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Worcester City FC v Stratford Town FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Worcester City FC (Local)
Prediction 48.26%2.07fair odd
EV -3.48%
Edge -1.74%
Kelly -3.48%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.05%48.13%48.26%49.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.841.901.892.0054.35%52.65%52.91%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Stratford Town FC (Visit)
Prediction 24.86%4.02fair odd
EV -5.52%
Edge -1.45%
Kelly -1.97%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.63%24.98%24.86%25.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.533.453.8029.41%28.34%28.99%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.87%3.72fair odd
EV -3.25%
Edge -0.903%
Kelly -1.25%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.45%26.88%26.87%28.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.373.353.6032.26%29.71%29.85%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Worcester City FC (Local): 48.26%; Stratford Town FC (Visit): 24.86%; Draw: 26.87%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.72. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.60, with an expected value of -3.25%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -3.48%E -1.74%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -5.52%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -8.63%E -2.54%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-18 13:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -3.48%E -1.74%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -8.00%E -2.16%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -9.97%E -2.98%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-18 12:57 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.07%EV -7.34%E -3.82%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 25.38%EV -11.48%E -3.23%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 27.55%EV -11.85%E -3.61%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-18 13:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -7.82%E -4.09%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -5.52%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -3.25%E -0.903%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-17 22:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.00%EV -7.82%E -4.09%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -5.52%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.37%EV -4.60%E -1.29%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-17 23:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.05%EV -8.30%E -4.37%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 25.69%EV -13.47%E -3.87%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 27.26%EV -11.85%E -3.61%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-18 12:53 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.05%EV -8.30%E -4.37%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.73%EV -15.46%E -4.55%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.22%EV -16.69%E -5.38%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-09-18 06:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.35%EV -8.79%E -4.65%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.94%EV -14.22%E -4.12%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.71%EV -9.97%E -2.98%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-18 06:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.35%EV -8.79%E -4.65%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.94%EV -14.22%E -4.12%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.71%EV -9.97%E -2.98%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-18 06:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.35%EV -8.79%E -4.65%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.94%EV -14.22%E -4.12%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.71%EV -9.97%E -2.98%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-18 06:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.48%EV -9.27%E -4.93%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.87%EV -14.22%E -4.12%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.65%EV -9.97%E -2.98%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-18 06:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.48%EV -9.27%E -4.93%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.87%EV -14.22%E -4.12%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.65%EV -9.97%E -2.98%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-18 06:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.48%EV -9.27%E -4.93%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.87%EV -14.22%E -4.12%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.65%EV -9.97%E -2.98%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-18 06:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.48%EV -9.27%E -4.93%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.87%EV -14.22%E -4.12%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.65%EV -9.97%E -2.98%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-18 06:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.48%EV -9.27%E -4.93%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.87%EV -14.22%E -4.12%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.65%EV -9.97%E -2.98%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-18 06:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.48%EV -9.27%E -4.93%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.87%EV -14.22%E -4.12%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.65%EV -9.97%E -2.98%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-18 06:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.48%EV -9.27%E -4.93%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.87%EV -14.22%E -4.12%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.65%EV -9.97%E -2.98%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-18 06:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.48%EV -9.27%E -4.93%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.87%EV -14.22%E -4.12%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.65%EV -9.97%E -2.98%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-18 10:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.10%EV -11.20%E -6.09%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.45%EV -11.73%E -3.30%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.45%EV -4.60%E -1.29%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-17 23:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.