7.58%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.97%EV +2.91%E +0.539%K +0.661%G +0.019%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.58%EV -1.26%E -0.347%K -0.477%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-29 16:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.43%EV -5.69%E -3.25%K -7.58%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 18.13%EV +1.96%E +0.365%K +0.449%G +0.009%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.43%EV -0.724%E -0.197%K -0.271%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-29 16:49
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.36%EV -2.99%E -1.66%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.46%EV +1.00%E +0.189%K +0.233%G +0.002%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.18%EV -2.62%E -0.727%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-29 16:50
Pinnacle🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.54%EV -3.53%E -1.97%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.42%EV +1.00%E +0.189%K +0.233%G +0.002%3.61I 27.70%NM 27.04%EV -2.35%E -0.650%K -0.899%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-29 16:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.50%EV -3.53%E -1.97%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.41%EV +1.00%E +0.189%K +0.233%G +0.002%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.10%EV -2.62%E -0.727%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-29 16:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.50%EV -3.53%E -1.97%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.41%EV +1.00%E +0.189%K +0.233%G +0.002%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.10%EV -2.62%E -0.727%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-29 16:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.50%EV -3.53%E -1.97%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.41%EV +1.00%E +0.189%K +0.233%G +0.002%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.10%EV -2.62%E -0.727%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-29 16:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.50%EV -3.53%E -1.97%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.41%EV +1.00%E +0.189%K +0.233%G +0.002%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.10%EV -2.62%E -0.727%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-29 16:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.78%EV -4.61%E -2.60%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.29%EV +1.00%E +0.189%K +0.233%G +0.002%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.93%EV -2.62%E -0.727%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-29 16:50
SportsBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.42%EV -5.69%E -3.25%K -7.58%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.97%EV +1.00%E +0.189%K +0.233%G +0.002%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.61%EV -6.67%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 16:50
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.10%EV -6.23%E -3.58%K -8.42%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.26%EV +0.050%E +0.009%K +0.012%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.63%EV -2.62%E -0.727%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 16:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.45%EV -5.69%E -3.25%K -7.58%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.32%EV -0.903%E -0.174%K -0.215%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -5.32%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-29 16:30
FanDuel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.59%EV -6.23%E -3.58%K -8.42%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.27%EV -0.903%E -0.174%K -0.215%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -5.32%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 16:50
BetAnything🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.59%EV -6.23%E -3.58%K -8.42%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.27%EV -0.903%E -0.174%K -0.215%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -5.32%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 16:50
BetUS🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -4.07%E -2.29%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.17I 19.34%NM 18.55%EV -1.48%E -0.285%K -0.354%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.56%EV -5.86%E -1.68%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 16:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -3.53%E -1.97%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.92%EV -1.86%E -0.360%K -0.447%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.63%EV -0.994%E -0.272%K -0.374%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-29 16:51
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.26%EV -5.69%E -3.25%K -7.58%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.62%EV -2.81%E -0.551%K -0.685%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -5.32%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 16:50
Casumo🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.26%EV -5.69%E -3.25%K -7.58%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.62%EV -2.81%E -0.551%K -0.685%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -5.32%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 16:50
LeoVegas🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.26%EV -5.69%E -3.25%K -7.58%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.62%EV -2.81%E -0.551%K -0.685%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -5.32%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 16:50
BetRivers🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.26%EV -5.69%E -3.25%K -7.58%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.62%EV -2.81%E -0.551%K -0.685%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -5.32%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 16:50
Bally Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.26%EV -5.69%E -3.25%K -7.58%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.62%EV -2.81%E -0.551%K -0.685%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -5.32%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 16:50
betPARX🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.26%EV -5.69%E -3.25%K -7.58%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.62%EV -2.81%E -0.551%K -0.685%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -5.32%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 16:50
ReBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.70%EV -3.53%E -1.97%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -4.71%E -0.943%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.08%EV -3.97%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-29 16:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.35%EV -2.99%E -1.66%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.21%EV -4.71%E -0.943%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.44%EV -5.32%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-29 16:50
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.35%EV -2.99%E -1.66%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.21%EV -4.71%E -0.943%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.44%EV -5.32%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-29 16:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.32%EV -5.15%E -2.93%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.12%EV -4.71%E -0.943%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.56%EV -2.62%E -0.727%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-29 16:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.77%EV -4.61%E -2.60%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.04%EV -4.71%E -0.943%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV -5.32%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 16:50
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.77%EV -4.61%E -2.60%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.04%EV -4.71%E -0.943%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV -5.32%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 16:40
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.05%EV -5.69%E -3.25%K -7.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -4.71%E -0.943%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.03%EV -5.32%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 16:51
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.20%EV -6.23%E -3.58%K -8.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -4.71%E -0.943%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -5.32%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 16:40
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%EV -6.77%E -3.91%K -9.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -4.71%E -0.943%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -5.32%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 16:50
Unibet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.99%EV -6.23%E -3.58%K -8.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -4.71%E -0.943%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -6.67%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 16:50
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.91%EV -6.77%E -3.91%K -9.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -4.71%E -0.943%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -8.03%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-29 16:50
NordicBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.76%EV -1.92%E -1.05%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.40%EV -5.67%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.84%EV -6.67%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-29 16:50
Betsson🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.76%EV -1.92%E -1.05%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.40%EV -5.67%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.84%EV -6.67%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-29 16:50
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.77%EV -4.61%E -2.60%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.42%EV -6.62%E -1.35%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.81%EV -3.97%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 16:49
Codere (IT)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.42%EV -4.07%E -2.29%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -6.62%E -1.35%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.17%EV -5.32%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 16:10
NetBet (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.05%EV -5.69%E -3.25%K -7.58%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.30%EV -6.62%E -1.35%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.64%EV -3.97%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 16:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.71%EV -6.77%E -3.91%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.96%EV -6.62%E -1.35%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -8.03%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-29 16:50
TABtouch🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.71%EV -6.77%E -3.91%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.96%EV -6.62%E -1.35%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -8.03%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-29 16:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.71%EV -6.77%E -3.91%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.96%EV -6.62%E -1.35%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -8.03%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-29 16:50
Bet Right🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.04%EV -2.99%E -1.66%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.68%EV -7.57%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.28%EV -5.32%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 16:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.61%EV -4.07%E -2.29%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.88%EV -8.53%E -1.78%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.51%EV -2.62%E -0.727%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 16:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.41%EV -4.07%E -2.29%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.81%EV -8.53%E -1.78%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -3.97%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 16:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.27%EV -4.61%E -2.60%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.64%EV -8.53%E -1.78%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.09%EV -5.86%E -1.68%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 16:10
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.77%EV -6.23%E -3.58%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.49%EV -8.53%E -1.78%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -5.32%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-29 16:50
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.21%EV -5.69%E -3.25%K -7.58%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -8.53%E -1.78%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -8.03%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-29 16:40
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.35%EV -6.23%E -3.58%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -8.53%E -1.78%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -8.03%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-29 16:49
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.77%EV -5.69%E -3.25%K -7.58%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.24%EV -8.53%E -1.78%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -10.73%E -3.25%K -4.67%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-29 16:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.77%EV -5.69%E -3.25%K -7.58%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.24%EV -8.53%E -1.78%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -10.73%E -3.25%K -4.67%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-29 16:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.77%EV -5.69%E -3.25%K -7.58%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.24%EV -8.53%E -1.78%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -10.73%E -3.25%K -4.67%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-29 16:50
GTbets🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.35%EV -7.84%E -4.59%K -11.05%G +0.000%4.79I 20.88%NM 19.40%EV -8.72%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.25%EV -4.24%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-29 16:40
Dabble (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -2.99%E -1.66%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.86%EV -9.48%E -2.00%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -8.03%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 16:50
Grosvenor🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.54%EV -3.53%E -1.97%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.80%EV -9.48%E -2.00%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.03%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 16:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.68%EV -4.07%E -2.29%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -9.48%E -2.00%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -8.03%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-29 16:50
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -2.99%E -1.66%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -9.48%E -2.00%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -12.09%E -3.72%K -5.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-29 16:40
Betway🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.81%EV -6.77%E -3.91%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.60%EV -9.48%E -2.00%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -5.32%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-29 16:50
BoyleSports🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.67%EV -5.69%E -3.25%K -7.58%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.40%EV -9.48%E -2.00%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.73%E -3.25%K -4.67%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-29 16:50
Fliff🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 53.97%EV -8.92%E -5.28%K -12.93%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.20%EV -9.48%E -2.00%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -8.03%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-29 16:50
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.48%EV -2.99%E -1.66%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -12.34%E -2.68%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -5.32%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 16:50
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.48%EV -2.99%E -1.66%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -12.34%E -2.68%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -5.32%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 16:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.48%EV -2.99%E -1.66%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -12.34%E -2.68%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -5.32%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 16:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 51.87%EV -10.00%E -5.99%K -14.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.25%EV -14.24%E -3.17%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.88%EV -18.85%E -6.28%K -9.42%G +0.000%15.4%2026-06-29 16:50
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.38%EV -2.99%E -1.66%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.02%EV -16.15%E -3.67%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -9.38%E -2.80%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-29 16:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.80I 55.56%NM 56.80%5.60I 17.86%NM 18.26%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.94%-2.2%2026-06-29 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.97%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.26%0.5%2026-06-29 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.97%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.26%0.5%2026-06-29 16:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.97%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.26%0.5%2026-06-29 16:50
Matchbook1.81I 55.25%NM 54.76%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.70%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.53%0.9%2026-06-29 16:50
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 53.88%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.64%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.47%2.0%2026-06-29 16:40