Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Woodbridge Town FC v Felixstowe and Walton United FC

Kickoff: 2026-08-21 18:46 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Woodbridge Town FC (Local)

Prediction 17.65%5.67fair odd
EV -9.98%
Edge -1.96%
Kelly -2.43%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.65%17.65%17.65%21.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.104.354.255.1024.39%22.98%23.53%19.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Felixstowe and Walton United FC (Visit)

Prediction 61.66%1.62fair odd
EV +6.66%
Edge +3.85%
Kelly +9.13%
Growth +0.608%

assuming max odds 1.73

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.80%61.66%61.66%61.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.461.691.731.7368.49%59.20%57.80%57.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 20.69%4.83fair odd
EV -7.91%
Edge -1.78%
Kelly -2.29%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.69%20.69%20.69%24.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.703.913.854.4527.03%25.57%25.97%22.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Woodbridge Town FC (Local): 17.65%; Felixstowe and Walton United FC (Visit): 61.66%; Draw: 20.69%. For Felixstowe and Walton United FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.62. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.73, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.66%.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -24.99%E -5.88%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV +6.66%E +3.85%K +9.13%G +0.608%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -20.33%E -5.28%K -7.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-21 17:59
Casumo🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -24.99%E -5.88%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV +6.66%E +3.85%K +9.13%G +0.608%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -20.33%E -5.28%K -7.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-21 17:55
TABtouch🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -24.99%E -5.88%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV +6.66%E +3.85%K +9.13%G +0.608%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -20.33%E -5.28%K -7.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-21 17:59
Unibet (SE)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -24.99%E -5.88%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV +6.66%E +3.85%K +9.13%G +0.608%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -20.33%E -5.28%K -7.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-21 17:54
Grosvenor🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -24.99%E -5.88%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV +6.66%E +3.85%K +9.13%G +0.608%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -20.33%E -5.28%K -7.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-21 17:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -24.99%E -5.88%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV +6.66%E +3.85%K +9.13%G +0.608%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -20.33%E -5.28%K -7.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-21 17:55
betPARX🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -24.99%E -5.88%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV +6.66%E +3.85%K +9.13%G +0.608%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -20.33%E -5.28%K -7.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-21 17:55
Svenska Spel🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -24.99%E -5.88%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV +6.66%E +3.85%K +9.13%G +0.608%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -20.33%E -5.28%K -7.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-21 17:59
ATG (SE)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -24.99%E -5.88%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV +6.66%E +3.85%K +9.13%G +0.608%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -20.33%E -5.28%K -7.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-21 17:55
Virgin Bet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 21.91%EV -27.63%E -6.74%K -8.91%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.80%EV +2.97%E +1.78%K +4.43%G +0.131%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.28%EV -23.43%E -6.33%K -8.68%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-21 17:55
LiveScore Bet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 21.91%EV -27.63%E -6.74%K -8.91%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.80%EV +2.97%E +1.78%K +4.43%G +0.131%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.28%EV -23.43%E -6.33%K -8.68%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-21 17:55
1xBet🎯5.03I 19.88%NM 18.89%EV -11.22%E -2.23%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.76%EV -1.97%E -1.24%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.35%EV -7.91%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-21 18:44
Marathon Bet🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.65%EV -9.98%E -1.96%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 61.66%EV -9.98%E -6.84%K -21.70%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.69%EV -9.98%E -2.29%K -2.98%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-21 18:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.