L’École des cotes

Wolverhampton Wanderers v Liverpool

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-06 20:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Wolverhampton Wanderers (Local)

Prévision 17.30%5.78cote équitable
EV +8.13%
Avantage +1.30%
Kelly +1.55%
Croissance +0.126%

avec la cote maximale 6.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.68%17.23%17.25%18.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.805.495.506.2520.83%18.23%18.18%16.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Liverpool (Visiteur)

Prévision 60.96%1.64cote équitable
EV -4.29%
Avantage -2.73%
Kelly -7.53%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.57

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.78%60.99%60.98%63.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.441.531.531.5769.44%65.55%65.36%63.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 21.74%4.60cote équitable
EV +0.876%
Avantage +0.189%
Kelly +0.241%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 4.64

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.41%21.78%21.76%23.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.604.294.304.6427.78%23.30%23.26%21.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet6.25I 16.00%NM 15.68%EV +8.13%E +1.30%K +1.55%G +0.126%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.21%EV -5.51%E -3.56%K -10.02%G +0.000%4.64I 21.55%NM 21.12%EV +0.876%E +0.189%K +0.241%G +0.002%2.1%2026-03-06 19:55
Svenska Spel6.10I 16.39%NM 15.96%EV +5.53%E +0.907%K +1.08%G +0.060%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.41%EV -4.90%E -3.14%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.63%EV -2.17%E -0.482%K -0.619%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-06 19:35
ATG (SE)6.10I 16.39%NM 15.96%EV +5.53%E +0.907%K +1.08%G +0.060%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.41%EV -4.90%E -3.14%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.63%EV -2.17%E -0.482%K -0.619%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-06 19:35
Pinnacle5.90I 16.95%NM 16.52%EV +2.07%E +0.351%K +0.423%G +0.009%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.07%EV -4.29%E -2.73%K -7.53%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.42%EV -1.08%E -0.237%K -0.304%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-06 19:46
Parions Sport (FR)5.90I 16.95%NM 15.88%EV +2.07%E +0.351%K +0.423%G +0.009%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.06%EV -7.95%E -5.27%K -15.59%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.05%EV -7.60%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-06 19:35
Unibet5.80I 17.24%NM 16.30%EV +0.340%E +0.059%K +0.071%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.21%EV -7.34%E -4.83%K -14.12%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.49%EV -4.34%E -0.987%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 19:35
TABtouch5.80I 17.24%NM 16.13%EV +0.340%E +0.059%K +0.071%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.37%EV -8.56%E -5.71%K -17.12%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.51%EV -5.43%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 19:35
Grosvenor5.80I 17.24%NM 16.13%EV +0.340%E +0.059%K +0.071%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.37%EV -8.56%E -5.71%K -17.12%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.51%EV -5.43%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 19:35
Unibet (NL)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV +0.340%E +0.059%K +0.071%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.52%EV -9.17%E -6.15%K -18.72%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.42%EV -5.43%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 19:35
LeoVegas (SE)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV +0.340%E +0.059%K +0.071%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.52%EV -9.17%E -6.15%K -18.72%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.42%EV -5.43%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 19:35
Casumo5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV +0.340%E +0.059%K +0.071%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.52%EV -9.17%E -6.15%K -18.72%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.42%EV -5.43%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 19:35
Unibet (SE)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV +0.340%E +0.059%K +0.071%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.52%EV -9.17%E -6.15%K -18.72%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.42%EV -5.43%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 19:35
betPARX5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV +0.340%E +0.059%K +0.071%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.52%EV -9.17%E -6.15%K -18.72%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.42%EV -5.43%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 19:35
FanDuel5.80I 17.24%NM 15.95%EV +0.340%E +0.059%K +0.071%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.53%EV -9.78%E -6.61%K -20.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.52%EV -6.52%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-06 19:49
1xBet5.75I 17.39%NM 16.84%EV -0.525%E -0.091%K -0.110%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.68%EV -4.29%E -2.73%K -7.53%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.47%EV -1.95%E -0.432%K -0.556%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-06 19:55
Everygame5.75I 17.39%NM 16.57%EV -0.525%E -0.091%K -0.110%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.26%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.17%EV -2.17%E -0.482%K -0.619%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 19:55
LeoVegas5.75I 17.39%NM 16.00%EV -0.525%E -0.091%K -0.110%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.60%EV -10.39%E -7.07%K -22.11%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.40%EV -6.52%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-06 19:35
Marathon Bet5.65I 17.70%NM 17.01%EV -2.25%E -0.399%K -0.485%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.62%EV -4.90%E -3.14%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.36%EV -2.17%E -0.482%K -0.619%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-06 19:54
LowVig.ag5.60I 17.86%NM 17.14%EV -3.12%E -0.557%K -0.678%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.53%EV -4.90%E -3.14%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.17%E -0.482%K -0.619%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-06 19:10
BetOnline.ag5.60I 17.86%NM 17.14%EV -3.12%E -0.557%K -0.678%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.53%EV -4.90%E -3.14%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.17%E -0.482%K -0.619%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-06 19:10
theScore Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.31%EV -4.85%E -0.882%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.04%EV -4.90%E -3.14%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.64%EV -4.34%E -0.987%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 19:05
Unibet (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -4.85%E -0.882%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.73%EV -5.51%E -3.56%K -10.02%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.15%EV -7.60%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 19:05
DraftKings5.50I 18.18%NM 17.09%EV -4.85%E -0.882%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.04%EV -6.12%E -3.98%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -6.52%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-06 19:55
