Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Trafford FC v Atherton Collieries AFC

2026-10-03 14:00 UTC — FA Cup

Frente a frente

29 casas de apostas (9 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Trafford FC (Local)

Previsão 48.21%2.07odd justa
EV -2.14%
Vantagem -1.05%
Kelly -2.07%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.03

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.69%47.98%48.20%51.16%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.751.851.882.0357.14%53.92%53.19%49.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Atherton Collieries AFC (Visitante)

Previsão 27.25%3.67odd justa
EV -3.25%
Vantagem -0.917%
Kelly -1.28%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.55

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.58%27.48%27.24%29.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.103.373.403.5532.26%29.68%29.41%28.17%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 24.54%4.08odd justa
EV +3.31%
Vantagem +0.786%
Kelly +1.03%
Crescimento +0.034%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.21

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.63%24.54%24.56%25.45%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.503.783.804.2128.57%26.48%26.32%23.75%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Trafford FC (Local): 48.21%; Atherton Collieries AFC (Visitante): 27.25%; Empate: 24.54%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 4.08. 1 casa de apostas oferece odds acima desse nível; as melhores odds disponíveis são 4.21, produzindo um valor esperado positivo de +3.31%.

Odds das casas de apostas (29 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.36%EV -6.96%E -3.60%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.02%EV -7.34%E -2.16%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.63%EV +3.31%E +0.786%K +1.03%G +0.034%5.0%2026-10-03 11:15
BetMGM🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -5.99%E -3.07%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -7.34%E -2.16%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -1.85%E -0.461%K -0.615%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-03 13:05
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -7.92%E -4.15%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.34%E -2.16%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -1.85%E -0.461%K -0.615%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-03 11:10
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -7.92%E -4.15%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -7.34%E -2.16%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -4.30%E -1.10%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-03 13:05
Unibet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.16%EV -15.63%E -8.93%K -20.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -4.62%E -1.32%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.26%EV -5.53%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-03 11:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.16%EV -15.63%E -8.93%K -20.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -4.62%E -1.32%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.26%EV -5.53%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-03 11:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.16%EV -15.63%E -8.93%K -20.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -4.62%E -1.32%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.26%EV -5.53%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-03 11:10
Casumo🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.16%EV -15.63%E -8.93%K -20.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -4.62%E -1.32%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.26%EV -5.53%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-03 11:10
Grosvenor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.16%EV -15.63%E -8.93%K -20.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -4.62%E -1.32%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.26%EV -5.53%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-03 11:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.16%EV -15.63%E -8.93%K -20.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -4.62%E -1.32%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.26%EV -5.53%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-03 11:10
TABtouch🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.16%EV -15.63%E -8.93%K -20.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -4.62%E -1.32%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.26%EV -5.53%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-03 11:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.16%EV -15.63%E -8.93%K -20.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -4.62%E -1.32%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.26%EV -5.53%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-03 11:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.16%EV -15.63%E -8.93%K -20.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -4.62%E -1.32%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.26%EV -5.53%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-03 11:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.16%EV -15.63%E -8.93%K -20.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -4.62%E -1.32%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.26%EV -5.53%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-03 11:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.95%EV -8.40%E -4.42%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -4.62%E -1.32%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -6.75%E -1.78%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-03 11:10
Codere (IT)🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 45.96%EV -2.14%E -1.05%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -12.79%E -4.00%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -7.98%E -2.13%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-03 11:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.15%EV -4.55%E -2.30%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -15.52%E -5.01%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -7.98%E -2.13%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-03 11:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.32%EV -7.92%E -4.15%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -12.79%E -4.00%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.43%EV -9.21%E -2.49%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-03 13:05
Neds🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.32%EV -7.92%E -4.15%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -12.79%E -4.00%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.43%EV -9.21%E -2.49%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-03 13:05
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.32%EV -7.92%E -4.15%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -12.79%E -4.00%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.43%EV -9.21%E -2.49%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-03 13:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.32%EV -7.92%E -4.15%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -12.79%E -4.00%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.43%EV -9.21%E -2.49%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-03 13:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -11.78%E -6.44%K -14.19%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 26.94%EV -9.52%E -2.87%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.18%EV -9.21%E -2.49%K -3.41%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-03 11:08
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -9.37%E -4.98%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -3.25%E -0.917%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -11.66%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-03 11:10
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -9.37%E -4.98%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -3.25%E -0.917%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -11.66%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-03 11:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.69%EV -4.55%E -2.30%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -15.52%E -5.01%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.13%EV -11.66%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-03 11:10
betano_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.14%EV -8.40%E -4.42%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.99%EV -12.79%E -4.00%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.88%EV -11.66%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-03 11:10
Bet Victor🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.14%EV -8.40%E -4.42%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.99%EV -12.79%E -4.00%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.88%EV -11.66%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-03 11:15
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -11.78%E -6.44%K -14.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -7.34%E -2.16%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -11.66%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-03 11:10
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 47.74%EV -11.78%E -6.44%K -14.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.30%EV -12.79%E -4.00%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.96%EV -14.11%E -4.03%K -5.65%G +0.000%14.5%2026-10-03 11:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.