The School of Odds
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Stafford Rangers FC v Halesowen Town FC

Kickoff: 2026-10-03 14:01 UTC

Final: Stafford Rangers FC 1–1 Halesowen Town FC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

28 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Stafford Rangers FC (Local)

Prediction 28.77%3.48fair odd
EV +0.682%
Edge +0.195%
Kelly +0.273%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.83%28.58%28.72%29.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.213.253.5033.33%31.12%30.77%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Halesowen Town FC (Visit)

Prediction 42.81%2.34fair odd
EV -5.39%
Edge -2.44%
Kelly -4.45%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.21

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.89%43.08%42.89%44.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.102.102.2148.78%47.51%47.62%45.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.42%3.52fair odd
EV +3.17%
Edge +0.874%
Kelly +1.21%
Growth +0.038%

assuming max odds 3.63

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.28%28.34%28.39%29.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.163.153.6333.33%31.68%31.75%27.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Stafford Rangers FC (Local): 28.77%; Halesowen Town FC (Visit): 42.81%; Draw: 28.42%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.52. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.63, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.17%.

Sportsbook Odds (28 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -6.51%E -2.00%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.37%EV -7.96%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.28%EV +3.17%E +0.874%K +1.21%G +0.038%4.8%2026-10-03 13:55
Betway🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.95%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -10.10%E -4.81%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -0.521%E -0.149%K -0.208%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-03 13:50
BetMGM🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -6.51%E -2.00%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -5.82%E -2.64%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -3.36%E -0.989%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-03 13:40
Bovada🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -7.95%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -7.96%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -4.78%E -1.43%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-03 13:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV +0.682%E +0.195%K +0.273%G +0.002%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -10.10%E -4.81%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.21%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-03 13:55
Codere (IT)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -6.51%E -2.00%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.18%EV -5.39%E -2.44%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -9.05%E -2.83%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-03 12:50
Betsson🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -6.51%E -2.00%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.20%EV -9.24%E -4.36%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -9.05%E -2.83%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-03 13:40
NordicBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -9.39%E -2.98%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.47%EV -7.96%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -9.05%E -2.83%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-03 13:55
Winamax (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.82%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -7.96%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -9.05%E -2.83%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-03 12:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -10.82%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -10.10%E -4.81%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -9.05%E -2.83%K -4.11%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-03 13:40
Neds🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -10.82%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -10.10%E -4.81%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -9.05%E -2.83%K -4.11%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-03 13:40
Coral🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -10.82%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -10.10%E -4.81%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -9.05%E -2.83%K -4.11%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-03 13:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -10.82%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -10.10%E -4.81%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -9.05%E -2.83%K -4.11%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-03 13:40
Marathon Bet🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 28.66%EV -10.25%E -3.28%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 43.40%EV -11.81%E -5.73%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.94%EV -9.05%E -2.83%K -4.11%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-03 13:49
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.82%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -7.96%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.89%E -3.84%K -5.66%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-03 12:45
Bet Victor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.82%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -7.96%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.89%E -3.84%K -5.66%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-03 13:54
betano_uk🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.82%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -10.10%E -4.81%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.89%E -3.84%K -5.66%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-03 13:53
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.14%EV -13.70%E -4.57%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.65%EV -12.24%E -5.97%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.20%EV -11.89%E -3.84%K -5.66%G +0.000%14.4%2026-10-03 13:45
Unibet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -5.07%E -1.54%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.15%EV -11.38%E -5.50%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.78%EV -14.73%E -4.91%K -7.37%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-03 13:45
Unibet (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -5.07%E -1.54%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.15%EV -11.38%E -5.50%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.78%EV -14.73%E -4.91%K -7.37%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-03 13:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -5.07%E -1.54%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.15%EV -11.38%E -5.50%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.78%EV -14.73%E -4.91%K -7.37%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-03 13:45
Casumo🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -5.07%E -1.54%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.15%EV -11.38%E -5.50%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.78%EV -14.73%E -4.91%K -7.37%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-03 13:45
Grosvenor🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -5.07%E -1.54%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.15%EV -11.38%E -5.50%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.78%EV -14.73%E -4.91%K -7.37%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-03 13:45
LiveScore Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -5.07%E -1.54%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.15%EV -11.38%E -5.50%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.78%EV -14.73%E -4.91%K -7.37%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-03 13:45
TABtouch🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -5.07%E -1.54%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.15%EV -11.38%E -5.50%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.78%EV -14.73%E -4.91%K -7.37%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-03 13:45
Virgin Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -5.07%E -1.54%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.15%EV -11.38%E -5.50%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.78%EV -14.73%E -4.91%K -7.37%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-03 13:45
ATG (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -5.07%E -1.54%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.15%EV -11.38%E -5.50%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.78%EV -14.73%E -4.91%K -7.37%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-03 13:45
Svenska Spel🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -5.07%E -1.54%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.15%EV -11.38%E -5.50%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.78%EV -14.73%E -4.91%K -7.37%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-03 13:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.