The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Australia v Jordan

Kickoff: 2026-06-16 04:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Australia (Local)

Prediction 69.28%1.44fair odd
EV -5.77%
Edge -4.25%
Kelly -16.04%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.47%69.28%69.28%69.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.351.361.3675.19%73.80%73.53%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Jordan (Visit)

Prediction 10.24%9.77fair odd
EV -7.85%
Edge -0.872%
Kelly -0.982%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 9.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.24%10.24%10.24%13.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.757.006.759.0014.81%14.29%14.81%11.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 20.48%4.88fair odd
EV +7.51%
Edge +1.43%
Kelly +1.77%
Growth +0.133%

assuming max odds 5.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.74%20.48%20.48%20.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.175.255.2522.22%19.35%19.05%19.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Australia (Local): 69.28%; Jordan (Visit): 10.24%; Draw: 20.48%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.88. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.51%.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Grosvenor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.47%EV -5.77%E -4.25%K -16.04%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.80%EV -30.89%E -4.58%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV +7.51%E +1.43%K +1.77%G +0.133%7.4%2026-02-20 05:35
TABtouch🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.47%EV -5.77%E -4.25%K -16.04%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.80%EV -30.89%E -4.58%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV +7.51%E +1.43%K +1.77%G +0.133%7.4%2026-02-20 05:35
Casumo🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.47%EV -5.77%E -4.25%K -16.04%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.80%EV -30.89%E -4.58%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV +7.51%E +1.43%K +1.77%G +0.133%7.4%2026-02-20 05:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.47%EV -5.77%E -4.25%K -16.04%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.80%EV -30.89%E -4.58%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV +7.51%E +1.43%K +1.77%G +0.133%7.4%2026-02-20 05:35
LeoVegas🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.47%EV -5.77%E -4.25%K -16.04%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.80%EV -30.89%E -4.58%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV +7.51%E +1.43%K +1.77%G +0.133%7.4%2026-02-20 05:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.47%EV -5.77%E -4.25%K -16.04%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.80%EV -30.89%E -4.58%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV +7.51%E +1.43%K +1.77%G +0.133%7.4%2026-02-20 05:35
Unibet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.47%EV -5.77%E -4.25%K -16.04%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.80%EV -30.89%E -4.58%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV +7.51%E +1.43%K +1.77%G +0.133%7.4%2026-02-20 05:35
Bally Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.47%EV -5.77%E -4.25%K -16.04%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.80%EV -30.89%E -4.58%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV +7.51%E +1.43%K +1.77%G +0.133%7.4%2026-02-20 05:35
betPARX🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.47%EV -5.77%E -4.25%K -16.04%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.80%EV -30.89%E -4.58%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV +7.51%E +1.43%K +1.77%G +0.133%7.4%2026-02-20 05:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.47%EV -5.77%E -4.25%K -16.04%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.80%EV -30.89%E -4.58%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV +7.51%E +1.43%K +1.77%G +0.133%7.4%2026-02-20 05:35
Everygame🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.85%E -5.90%K -23.79%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -23.21%E -3.09%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV +2.39%E +0.477%K +0.597%G +0.014%8.5%2026-04-02 20:43
Betway🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.85%E -5.90%K -23.79%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -7.85%E -0.872%K -0.982%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -7.85%E -1.74%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-20 05:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.