La escuela de los momios

Wolverhampton Wanderers v Liverpool

Inicio: 2026-03-06 20:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Wolverhampton Wanderers (Local)

Predicción 17.30%5.78momio equitativo
EV +8.13%
Ventaja +1.30%
Kelly +1.55%
Crecimiento +0.126%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.68%17.23%17.25%18.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.805.495.506.2520.83%18.23%18.18%16.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Liverpool (Visitante)

Predicción 60.96%1.64momio equitativo
EV -4.29%
Ventaja -2.73%
Kelly -7.53%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.57

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.78%60.99%60.98%63.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.441.531.531.5769.44%65.55%65.36%63.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 21.74%4.60momio equitativo
EV +0.876%
Ventaja +0.189%
Kelly +0.241%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.64

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.41%21.78%21.76%23.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.604.294.304.6427.78%23.30%23.26%21.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet6.25I 16.00%NM 15.68%EV +8.13%E +1.30%K +1.55%G +0.126%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.21%EV -5.51%E -3.56%K -10.02%G +0.000%4.64I 21.55%NM 21.12%EV +0.876%E +0.189%K +0.241%G +0.002%2.1%2026-03-06 19:55
Svenska Spel6.10I 16.39%NM 15.96%EV +5.53%E +0.907%K +1.08%G +0.060%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.41%EV -4.90%E -3.14%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.63%EV -2.17%E -0.482%K -0.619%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-06 19:35
ATG (SE)6.10I 16.39%NM 15.96%EV +5.53%E +0.907%K +1.08%G +0.060%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.41%EV -4.90%E -3.14%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.63%EV -2.17%E -0.482%K -0.619%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-06 19:35
Pinnacle5.90I 16.95%NM 16.52%EV +2.07%E +0.351%K +0.423%G +0.009%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.07%EV -4.29%E -2.73%K -7.53%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.42%EV -1.08%E -0.237%K -0.304%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-06 19:46
Parions Sport (FR)5.90I 16.95%NM 15.88%EV +2.07%E +0.351%K +0.423%G +0.009%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.06%EV -7.95%E -5.27%K -15.59%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.05%EV -7.60%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-06 19:35
Unibet5.80I 17.24%NM 16.30%EV +0.340%E +0.059%K +0.071%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.21%EV -7.34%E -4.83%K -14.12%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.49%EV -4.34%E -0.987%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 19:35
TABtouch5.80I 17.24%NM 16.13%EV +0.340%E +0.059%K +0.071%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.37%EV -8.56%E -5.71%K -17.12%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.51%EV -5.43%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 19:35
Grosvenor5.80I 17.24%NM 16.13%EV +0.340%E +0.059%K +0.071%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.37%EV -8.56%E -5.71%K -17.12%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.51%EV -5.43%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 19:35
Unibet (NL)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV +0.340%E +0.059%K +0.071%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.52%EV -9.17%E -6.15%K -18.72%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.42%EV -5.43%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 19:35
LeoVegas (SE)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV +0.340%E +0.059%K +0.071%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.52%EV -9.17%E -6.15%K -18.72%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.42%EV -5.43%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 19:35
Casumo5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV +0.340%E +0.059%K +0.071%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.52%EV -9.17%E -6.15%K -18.72%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.42%EV -5.43%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 19:35
Unibet (SE)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV +0.340%E +0.059%K +0.071%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.52%EV -9.17%E -6.15%K -18.72%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.42%EV -5.43%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 19:35
betPARX5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV +0.340%E +0.059%K +0.071%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.52%EV -9.17%E -6.15%K -18.72%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.42%EV -5.43%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 19:35
FanDuel5.80I 17.24%NM 15.95%EV +0.340%E +0.059%K +0.071%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.53%EV -9.78%E -6.61%K -20.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.52%EV -6.52%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-06 19:49
1xBet5.75I 17.39%NM 16.84%EV -0.525%E -0.091%K -0.110%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.68%EV -4.29%E -2.73%K -7.53%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.47%EV -1.95%E -0.432%K -0.556%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-06 19:55
Everygame5.75I 17.39%NM 16.57%EV -0.525%E -0.091%K -0.110%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.26%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.17%EV -2.17%E -0.482%K -0.619%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 19:55
LeoVegas5.75I 17.39%NM 16.00%EV -0.525%E -0.091%K -0.110%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.60%EV -10.39%E -7.07%K -22.11%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.40%EV -6.52%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-06 19:35
Marathon Bet5.65I 17.70%NM 17.01%EV -2.25%E -0.399%K -0.485%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.62%EV -4.90%E -3.14%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.36%EV -2.17%E -0.482%K -0.619%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-06 19:54
LowVig.ag5.60I 17.86%NM 17.14%EV -3.12%E -0.557%K -0.678%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.53%EV -4.90%E -3.14%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.17%E -0.482%K -0.619%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-06 19:10
BetOnline.ag5.60I 17.86%NM 17.14%EV -3.12%E -0.557%K -0.678%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.53%EV -4.90%E -3.14%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.17%E -0.482%K -0.619%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-06 19:10
theScore Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.31%EV -4.85%E -0.882%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.04%EV -4.90%E -3.14%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.64%EV -4.34%E -0.987%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 19:05
Unibet (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -4.85%E -0.882%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.73%EV -5.51%E -3.56%K -10.02%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.15%EV -7.60%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 19:05
DraftKings5.50I 18.18%NM 17.09%EV -4.85%E -0.882%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.04%EV -6.12%E -3.98%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -6.52%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-06 19:55
