Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Worcester City FC v Stratford Town FC

2026-09-18 18:45 UTC — FA Cup

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

49%

25%

26%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Worcester City FC (Local)

Prediction 48.85%2.05fair odd

EV -4.73%

Edge -2.43%

Kelly -4.98%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

47.94%48.79%48.85%50.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.781.851.841.9556.18%53.91%54.35%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Stratford Town FC (Visit)

Prediction 24.71%4.05fair odd

EV +1.30%

Edge +0.317%

Kelly +0.419%

Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

23.02%24.33%24.71%25.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.503.743.804.1028.57%26.73%26.32%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.44%3.78fair odd

EV -4.82%

Edge -1.34%

Kelly -1.85%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

25.45%26.88%26.44%28.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.253.433.403.6030.77%29.17%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Worcester City FC (Local): 48.85%; Stratford Town FC (Visit): 24.71%; Draw: 26.44%. For Stratford Town FC (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.05. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.10, producing a positive expected value of +1.30%.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Draw	Margin	Updated
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.39%EV -4.73%E -2.43%K -4.98%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV +1.30%E +0.317%K +0.419%G +0.005%	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -12.75%E -3.86%K -5.54%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-09-17 22:59
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -6.69%E -3.50%K -7.35%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -6.11%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -4.82%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-09-17 22:59
Codere (IT)🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 49.00%EV -6.69%E -3.50%K -7.35%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -6.11%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%	3.55I 28.17%NM 26.37%EV -6.14%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-09-17 23:00
Unibet🎯	1.78I 56.18%NM 50.20%EV -13.04%E -7.33%K -16.72%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -6.11%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%	11.9%	2026-09-17 22:59
TABtouch🎯	1.78I 56.18%NM 50.20%EV -13.04%E -7.33%K -16.72%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -6.11%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%	11.9%	2026-09-17 23:00
Marathon Bet🎯	1.84I 54.35%NM 48.58%EV -10.11%E -5.49%K -12.03%G +0.000%	3.58I 27.93%NM 24.97%EV -11.55%E -3.23%K -4.48%G +0.000%	3.38I 29.59%NM 26.45%EV -10.64%E -3.15%K -4.47%G +0.000%	11.9%	2026-09-18 01:55
Winamax (DE)🎯	1.84I 54.35%NM 49.10%EV -10.11%E -5.49%K -12.03%G +0.000%	3.55I 28.17%NM 25.45%EV -12.29%E -3.46%K -4.82%G +0.000%	3.55I 28.17%NM 25.45%EV -6.14%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000%	10.7%	2026-09-17 23:00
betfred_uk🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 47.94%EV -10.60%E -5.79%K -12.77%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 25.07%EV -13.53%E -3.86%K -5.41%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 26.99%EV -14.07%E -4.33%K -6.25%G +0.000%	14.0%	2026-09-17 23:00

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.