The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Whyteleafe FC v Crowborough Athletic FC

Kickoff: 2026-09-09 18:45 UTC

Final: Whyteleafe FC 2–3 Crowborough Athletic FC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Whyteleafe FC (Local)

Prediction 58.21%1.72fair odd
EV -3.96%
Edge -2.40%
Kelly -6.09%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.09%58.21%58.21%59.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.551.501.6566.67%64.72%66.67%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Crowborough Athletic FC (Visit)

Prediction 21.90%4.57fair odd
EV -3.64%
Edge -0.828%
Kelly -1.07%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.27%21.90%21.90%22.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.314.404.4025.00%23.18%22.73%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 19.89%5.03fair odd
EV -4.52%
Edge -0.941%
Kelly -1.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.79%19.89%19.89%20.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.334.484.404.8023.09%22.32%22.73%20.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Whyteleafe FC (Local): 58.21%; Crowborough Athletic FC (Visit): 21.90%; Draw: 19.89%. For Crowborough Athletic FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.57. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.40, with an expected value of -3.64%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -3.96%E -2.40%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.62%EV -8.02%E -1.91%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79%EV -4.52%E -0.941%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-09 14:34
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.46%EV -3.96%E -2.40%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -8.02%E -1.91%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.96%EV -5.51%E -1.16%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-09 14:35
Neds🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.09%EV -3.96%E -2.40%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -8.02%E -1.91%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.48%EV -8.49%E -1.85%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 12:51
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.09%EV -3.96%E -2.40%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -8.02%E -1.91%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.48%EV -8.49%E -1.85%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 12:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.09%EV -3.96%E -2.40%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -8.02%E -1.91%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.48%EV -8.49%E -1.85%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 12:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.95%EV -10.94%E -7.15%K -20.64%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.22%EV -6.93%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.82%EV -9.49%E -2.09%K -2.67%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-09 17:25
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.61%EV -10.94%E -7.15%K -20.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -12.40%E -3.10%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.36%EV -13.87%E -3.20%K -4.16%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-09 16:21
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.46%EV -12.69%E -8.46%K -25.37%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.27%EV -3.64%E -0.828%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.27%EV -12.47%E -2.83%K -3.67%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-09 13:40
Casumo🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.46%EV -12.69%E -8.46%K -25.37%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.27%EV -3.64%E -0.828%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.27%EV -12.47%E -2.83%K -3.67%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-09 13:40
TABtouch🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.46%EV -12.69%E -8.46%K -25.37%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.27%EV -3.64%E -0.828%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.27%EV -12.47%E -2.83%K -3.67%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-09 13:40
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.46%EV -12.69%E -8.46%K -25.37%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.27%EV -3.64%E -0.828%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.27%EV -12.47%E -2.83%K -3.67%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-09 13:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.46%EV -12.69%E -8.46%K -25.37%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.27%EV -3.64%E -0.828%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.27%EV -12.47%E -2.83%K -3.67%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-09 13:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.46%EV -12.69%E -8.46%K -25.37%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.27%EV -3.64%E -0.828%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.27%EV -12.47%E -2.83%K -3.67%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-09 13:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.46%EV -12.69%E -8.46%K -25.37%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.27%EV -3.64%E -0.828%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.27%EV -12.47%E -2.83%K -3.67%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-09 13:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.46%EV -12.69%E -8.46%K -25.37%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.27%EV -3.64%E -0.828%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.27%EV -12.47%E -2.83%K -3.67%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-09 13:40
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.46%EV -12.69%E -8.46%K -25.37%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.27%EV -3.64%E -0.828%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.27%EV -12.47%E -2.83%K -3.67%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-09 13:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.46%EV -12.69%E -8.46%K -25.37%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.27%EV -3.64%E -0.828%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.27%EV -12.47%E -2.83%K -3.67%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-09 13:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.46%EV -12.69%E -8.46%K -25.37%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.27%EV -3.64%E -0.828%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.27%EV -12.47%E -2.83%K -3.67%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-09 13:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.