Bet Victor5.50I 18.18%NM 16.85%EV -4.85%E -0.882%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.56%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -10.86%E -2.65%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-06 19:53
SportsBet5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -4.85%E -0.882%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -8.56%E -5.71%K -17.12%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -5.86%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-06 19:50
Paddy Power5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -4.85%E -0.882%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -8.56%E -5.71%K -17.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -8.69%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-06 19:50
Virgin Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -4.85%E -0.882%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.83%EV -9.78%E -6.61%K -20.38%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.53%EV -7.60%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-06 19:35
LiveScore Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -4.85%E -0.882%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 62.15%EV -11.00%E -7.53%K -23.91%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.35%EV -7.60%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-06 19:35
NordicBet5.40I 18.52%NM 17.55%EV -6.58%E -1.22%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.15%EV -5.51%E -3.56%K -10.02%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.30%EV -3.25%E -0.731%K -0.943%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 19:55
Betsson5.40I 18.52%NM 17.55%EV -6.58%E -1.22%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.15%EV -5.51%E -3.56%K -10.02%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.30%EV -3.25%E -0.731%K -0.943%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 19:55
Codere (IT)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.33%EV -6.58%E -1.22%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.38%EV -5.51%E -3.56%K -10.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV -8.69%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-06 19:05
BetUS5.35I 18.69%NM 17.49%EV -7.44%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.75%EV -6.12%E -3.98%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.76%EV -6.52%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 19:55
BetMGM5.25I 19.05%NM 18.00%EV -9.17%E -1.75%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.18%EV -4.29%E -2.73%K -7.53%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.82%EV -5.86%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 17:25
Ladbrokes (UK)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -9.17%E -1.75%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -4.29%E -2.73%K -7.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -8.69%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-06 17:27
Ladbrokes (AU)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -9.17%E -1.75%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -4.29%E -2.73%K -7.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -8.69%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-06 17:25
Neds5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -9.17%E -1.75%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -4.29%E -2.73%K -7.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -8.69%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-06 17:30
Betway5.25I 19.05%NM 17.60%EV -9.17%E -1.75%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.40%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.00%EV -8.69%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-06 19:55
Fliff5.25I 19.05%NM 17.35%EV -9.17%E -1.75%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.71%EV -8.56%E -5.71%K -17.12%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.94%EV -9.78%E -2.36%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-06 19:55
Winamax (DE)5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -10.04%E -1.93%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.75%EV -6.12%E -3.98%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -4.34%E -0.987%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 19:05
Bovada5.20I 19.23%NM 17.67%EV -10.04%E -1.93%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.45%EV -7.34%E -4.83%K -14.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -8.69%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-06 19:55
Sky Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -13.50%E -2.70%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -8.56%E -5.71%K -17.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -2.17%E -0.482%K -0.619%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-06 19:50
BoyleSports5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -13.50%E -2.70%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -8.69%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-06 19:05
888sport5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -13.50%E -2.70%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -13.04%E -3.26%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-06 19:40
William Hill5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -13.50%E -2.70%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -13.04%E -3.26%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-06 19:40
888sport (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -13.50%E -2.70%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -13.04%E -3.26%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-06 19:40
Mr Green (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -13.50%E -2.70%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -13.04%E -3.26%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-06 19:40
Winamax (FR)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -13.50%E -2.70%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -8.56%E -5.71%K -17.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -8.69%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-06 19:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 17.06%EV -13.50%E -2.70%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 59.24%EV -12.22%E -8.49%K -27.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.70%EV -21.73%E -6.04%K -8.36%G +0.000%17.2%2026-03-06 19:35
Coral4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -16.96%E -3.53%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.78%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -13.04%E -3.26%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-06 19:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.53%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.32%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15%0.6%2026-03-06 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.53%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.32%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15%0.6%2026-03-06 19:55
Smarkets6.40I 15.63%NM 15.53%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.32%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15%0.6%2026-03-06 19:55
Matchbook6.40I 15.63%NM 15.53%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.32%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15%0.6%2026-03-06 19:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.00%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05%1.1%2026-03-06 19:55