Language:English
Wingate and Finchley FC v Hemel Hempstead Town FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Wingate and Finchley FC (Local)
Prediction 19.24%5.20fair odd
EV +1.03%
Edge +0.197%
Kelly +0.243%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 5.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.74%19.44%19.17%22.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.664.605.2525.00%21.47%21.74%19.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Hemel Hempstead Town FC (Visit)
Prediction 58.46%1.71fair odd
EV -5.30%
Edge -3.27%
Kelly -8.55%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.62
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.51%58.27%58.60%60.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.461.571.551.6268.49%63.84%64.52%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 22.30%4.48fair odd
EV -3.45%
Edge -0.796%
Kelly -1.03%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.88%22.29%22.23%23.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.114.104.3326.67%24.31%24.39%23.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Wingate and Finchley FC (Local): 19.24%; Hemel Hempstead Town FC (Visit): 58.46%; Draw: 22.30%. For Wingate and Finchley FC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.20. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.03%.
Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| betano_uk🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV +1.03%E +0.197%K +0.243%G +0.003% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -9.39%E -6.06%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -6.34%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-22 18:44 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV +1.03%E +0.197%K +0.243%G +0.003% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -9.39%E -6.06%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -6.34%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-22 18:43 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.22I 19.16%NM 17.94%EV +0.455%E +0.087%K +0.108%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.65%EV -8.22%E -5.24%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 4.18I 23.92%NM 22.41%EV -6.79%E -1.62%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-22 18:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.04%EV -5.88%E -3.66%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.95%EV -3.45%E -0.796%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-22 14:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.04%EV -5.88%E -3.66%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.95%EV -3.45%E -0.796%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-22 15:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.84%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.25%EV -7.05%E -4.44%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -4.11%E -0.957%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-22 18:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV -5.70%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.57%EV -6.47%E -4.04%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -6.34%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-22 14:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -5.70%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.40%EV -6.47%E -4.04%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -14.15%E -3.68%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-22 14:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -5.70%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.40%EV -6.47%E -4.04%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -14.15%E -3.68%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-22 15:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -7.63%E -1.59%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.33%EV -6.47%E -4.04%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.34%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-22 14:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -7.63%E -1.59%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.33%EV -6.47%E -4.04%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.34%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-22 14:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -7.63%E -1.59%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.33%EV -6.47%E -4.04%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.34%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-22 14:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -11.48%E -2.49%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -5.30%E -3.27%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -4.11%E -0.957%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-22 14:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -11.48%E -2.49%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.47%EV -10.56%E -6.90%K -19.93%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.09%EV -9.69%E -2.39%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-22 14:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.43%EV -11.48%E -2.49%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -9.39%E -6.06%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -13.03%E -3.34%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-22 14:14 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.11%EV -11.48%E -2.49%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.45%EV -10.56%E -6.90%K -19.93%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.44%EV -16.38%E -4.37%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-09-22 14:14 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.81%EV -11.48%E -2.49%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 59.28%EV -14.65%E -10.04%K -31.86%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 21.91%EV -11.92%E -3.02%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-09-22 18:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -13.40%E -2.98%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -8.22%E -5.24%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -10.80%E -2.70%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-22 18:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -15.32%E -3.48%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.79%EV -9.39%E -6.06%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.85%EV -8.57%E -2.09%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-22 18:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -15.32%E -3.48%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.79%EV -9.39%E -6.06%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.85%EV -8.57%E -2.09%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-22 18:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -15.32%E -3.48%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.79%EV -9.39%E -6.06%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.85%EV -8.57%E -2.09%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-22 18:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -15.32%E -3.48%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.79%EV -9.39%E -6.06%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.85%EV -8.57%E -2.09%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-22 18:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -15.32%E -3.48%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.79%EV -9.39%E -6.06%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.85%EV -8.57%E -2.09%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-22 18:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -15.32%E -3.48%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.79%EV -9.39%E -6.06%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.85%EV -8.57%E -2.09%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-22 18:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -15.32%E -3.48%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.79%EV -9.39%E -6.06%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.85%EV -8.57%E -2.09%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-22 18:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -15.32%E -3.48%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.79%EV -9.39%E -6.06%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.85%EV -8.57%E -2.09%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-22 18:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -15.32%E -3.48%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.79%EV -9.39%E -6.06%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.85%EV -8.57%E -2.09%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-22 18:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -15.32%E -3.48%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.79%EV -9.39%E -6.06%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.85%EV -8.57%E -2.09%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-22 18:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -15.32%E -3.48%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.79%EV -9.39%E -6.06%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.85%EV -8.57%E -2.09%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-22 18:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -23.02%E -5.76%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.51%EV -6.47%E -4.04%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.88%EV -3.45%E -0.796%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-22 15:14 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.