The School of Odds
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Torquay United FC v Oxford City FC

Kickoff: 2026-10-17 14:01 UTC

Final: Torquay United FC 0–1 Oxford City FC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

25 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Torquay United FC (Local)

Prediction 37.33%2.68fair odd
EV -2.95%
Edge -1.13%
Kelly -1.84%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.09%37.88%37.38%41.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.422.432.6044.44%41.33%41.15%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Oxford City FC (Visit)

Prediction 37.40%2.67fair odd
EV +4.71%
Edge +1.68%
Kelly +2.62%
Growth +0.123%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.09%36.91%37.28%38.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.432.402.8043.48%41.08%41.67%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.28%3.96fair odd
EV +0.090%
Edge +0.023%
Kelly +0.030%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.96

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.57%25.21%25.34%26.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.523.453.9630.30%28.37%28.99%25.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Torquay United FC (Local): 37.33%; Oxford City FC (Visit): 37.40%; Draw: 25.28%. For Oxford City FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.67. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.71%.

Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -16.01%E -7.12%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV +4.71%E +1.68%K +2.62%G +0.123%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -9.01%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-17 14:00
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -16.01%E -7.12%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV +4.71%E +1.68%K +2.62%G +0.123%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -9.01%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-17 14:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -2.95%E -1.13%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -9.01%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-17 13:54
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -2.95%E -1.13%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -9.01%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-17 13:55
1xBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -10.41%E -4.34%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.41%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.62%EV +0.090%E +0.023%K +0.030%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-17 13:59
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.62%EV -12.28%E -5.23%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.81%EV -10.25%E -4.27%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -2.69%E -0.699%K -0.944%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-17 13:54
Betway🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.08%EV -11.16%E -4.69%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.76%EV -10.25%E -4.27%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.17%EV -5.22%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-17 13:50
Unibet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.81%EV -9.29%E -3.82%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.27%EV -10.25%E -4.27%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.93%EV -12.80%E -3.71%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-17 13:50
TABtouch🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.81%EV -9.29%E -3.82%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.27%EV -10.25%E -4.27%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.93%EV -12.80%E -3.71%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-17 13:50
Casumo🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.81%EV -9.29%E -3.82%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.27%EV -10.25%E -4.27%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.93%EV -12.80%E -3.71%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-17 13:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.81%EV -9.29%E -3.82%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.27%EV -10.25%E -4.27%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.93%EV -12.80%E -3.71%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-17 13:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.81%EV -9.29%E -3.82%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.27%EV -10.25%E -4.27%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.93%EV -12.80%E -3.71%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-17 13:50
Grosvenor🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.81%EV -9.29%E -3.82%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.27%EV -10.25%E -4.27%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.93%EV -12.80%E -3.71%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-17 13:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.81%EV -9.29%E -3.82%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.27%EV -10.25%E -4.27%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.93%EV -12.80%E -3.71%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-17 13:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.81%EV -9.29%E -3.82%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.27%EV -10.25%E -4.27%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.93%EV -12.80%E -3.71%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-17 13:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.81%EV -9.29%E -3.82%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.27%EV -10.25%E -4.27%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.93%EV -12.80%E -3.71%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-17 13:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.81%EV -9.29%E -3.82%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.27%EV -10.25%E -4.27%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.93%EV -12.80%E -3.71%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-17 13:50
betPARX🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.81%EV -9.29%E -3.82%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.27%EV -10.25%E -4.27%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.93%EV -12.80%E -3.71%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-17 13:49
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.43%EV -11.16%E -4.69%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.12%EV -10.25%E -4.27%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -11.54%E -3.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-17 13:55
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -8.55%E -3.49%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.43%EV -10.99%E -4.62%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.20%EV -14.06%E -4.14%K -5.86%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-17 13:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -8.55%E -3.49%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.43%EV -10.99%E -4.62%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.20%EV -14.06%E -4.14%K -5.86%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-17 13:54
Coral🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -8.55%E -3.49%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.53%EV -11.37%E -4.80%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.16%EV -14.06%E -4.14%K -5.86%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-17 13:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -8.55%E -3.49%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.53%EV -11.37%E -4.80%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.16%EV -14.06%E -4.14%K -5.86%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-17 13:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.19%EV -12.28%E -5.23%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.19%EV -12.12%E -5.16%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.62%EV -3.95%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-17 13:54
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.09%EV -10.41%E -4.34%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.66%EV -13.99%E -6.08%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.25%EV -16.59%E -5.03%K -7.21%G +0.000%15.4%2026-10-17 13:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.