The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Yeovil Town v Leatherhead FC

Kickoff: 2026-10-20 18:45 UTC

Final: Yeovil Town 5–2 Leatherhead FC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

26 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Yeovil Town (Local)

Prediction 64.28%1.56fair odd
EV -6.15%
Edge -4.21%
Kelly -13.36%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.46

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.50%64.65%64.11%67.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.381.381.4675.19%72.50%72.46%68.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Leatherhead FC (Visit)

Prediction 17.79%5.62fair odd
EV +6.75%
Edge +1.13%
Kelly +1.35%
Growth +0.091%

assuming max odds 6.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.67%17.47%17.84%18.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.805.305.406.0020.83%18.85%18.52%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 17.92%5.58fair odd
EV +7.55%
Edge +1.26%
Kelly +1.51%
Growth +0.114%

assuming max odds 6.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.68%17.88%18.05%19.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.605.245.356.0021.74%19.10%18.69%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yeovil Town (Local): 64.28%; Leatherhead FC (Visit): 17.79%; Draw: 17.92%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.58. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.55%.

Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -10.00%E -7.14%K -25.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.11%EV -2.15%E -0.390%K -0.477%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV +7.55%E +1.26%K +1.51%G +0.114%6.3%2026-10-20 18:40
Unibet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.39%EV -14.50%E -10.90%K -43.95%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.60%EV -3.92%E -0.727%K -0.892%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.01%EV +0.377%E +0.067%K +0.082%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-20 08:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.39%EV -14.50%E -10.90%K -43.95%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.60%EV -3.92%E -0.727%K -0.892%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.01%EV +0.377%E +0.067%K +0.082%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-20 08:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.39%EV -14.50%E -10.90%K -43.95%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.60%EV -3.92%E -0.727%K -0.892%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.01%EV +0.377%E +0.067%K +0.082%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-20 08:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.39%EV -14.50%E -10.90%K -43.95%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.60%EV -3.92%E -0.727%K -0.892%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.01%EV +0.377%E +0.067%K +0.082%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-20 08:54
Grosvenor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.39%EV -14.50%E -10.90%K -43.95%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.60%EV -3.92%E -0.727%K -0.892%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.01%EV +0.377%E +0.067%K +0.082%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-20 08:55
Casumo🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.39%EV -14.50%E -10.90%K -43.95%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.60%EV -3.92%E -0.727%K -0.892%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.01%EV +0.377%E +0.067%K +0.082%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-20 08:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.39%EV -14.50%E -10.90%K -43.95%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.60%EV -3.92%E -0.727%K -0.892%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.01%EV +0.377%E +0.067%K +0.082%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-20 08:55
TABtouch🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.39%EV -14.50%E -10.90%K -43.95%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.60%EV -3.92%E -0.727%K -0.892%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.01%EV +0.377%E +0.067%K +0.082%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-20 08:55
betPARX🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.39%EV -14.50%E -10.90%K -43.95%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.60%EV -3.92%E -0.727%K -0.892%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.01%EV +0.377%E +0.067%K +0.082%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-20 08:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.39%EV -14.50%E -10.90%K -43.95%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.60%EV -3.92%E -0.727%K -0.892%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.01%EV +0.377%E +0.067%K +0.082%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-20 08:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.39%EV -14.50%E -10.90%K -43.95%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.60%EV -3.92%E -0.727%K -0.892%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.01%EV +0.377%E +0.067%K +0.082%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-20 10:34
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.17%EV -10.00%E -7.14%K -25.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -11.04%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.59%EV -1.42%E -0.257%K -0.315%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-20 09:30
Codere (IT)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -6.15%E -4.21%K -13.36%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -7.48%E -1.44%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -6.79%E -1.31%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-20 10:29
Winamax (DE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.60%EV -8.07%E -5.65%K -18.78%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.56%EV -12.82%E -2.62%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.83%EV -8.59%E -1.68%K -2.09%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-20 10:30
1xBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.47%EV -12.57%E -9.25%K -34.93%G +0.000%5.72I 17.48%NM 15.80%EV +1.77%E +0.309%K +0.375%G +0.007%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.73%EV -8.59%E -1.68%K -2.09%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-20 08:59
BetMGM🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -6.79%E -4.68%K -15.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.35%EV -11.04%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.35%EV -10.38%E -2.08%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-20 10:29
Bovada🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.54%EV -8.72%E -6.14%K -20.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -11.04%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.41%EV -12.17%E -2.48%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-20 10:31
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -7.43%E -5.16%K -16.89%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -14.60%E -3.04%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -13.96%E -2.91%K -3.67%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-20 10:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -7.43%E -5.16%K -16.89%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -14.60%E -3.04%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -13.96%E -2.91%K -3.67%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-20 10:29
Neds🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -7.43%E -5.16%K -16.89%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -14.60%E -3.04%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -13.96%E -2.91%K -3.67%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-20 10:30
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -7.43%E -5.16%K -16.89%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -14.60%E -3.04%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -13.96%E -2.91%K -3.67%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-20 10:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.17%EV -8.72%E -6.14%K -20.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -11.04%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.89%EV -14.86%E -3.13%K -3.96%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-20 10:30
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -10.00%E -7.14%K -25.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV +6.75%E +1.13%K +1.35%G +0.091%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -17.55%E -3.81%K -4.87%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-20 09:15
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -10.00%E -7.14%K -25.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV +6.75%E +1.13%K +1.35%G +0.091%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -17.55%E -3.81%K -4.87%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-20 09:10
betfred_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.19%EV -14.50%E -10.90%K -43.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.67%EV +6.75%E +1.13%K +1.35%G +0.091%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.14%EV -17.55%E -3.81%K -4.87%G +0.000%13.6%2026-10-20 10:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.