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Worksop Town FC v AFC Telford United

2026-09-22 18:45 UTC — FA Cup

Head to Head

22 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Worksop Town FC (Local)

Prediction 44.76%2.23fair odd
EV -6.01%
Edge -2.86%
Kelly -5.46%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.82%44.80%44.76%45.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.992.032.022.1050.25%49.24%49.50%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

AFC Telford United (Visit)

Prediction 29.20%3.42fair odd
EV -0.727%
Edge -0.214%
Kelly -0.303%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.59%29.07%29.39%30.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.193.253.4033.90%31.33%30.77%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.04%3.84fair odd
EV -2.33%
Edge -0.622%
Kelly -0.848%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.12%26.13%25.85%28.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.353.233.7531.25%29.85%31.01%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Worksop Town FC (Local): 44.76%; AFC Telford United (Visit): 29.20%; Draw: 26.04%. For AFC Telford United (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.42. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.40, with an expected value of -0.727%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.01%E -2.86%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -0.727%E -0.214%K -0.303%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -11.45%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-22 01:24
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -6.01%E -2.86%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -6.57%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.24%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-21 22:31
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.01%E -2.86%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -3.65%E -1.11%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -11.45%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-21 22:38
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.01%E -2.86%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -3.65%E -1.11%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -11.45%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-21 22:39
Codere (IT)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.39%EV -7.80%E -3.79%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -8.03%E -2.55%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -2.33%E -0.622%K -0.848%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-21 22:34
Unibet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.39%EV -9.59%E -4.75%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -5.11%E -1.57%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -16.66%E -5.21%K -7.57%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-21 22:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.39%EV -9.59%E -4.75%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -5.11%E -1.57%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -16.66%E -5.21%K -7.57%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-21 22:34
Unibet (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.39%EV -9.59%E -4.75%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -5.11%E -1.57%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -16.66%E -5.21%K -7.57%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-21 22:34
TABtouch🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.39%EV -9.59%E -4.75%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -5.11%E -1.57%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -16.66%E -5.21%K -7.57%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-21 22:34
Grosvenor🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.39%EV -9.59%E -4.75%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -5.11%E -1.57%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -16.66%E -5.21%K -7.57%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-21 22:34
Virgin Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.39%EV -9.59%E -4.75%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -5.11%E -1.57%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -16.66%E -5.21%K -7.57%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-21 22:34
LiveScore Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.39%EV -9.59%E -4.75%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -5.11%E -1.57%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -16.66%E -5.21%K -7.57%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-21 22:34
Casumo🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.39%EV -9.59%E -4.75%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -5.11%E -1.57%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -16.66%E -5.21%K -7.57%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-21 22:34
betPARX🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.39%EV -9.59%E -4.75%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -5.11%E -1.57%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -16.66%E -5.21%K -7.57%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-21 22:34
Svenska Spel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.39%EV -9.59%E -4.75%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -5.11%E -1.57%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -16.66%E -5.21%K -7.57%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-21 22:34
ATG (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.39%EV -9.59%E -4.75%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -5.11%E -1.57%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -16.66%E -5.21%K -7.57%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-21 22:34
1xBet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 45.01%EV -10.04%E -4.99%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.00%EV -8.90%E -2.85%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.00%EV -9.36%E -2.69%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-21 22:44
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.22%EV -10.49%E -5.24%K -10.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.66%EV -13.87%E -4.70%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -2.33%E -0.622%K -0.848%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-21 22:34
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -10.49%E -5.24%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.41%E -4.14%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -6.24%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-21 22:34
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -10.49%E -5.24%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -12.41%E -4.14%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -11.45%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-21 22:34
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.82%EV -10.49%E -5.24%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.21%EV -12.41%E -4.14%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -15.35%E -4.72%K -6.82%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-21 22:34
Marathon Bet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 44.96%EV -10.93%E -5.49%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.33%EV -10.95%E -3.59%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 25.71%EV -9.36%E -2.69%K -3.78%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-21 22:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.