Bet Victor5.50I 18.18%NM 16.85%EV -4.85%E -0.882%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.56%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -10.86%E -2.65%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-06 19:53
SportsBet5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -4.85%E -0.882%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -8.56%E -5.71%K -17.12%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -5.86%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-06 19:50
Paddy Power5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -4.85%E -0.882%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -8.56%E -5.71%K -17.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -8.69%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-06 19:50
Virgin Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -4.85%E -0.882%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.83%EV -9.78%E -6.61%K -20.38%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.53%EV -7.60%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-06 19:35
LiveScore Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -4.85%E -0.882%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 62.15%EV -11.00%E -7.53%K -23.91%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.35%EV -7.60%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-06 19:35
NordicBet5.40I 18.52%NM 17.55%EV -6.58%E -1.22%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.15%EV -5.51%E -3.56%K -10.02%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.30%EV -3.25%E -0.731%K -0.943%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 19:55
Betsson5.40I 18.52%NM 17.55%EV -6.58%E -1.22%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.15%EV -5.51%E -3.56%K -10.02%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.30%EV -3.25%E -0.731%K -0.943%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 19:55
Codere (IT)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.33%EV -6.58%E -1.22%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.38%EV -5.51%E -3.56%K -10.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV -8.69%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-06 19:05
BetUS5.35I 18.69%NM 17.49%EV -7.44%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.75%EV -6.12%E -3.98%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.76%EV -6.52%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 19:55
BetMGM5.25I 19.05%NM 18.00%EV -9.17%E -1.75%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.18%EV -4.29%E -2.73%K -7.53%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.82%EV -5.86%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 17:25
Ladbrokes (UK)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -9.17%E -1.75%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -4.29%E -2.73%K -7.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -8.69%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-06 17:27
Ladbrokes (AU)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -9.17%E -1.75%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -4.29%E -2.73%K -7.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -8.69%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-06 17:25
Neds5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -9.17%E -1.75%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -4.29%E -2.73%K -7.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -8.69%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-06 17:30
Betway5.25I 19.05%NM 17.60%EV -9.17%E -1.75%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.40%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.00%EV -8.69%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-06 19:55
Fliff5.25I 19.05%NM 17.35%EV -9.17%E -1.75%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.71%EV -8.56%E -5.71%K -17.12%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.94%EV -9.78%E -2.36%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-06 19:55
Winamax (DE)5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -10.04%E -1.93%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.75%EV -6.12%E -3.98%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -4.34%E -0.987%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 19:05
Bovada5.20I 19.23%NM 17.67%EV -10.04%E -1.93%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.45%EV -7.34%E -4.83%K -14.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -8.69%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-06 19:55
Sky Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -13.50%E -2.70%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -8.56%E -5.71%K -17.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -2.17%E -0.482%K -0.619%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-06 19:50
BoyleSports5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -13.50%E -2.70%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -8.69%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-06 19:05
888sport5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -13.50%E -2.70%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -13.04%E -3.26%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-06 19:40
William Hill5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -13.50%E -2.70%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -13.04%E -3.26%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-06 19:40
888sport (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -13.50%E -2.70%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -13.04%E -3.26%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-06 19:40
Mr Green (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -13.50%E -2.70%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -13.04%E -3.26%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-06 19:40
Winamax (FR)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -13.50%E -2.70%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -8.56%E -5.71%K -17.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -8.69%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-06 19:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 17.06%EV -13.50%E -2.70%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 59.24%EV -12.22%E -8.49%K -27.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.70%EV -21.73%E -6.04%K -8.36%G +0.000%17.2%2026-03-06 19:35
Coral4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -16.96%E -3.53%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.78%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -13.04%E -3.26%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-06 19:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.53%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.32%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15%0.6%2026-03-06 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.53%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.32%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15%0.6%2026-03-06 19:55
Smarkets6.40I 15.63%NM 15.53%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.32%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15%0.6%2026-03-06 19:55
Matchbook6.40I 15.63%NM 15.53%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.32%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15%0.6%2026-03-06 19:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.00%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05%1.1%2026-03-06 19:55